Wednesday, March 31, 2021

Who will it be at 3?

By Scooter_McG

Unless the 49ers throw a significant curveball, the team will be drafting their QBOTF at pick #3 in the 2021 draft. This year’s QB class is widely considered to be excellent, with up to five QBs considered to have potential to be drafted in the top 10. 

Trevor Lawrence is all but locked in at pick #1 to the Jaguars and Urban Meyer, and conventional wisdom suggests the Jets will be taking Zach Wilson at #2. While nothing is set in stone and surprises could happen, it currently seems more likely than not that the 49ers will have their choice out of Justin Fields, Trey Lance and Mac Jones. However, we shouldn’t rule out the possibility of Wilson.

Today I am going to look at who I think the 49ers are targeting at #3.

Wherever Shanahan has coached he has looked for very specific traits in his QBs. Those traits have primarily been around accuracy, anticipation, ability to read defenses, identify matchups and go to the right progression quickly, decision making with the ball, being aggressive and decisive with the ball (yet not forcing it if it isn’t there, which goes back to the decision making), pocket movement skills and pocket awareness. Toughness and poise under pressure is also a must for a Shanahan QB. All traits that are based around playing from the pocket effectively.

In terms of physical traits, Dan Orlovsky (who played for Shanahan) gave some great insight when he outlined Kyle stresses two things in terms of athleticism – (1) a natural, fluid throwing motion and (2) upper body torque to be able throw accurately downfield without a strong, set base because you can't always set your feet in the NFL. Those are the two physical traits he stresses, and they again are based around playing from the pocket. In addition to the above, Shanahan likes to implement boot action and roll outs and his ideal QB thereby has the athleticism to not only move in the pocket but also out of the pocket and throw accurately down field on the move.

Now we all know that Shanahan has made comments in recent times that have alluded to his evaluation of QBs evolving and that the ability to extend plays and make plays off schedule are areas he sees a lot of value in. He has been very complementary of Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes, who are two of the best proponents of the young, athletic QB that can make any throw either stationary or on the move, and can pick you apart from the pocket or by extending plays when things break down.

While Shanahan’s evaluation of QBs may be evolving, it is important to understand the core of what he looks for is unlikely to have changed. He even said as much in the Monday press conference discussing the trade up to #3, where he laid out that if you were building the ideal QB they would be the “biggest, fastest, strongest and best QB from the pocket”. Being a great pocket QB is still the most important aspect for Shanahan. Having the athletic traits to move around, extend plays, and throw the ball 60+ yards downfield effortlessly are desirable additional traits.

Given the traits that Shanahan stresses in his QBs, and what he asks from his QBs, I find it hard to believe he will be enamoured by a QB that hasn’t consistently shown in college they can do what he will ask of them. Because of this I don’t believe Fields will be the 49ers pick. That’s not a knock against Fields – he is as gifted as any QB in the draft and may end up the guy. But when I watch Fields play I don’t see a guy that is consistently showcasing the skills that Shanahan will ask of him and it has a lot to do with the offense he played in. And in my eyes that makes him too big a projection for Shanahan to take this kind of risk on.

There has been a lot of talk in NFL circles the past few days that Mac Jones is the guy the 49ers traded up for. When I look at the traits that Shanahan has coveted in the past, and I look at Mac Jones, I see a guy that is in a similar mold to the QBs Shanahan has previously worked with. So I 100% can believe that he is a guy Shanahan really likes. However, I don’t believe he is the guy Shanahan really covets in this draft – I think there are two players that have a possibility of being available at #3 that offer skillsets that better match what Shanahan likes.

For mine, the 49ers trade up to #3 comes down to Wilson or Lance.

I think Wilson will have the edge, but is also the less likely to be available at #3. Wilson has shown the ability to work the pocket and the field vision to go through his progressions and find the right man with timing and accuracy. His passes have nice velocity and he can fit balls into tight windows. Wilson displays the easy arm talent to make any throw, accurately, from any platform and different arm angles. He’s aggressive with the ball, taking the shots that are there and he can get the ball out quickly and accurately without needing to set his feet. He also has the athleticism to run the boot action and rollouts effortlessly. He is also praised for his intelligence, recall and leadership qualities. In short, he has pretty much every trait Shanahan likes in a QB.

There are some concerns about the quality of the team around him relative to the competition and amount of pressure he faced in college, which are legitimate, but the same can pretty much be levelled at all of the top QBs in the draft. He dominated the level of competition he faced which is what you want to see.

As much as I think Wilson would be a great fit, he would be a great fit for the Jets for all the same reasons as their new OC is Shanahan disciple Mike LaFleur.

Trey Lance is an interesting case. He has far more limited experience than Wilson, only playing one season (plus one exhibition game last year). The level of competition he faced was by far the worst of the top 5 QBs, and he arguably played on a team that provided the greatest discrepancy in skill relative to their opponents. His receivers were often wide open and his offensive line was rarely stressed. He played in an offense where he wasn’t asked to pass the ball much. He also doesn’t have the same easy arm talent that Wilson displays, and his accuracy is far less consistent in part due to some mechanical issues he has.

