Sunday, October 31, 2021

Week 8 Post Match Review: 49ers at Bears


By Scooter_McG 

This was a must win game for the 49ers. While a loss wouldn't have put them out of mathematical contention, it certainly felt like a loss would crush any remaining spirit left in an increasingly dis-spirited looking team. 

It was also a critical game for Jimmy Garoppolo. While Kyle Shanahan maintained there is no QB competition "right now" during the week, and that Jimmy G remains the starter when healthy, it also felt like another performance similar to the one against the Colts would expedite the timetable for a QB competition. 

Not only did the 49ers get that all important win for team morale, Jimmy G was instrumental in it. 

To start the game the 49ers defense came out looking soft while Jimmy's offensive teammates continued to make mistakes that killed drives. But through it all Jimmy was playing some great football, standing tall in the pocket when he needed to, evading pressure when it came, and pushing the ball downfield with confidence. 

There wasn't a lot to show for it through the first half, with three FGs and one missed FG. But blame drops by Deebo and Sanu for two of the first three drives stalling, while the fourth and last drive before the half was one of JG's best all year as he hit Aiyuk on a quick slant with a defender right in his face then hit Deebo for 50 yards in stride deep down field. 

In the second half it was more of the same from JG, but this time it was matched by the rest of his offensive teammates. The first offensive drive of the second half looked like it was going nowhere but on 3rd and 20 Deebo ripped off an 83 yard catch and run on a WR screen down to the Bears 1-yard line. JG would then take it in on a short scamper on a heads up play by him, after Deebo came across too early. The next drive JG reeled off three straight first down passes, slinging a beauty to Deebo on the come back, then hitting Woerner and Juice for 10 yard pickups. Elijah Mitchell would then have two strong runs to score the TD, with nearly all of the 49ers players involved in pushing Mitchell forward on the TD run.

Up by just 1 point to start the next drive, JG hit Sanu over the middle for a nice gain, followed by a long run by Mitchell to the left (more on this later), then Jimmy threw another nice dart over the middle to Hasty to make it first and goal. Emphasising his rediscovered confidence, JG would then keep the ball on a zone read for the score that put the 49ers in a commanding lead late in the game.  

I've seen people compare this performance by Jimmy to some of his work in 2017, and from a confidence perspective I don't disagree. But unlike in 2017 this performance came with an understanding how to work within the system. And as Jimmy continued to play with confidence you could see the team around him gain in confidence. This was easily the best game Jimmy has played for the 49ers this season, and maybe for the past few seasons.

Here is what else stood out to me. 

The left side of the offense dominated. They put on an absolute clinic in run blocking down the left side in this one. The combination of Tomlinson, Williams, Woerner and Juice spring Mitchell for three 20+ yard runs with some exceptional blocking. And I shouldn't exclude Deebo and Aiyuk who also made some nice blocks downfield to allow extra yardage on those runs. Mitchel would finish with 137 yards on 18 carries (a career high in yards for Mitchell), and 92 of those yards would come on three perfectly executed runs to the left. 

The left side also kept Jimmy untroubled by the Bears pass rush all afternoon. 

Deebo is a monster... but also drops too many passes. I don't believe there is a better receiver in the NFL after the catch than Deebo. He is just as likely to make you miss as he is to run over you, and his instincts with ball in hand are as good as any running back. His 83 yard catch and run ignited the team to storm home in the second half. 

However, he was also partly to blame for the team going into the half down. He had two drops on the opening drive which undid some good work by JG and Sanu. He leads the NFL in drops. And a lot of them have been easy ones. 

He isn't the first premier WR the 49ers have had with issues consistently catching the ball - Terrell Owens used to have his issues with drops during his career. And like Owens you can forgive the drops to a degree due to how good he is otherwise, and how often he comes up big when it counts. But if he can cut back on the number of drops he will take his game to an even greater level.

Run defense is still a problem... but is personnel related. The 49ers had some issues stopping the run again this week. Admittedly a lot of that was trouble with Fields, and I will get to that in a bit, but they also had some issues up the middle with Herbert. 

Something I have been keeping track of with the 49ers defense after a slow start to the year stopping the run is who has been on the field at DT when these issues are present. And it is becoming clear in my eyes that the biggest culprits are Givens, Street and Kerr. Kerr struggled considerably weeks 1 and 2, and this week the biggest runs came when the 49ers had Givens and Street on the field. The biggest issues often came when Givens would get some penetration but Street was being blown off the ball (and into the LBs), leaving a huge hole to run into. Givens was also guilty of too often being shoved past the RB as his aggressiveness was too easily used against him. 

With Kinlaw out for the year the 49ers are going to be very reliant on DJ Jones and Armstead at DT. In fact Armstead was used almost exclusively at DT in this one, while DJ Jones was an absolute beast throughout, clogging the middle and making a number of stops for minimal gain. 

Can't contain Fields. Exacerbating the issues against the run, the 49ers reverted to allowing an athletic QB to consistently get around the edge defenders while also failing to prevent big gains through the middle on scrambles after the pass rush allowed big holes to escape. Fields ran for over 100 yards and a number of his runs were on key downs for big gains to extend drives. His TD run was particularly embarrassing for the 49ers defense as they had a number of opportunities to bring him down but whiffed. 

The 49ers should consider themselves very lucky that it looks like Kyler Murray may miss next weeks game. 

Can't give DPI penalties if you practice social distancing. This one seemed like a case of severe over correction by the 49ers secondary. Kudos for not allowing penalties to keep drives alive and give up big plays, but when it is at the cost of giving huge cushions to keep the ball in front of you that is not an ideal solution. You can't play scared like that and expect to beat good teams. If that is Undlin's answer to dealing with penalties he needs to be sacked. 

There is still plenty of work to do for the 49ers secondary. 

Final Thoughts

Winning can cure a lot of ills in football, and this was a 49ers team in desparate need of a cure. For one week at least the 49ers can enjoy a little bit of a pressure release. But it will all be undone if they lose again next week to the Cardinals. 

It was great to see Jimmy G and the offense play with a lot more freedom this week. They need to keep that up and build some momentum, because when the offense is operating freely and executing it can be very hard to stop. 

Despite being a 3W-4L team, pervesely the 49ers find themselves only a half game back from a playoff spot, currently held by a Carolina Panthers team that looks on tilt. And next week it looks like they will be facing a Cardinals team without Kyler Murray and JJ Watt. 

Despite the recent gloom surrounding the team they are by no means out of 2021 if they can hit their stride and play some consistently good football.    

Sunday Gameday Live

 INACTIVES:

CB Deommodore Lenoir


CB Ambry Thomas

WR Travis Bejamin LB Azeez Al-Shaair DE Dee Ford DL Maurice Hurst OL Aaron Banks



Saturday, October 30, 2021

Week 8 Matchups to Watch: 49ers at Bears


By Scooter_McG 

Before the season began this looked a like a game the 49ers should win and win easily. But six games into the season, and following four straight defeats, this game is now a must win game to turn the 49ers season around and yet by no means a gimme. Things happen fast in the NFL.

The 49ers are again pretty banged up this season, and this week have lost Kinlaw (for the season, heading to IR), Hurst, Tartt (short term IR), Ford and Al-Shaair, while Trent Williams and Ebukam are questionable, on top of some key long term absentees in Kittle, Mostert, Verrett and Greenlaw. On the positive front, Trey Lance will return this week, listed as the backup QB to Jimmy G, while Kevin Givens has been activated from IR and Jordan Willis returns after serving a 6 game suspension. Despite the injuries, the team is nowehere near as badly hit as last season and there really can be no excuse for the situation they find themselves in. Trey Lance sported a t-shirt with the saying "if not now, when?" emblazoned on the front while training before camp started, and that message should be the 49ers mantra heading into this game.

And there really should be no excuse for this game either. The Bears enter the game with the lowest ranked offense in terms of yards in the NFL, and 30th ranked in points scored. While they have run the ball effectively, the passing game has been abysmal. 

Helping matters for the 49ers will be the absence of Khalil Mack. That should make life easier for the 49ers OTs, especially if Trent Williams can't go. Akiem Hicks is also working through an injury which may limit his impact in the middle. On offense, their lead RB David Montgomery will be missing as well, putting increased pressure on the Justin Fields to carry the team. 

The Bears head coach Matt Nagy will also be missing for this one as he finds himself on the COVID list. However, it is hard to say whether this is good or bad for the 49ers - in fact the Bears offense has looked better whenever Nagy has given up play calling duties. This may be addition by subtraction for the Bears. 

Here are the key matchups I'll be watching in this one.

49ers DL harrassing rookie Justin Fields. Justin Fields has had a pretty rough start to his NFL career so far, throwing just 2 TDs against 6 INTs while averaging less than 150 yards passing in his five starts. A key issue Fields has had is avoiding pressure, due to a combination of some poor OL play and Fields holding the ball too long. As a result he is also averaging 3.6 sacks for 31 yards over his five starts, taking his net passing yards to under 120 per game on average. 

Even without Kinlaw, Ford and Hurst, the 49ers DL should still have plenty of opportunities to pressure Fields. This feels like a key matchup for the 49ers in winning this one. 

49ers secondary vs penalties. No matter how much pressure the 49ers DL generates, the if the secondary continues to commit back breaking penalties giving up chunks of yards the 49ers defense will struggle to stop the Bears putting up points. Let's see whether the week's commitment to teaching the secondary how to defend jump balls and passes downfield has paid off. Because to date it has been an embarrassment. 

Jimmy Garoppolo vs himself. Rightly or wrongly, Jimmy G is under considerable scrutiny and pressure of 49er fans, local media and national media. That will happen when you have a 3rd overall pick QB breathing down your neck and the pre-season playoff expectant team you are leading is on a four game losing streak. And when you are coming off a disastrous game the previous week that deepened the hole your team was already in. 

This is maybe a bit disrespectful of the Bears defense, which is actually quite good (even without Mack). But for mine this really comes down to whether Jimmy G can overcome and avoid his own mistakes. The 49ers defense should be able to keep the Bears offense in check, so then it comes down to the 49ers offense not keeping the Bears in the game through their own mistakes and ineptitude. And a lot of that will fall on the shoulders of Jimmy G.

Kyle Shanahan finding his mojo. In the same vein as Jimmy G, a large part of the 49ers not allowing the Bears to stay in this one, so long as the defense does the job it is expected to, will come down to Kyle Shanahan finding his offensive playcalling mojo. There is a malaise around the 49ers at the moment and Shanahan's energy has looked more and more zapped by the week. He needs to shake it off, come into this game with a strong scripted start and then find a way to keep it going once they get off script. A big win here might just be the infusion of energy the team needs to make a surprise run to the playoffs. 

Friday, October 29, 2021

Thursday, October 28, 2021

Thursday Night's Musings

 This is the latest:

Tracy Sandler
@49ersfangirl
·
Nick Bosa said he thinks the #49ers are missing the vocal leadership of George Kittle and Raheem Mostert.


Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Shot Of Inspiration

 The offense looked good against the Raiders. It looked good against the Lions. Then the Eagles punched the 49ers offense in the mouth, and they haven't been the same since. Shanny looks tired and sounds uninspired. They got one guy he trusts at wide receiver, Samuel and one guy he trusts at running back, Mitchell. 

The players are a reflection of the head coach and that's why they've been playing uninspired. Where can Shanny get his inspiration and inject it into this offense? Only one place. The quarterback position and Trey Lance. 

Now, I'm not talking the kind of unprepared kamikaze game plan Shanny had the last time Lance started a football game. I'm talking a real game plan that accentuates his strengths other than just his running ability. Roll him out and take some shots downfield. Get Aiyuk running free and let Lance uncork it. Get these defenses to back off and open up some running lanes. 

I wasn't onboard with going to the rookie quarterback. I fully backed the redshirt year philosophy, but we still have a chance if they can snap this offense out of its melancholy. Trey Lance is the only thing in house that has a shot of doing what Jimmy G did in 2017, if Shanny gives him a real playbook instead of the one from North Dakota State.




Sunday, October 24, 2021

Week 7 Post Match Review: Colts at 49ers


By Scooter_McG 

While the 49ers bye week came early this year, it seemed to come at just the right time for the team to regroup and refocus following three narrow defeats to good opponents in games which the team largely beat themselves. This was meant to be the game the 49ers righted the ship, and showed the NFL world the three straight close losses were just a blip. 

If this game showed anything its that if there was a blip, it was the fact they managed to keep those three previous games close. Rather than fixing the various issues that have plagued the team through the first five games, the team leant into them and came out after the bye week with an increased vigour to make those same mistakes. Repeatedly. And over again. 

It all started out so promising, with the team scoring a TD marching up the field easily in its opening drive despite the conditions. It was a masterclass in scripted playcalling, using the Colts aggressiveness and the wet conditions against them with misdirection, rollouts and play action. On the Colts ensuing drive they fumbled the ball, and while the 49ers weren't able to capitalise the fumble was recovered in FG range to make it an early two score lead. 

But as has so often happened this season, the 49ers couldn't put their opponent to the sword when they had them down. They gifted the Colts their first scoring opportunity when Josh Norman let Pittman get by him all too easily on 3rd and 11 and then played the man rather than the ball (it would have been DPI if Pittman hadn't caught it anyway). A couple of plays later Norman let his man run free again for a walk-in TD. 

Another big DPI put the Colts in scoring position again at the start of the 2nd quarter, but Wentz did Wentz things and handed the ball to Al-Shaair deep in 49ers territory. Wentz continued to try and give the 49ers opportunities to build a commanding lead with a number of throws that hit 49ers players, but the defense refused to accept these gifts. The 49ers also got a bit of luck with Nyheim Hines dropping a ball on a 3rd down while wide open. On the next play, Aiyuk let the punt bounce, then tried to pick it up only to kick the ball into the end zone. Instead of getting punished for this awful gaffe, he was rewarded with a touchback. 

But while the Colts tried so hard to give the 49ers the game, the 49ers offense put on a masterclass of three and outs, to ensure the Colts stayed right in the contest. 

It seemed almost inevitable then that the Colts would score off the first turnover opportunity the 49ers gave them. Deebo fumbled a ball in 49ers territory trying to pick up extra yards, and after a Moseley DPI in the end zone the Colts took a half time lead on a Wentz run for a TD. It was a real gut punch for the 49ers in a half in which the only opportunities the Colts had to score came from 49ers mistakes.  

After the half it just went from bad to worse for the 49ers. Instead of the Colts trying to give the 49ers the game it was the 49ers trying to give the Colts the game, with fumbles, INTs and penalties. A foolish Shanahan challenge on a clearly correct ruling typified the 49ers ineptitude in the second stanza. 

There was a small glimmer of hope in the fourth quarter with a quick, 3 play TD drive where Shanahan briefly went back to his rollout, play action game from the first drive. But it was too little too late to overcome the multitude of errors the team committed throughout the game.

In the end the result was a fitting one. The 49ers didn't deserve to win this game with the way they played. And the frustrating part is that it wasn't a case that they weren't capable of winning it, or that the opposition was simply too good. They lost because they played bad, error-prone football that was beneath their talent level. That is a damning thing to say about a team coming off its bye week, with two full weeks to prepare for its opponent, for a homefield Sunday Night Football game, in a game the team needed to win to get their season back on track. 

Right now this is a poorly coached team. There is simply no way around that. Players are repeatedly making mistakes and doing so with no real ramification. I am one that feels the players need to be held accountable for mistakes, but when it keeps on happening the buck stops with the coaching staff. Whatever they are currently doing is not working and the players are not responding. Yes, the effort is still there, so it is good to see the players are still playing hard for their coaches. But you need both effort and execution to win in the NFL, and the execution has been woeful far too often, on far too many plays, to consistently win football games.

Making things worse, the Colts had their fair share of mistakes in this one too. The opportunities were there for the 49ers to build a big lead early. Good teams punish opponent mistakes; bad teams let them get away with it. The 49ers have repeatedly shown they are a bad team this season. At 2-4 the season isn't over. But not many bad teams make the playoffs.    

Sunday Night Football Game Day Live


Aaron Banks is active for the first time this season. 

Saturday, October 23, 2021

Week 7 Matchups to Watch: Colts at 49ers


By Scooter_McG

The 49ers host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football in week 7. Both teams were considered playoff hopefuls in pre-season but currently sit at sub .500 and are in desperate need for a win to get their seasons back on track.  

Both teams come into the game a little banged up and missing some key players. Among the Colts missing the game will be two starting DBs (CB Ya-Sin and SAF Blackmon) out and well as their starting RT (Smith) and veteran WR Hilton. The Colts will welcome back All Pro OG Quentin Nelson this week though. The 49ers meanwhile have some stars missing time on IR at the moment, and this week will be without some pieces at DT (Kinlaw and Hurst), their backup QB in Lance, and potentially star LT Trent Williams. 

To add to the drama, the weather forecast is for high winds and heavy rain, and though probably not as impactful as the monsoon conditions the 49ers played the Washington Football Team in during the 2019 season the weather will have a significant role to play in this one and make throwing, holding onto and kicking the ball far more difficult. 

As a result I think this game can be broken down into three key areas that will win the match: running the ball effectively, the turnover battle, and who can create explosive plays. 

Before I get into my rundown of what I will be looking for in this one, let's all spare a thought for Joey Slye and Michael Badgley, the two kickers in this one. Both kickers enter the game as replacements for injured kickers, with one game under their belts this year, and a career FG percentage below 80%. Kicking in high winds and heavy rain is not a great way to boost your resume and find that long term spot as a team's place kicker. 

Running the ball effectively. In these games played in wet and windy conditions it often becomes very difficult to move the ball through the air effectively. In particular the wind can cause passes to become errant throws and end up in harms way - in fact we saw just that when the 49ers played against the Washington Football Team in 2019, leading to an INT from Jimmy G. 

This puts much greater emphasis on the running game, and being able to effectively churn out yards and pick up tough first downs to keep drives alive, win the field position battle, and put your team in position to score some points which will likely be at a premium. 

Based on how the teams have played so far this season, the running games feel like a clear area which the Colts hold an advantage. Jonathan Taylor has been excellent running the ball and is averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Their defense meanwhile sits in the top 10 for run defense allowing only 4.1 yards per carry. 

The 49ers on the other hand are averaging only 4.2 yards per carry on offense and are middle of the pack in yards per carry in run defense - though in recent weeks the run defense has significantly improved after a poor start. The 49ers need to turn things around in the running game this week on offense. If Trent Williams is out that may make things difficult, but regardless they need to find a way to get the running game going. Having players stop missing so many blocking assignments would be a good start, and the team can ill afford for Mitchell to have another game like in week 2 where he continuously missed running lanes. It is actually a shame that Trey Lance will miss this one because it is exactly the type of game his athletic ability at QB could make the difference. 

On defense, having Kinlaw out is a blow. While he hasn't lived up to the number 14 overall pick as yet, he does make a difference in the middle against the run. There will be a lot of pressure on the interior DL to step up, hold their ground and keep the LBs clean to stop Taylor and the COlts running game. 

The turnover battle. The turnover battle is always important, but especially so in games where it is difficult to move the ball. Because anything that gives an offense a short field and puts them in position to take some points is a huge boon. 

Turnovers have been very hard to come by for the 49ers defense this season, with only two takeaways through five games. With the team desperate for a win, now would be a great time for the defense to turn things around in the takeaways department and give the offense a couple of short fields to work from. 

On offense, fumbles have been an issue for the 49ers in the past. They cannot afford any ill discipline from a handling perspective in this one, which will put a lot of pressure on the young 49ers backfield to be conscious of ball handling while also finding the right running lanes and fighting for some tough yards. 

Who can create explosive plays. This will likely be what decides the game. Even though both teams will likely set their stall to stop the run, the difficulty in passing the ball will mean explosive plays will be harder to come by than usual, and as a result explosive plays will be more impactful for the team that can create them. 

Creating those explosive plays can come from anything. It might be from a turnover. It might be from a run that gets blocked up perfectly, or resulting from a defender missing a tackle or their assignment. It might even come from special teams - in these games don't discount the importance of a long kick or punt return, or even just getting a couple of excellent punts off the boot.

But in terms of getting explosive plays due to play calling, for the 49ers this feels like one where Shanahan will need to dig into his bag for some very creative run designs, jet motion or short dump offs to get the ball in Deebo's hands and let him go. For mine, the 49ers will win or lose this one based largely on how big a game Deebo has. I will also be looking for some leak plays to be called to give Jimmy G some very open WRs to throw to where pinpoint accuracy is not a requirement.

On defense, stopping Taylor has to be priority number 1, but they can't be too aggressive that they allow Taylor to break a tackle or use his explosiveness to cut back and find daylight. The 49ers also need to be conscious of not biting too hard on the run game they allow open receivers downfield and give up some easy big plays. Carson Wentz has been playing well the past few games but he can be prone to mistakes, so getting in his face early and often any time the Colts look to pass will be important. 

Final Thoughts

All in all this is a game I would actually feel more confident about if it was played in fine weather. The wind and rain will actually be something of a leveller, and may play into the Colts hands with their dominant running game. This is a pivotal game for the 49ers season in many ways, so all players and coaches need to really step up to the plate in this one. 

What To Make Of Martellus Bennett's Comments?

Former Patriots TE, Jermaine Wiggins said that teammates questioned whether they could depend on Jimmy Garoppolo. One such teammate, Martellus Bennett had this to say on Double Coverage's podcast with Jason and Devin McCourty:

“Bro, we lost two games [without Brady],” Bennett told the McCourtys, via NBCSportsBoston.com. (Actually, they lost only one game during Brady’s absence.) “One of them was because Jimmy Garoppolo was being a bitch. He decided not to play right before the game. Jacoby [Brissett] came out and played with a f–ked up thumb and played his heart out, but Jimmy was just being a bitch about it all.

“That’s why he . . . you can’t win with a bitch for a quarterback, first of all. That was the whole thing with him. He didn’t want to come out and do anything because his agent was trying to protect his body or some shit like that. Which, I can’t fault him for that. But like, you should have made that decision on Thursday. Now it’s Sunday.

“So anyways, he’s not going out there, so now Jacoby straps up and we lost to the Buffalo Bills. We shouldn’t have lost. It was just last-minute, trying to make adjustments for what Jacoby could do.”


So, what are we to make of Mr. Bennett's opinion and is the mystery "mother*ucker" Tom Brady was referring to no longer a mystery?



Thursday, October 21, 2021

Open/General Discussion Thursday

 Lots of talking heads out there critical of the 49ers, and how Shanny's seat is getting warm. Personally, I think it's cool as a sunny fall breeze. Whether it's the quarterback situation or trade scenarios, everyone has an opinion. Let's hear them!




Numbers Game

  Numbers assigned to the #49ers draft class: 14-WR Ricky Pearsall 31-CB Renardo Green 43-S Malik Mustapha 48-LB Tatum Bethune 49-RB Isaac ...