Despite these negatives, when you look at what he does offer it becomes clear why, in my opinion, Shanahan will like him. The NDSU offense ran a lot of principles that are similar to what Shanahan employs, with zone schemes, lots of play action, lots of boot action, lots of pre-snap movement, and similar route combinations. At NDSU, unlike a lot of college QBs, Lance was tasked with running the offense pre-snap, including audibles and making adjustments to protections, rather than relying on the OC to instruct him as many college OCs do these days. There are a lot of reports that rave about Lance’s intelligence and command of the offense, diagnosing defenses and his understanding of how the offense is attacking a defense to get to the right play. His maturity, confidence, work ethic, desire and leadership are all considered to be very high level.

He also displays considerable poise and toughness as a QB. While he wasn’t pressured often, on the occasions he was under pressure he demonstrated his understanding of how to make subtle movements in the pocket to avoid pressure as well as a willingness to step up into the face of pressure and take a hit to deliver the ball. In terms of decision-making, Lance does a good job of avoiding putting the ball in harms way (only 1 INT in his college career) yet displayed a willingness to be aggressive and push the ball down the field with more than 16% of his passes (52 of 309 passes) going 20+ air yards, resulting in 13 TDs and his lone INT.

As a pocket passer, what he showed in 2019 was very advanced for a RS Freshman that was only 19 years old. The level of competition no doubt helped, but it is nevertheless impressive.

In addition to his pocket skills, he has a big arm and can make all the throws. And he quite possibly could be the most athletic of the QBs in this draft. He is a naturally gifted runner that is both fast and strong, with enough mobility and strength to either avoid would be tackles or break them. While his running ability is unlikely to be something Shanahan focuses on, the threat of being able to run is no doubt something he sees as having the potential to open up things downfield for the boot action and roll outs.

My expectation is that, come draft day, Trey Lance will be the new 49ers QBOTF. 

Transcripts From The Bay

 

General Manager John Lynch: "Hey everybody. Look, we thought it'd be appropriate to start, there's one thing different here for us. Our first press conference without one [Philadelphia Eagles senior vice president of communications] Bob Lange here with us. On behalf of [head coach] Kyle [Shanahan] and our entire organization, just wanted to thank Bob. Bob had a unique opportunity to go home, be provided for him and his family and so we wish Bob and Rachael and their beautiful kids all our best as they move on in their next chapter and very thankful and grateful for everything Bob did for us. With that, not much else going on around here. So, we'll open it up for questions."

First question for you guys is who talked to QB Jimmy Garoppolo on Friday after the trade was made? What was the message delivered to him and how did he react?

JL: "I think the answer, we both spoke to Jimmy. Kyle did right away and I did later in the day. I'll let Kyle go after this, but the message was what we were doing, why we were doing it and how he is very much still a part of our plans. I believe those conversations should remain private, but Jimmy, he welcomes competition. So, I'll leave it at that. Kyle, you go ahead."

Head Coach Kyle Shanahan: "Yeah, very similar. Wanted to get it to Jimmy definitely before it came out. So, called him first thing, had a good conversation with him. Obviously, no one wants to hear that and I know that he wasn't totally excited about it, like you'd expect, but Jimmy handled it great like he always does. We were very straight up with each other and I told him how we felt. This doesn't change any of his circumstances right now. He's still coming in here trying to lead this team. I told him how excited I was that free agency went a lot better than we anticipated with being able to sign a lot more of our own players than we had thought going into it and that we've got a real good team coming back here and we still plan on him leading us and getting as far as we can with him."

I'm sure you saw yesterday that Peter King reported that you guys were likely to head to Tuscaloosa tomorrow for Alabama's pro day. Kyle, you’ve seldom been seen on the pro day circuit, so this seems like it's a big deal. A, is that right, are you going to Alabama? And B, what was the thought process on going there instead of Ohio State? Why not go to BYU or to North Dakota State, some of those other pro days?

KS: "Well, yeah, one, we have people at all the spots. A lot of people we trust and will be able to meet with here over the next month. I normally don't like to go to them a bunch unless I have to for some reason, but I also have been kind of grown up in the idea that you don't like to go everywhere and show people things. When you're sitting at 12 and stuff, I don't want to go to a bunch of quarterback pro days and things like that. Now that you move up to three, you don't have to hide as much. It's not as big of a deal to me as it might've been when we were sitting at 12. Also, Alabama's already had one. It's their second one and just talking with [former Ohio State QB Justin] Fields' agent and everything, we'll get another one from him, too. So, we'll be able to see him. That kind of made it an easy decision."

Kyle and John, this is for both of you, but Kyle, you just mentioned that your plans are to try to make a run at this thing this year. How much of this decision that you made and to hang onto Jimmy is driven by the fact that you believe you can compete this year, but also maybe concerns about his injury history?

KS: "I think we had to look at everything. You hope to be competing to get into the playoffs every single year, which is the ultimate deal to get you a chance at the Super Bowl. So, that's your goal every year. The more you look into this league, it's, especially our four years here, it's very hard to succeed when your starting quarterback doesn't say healthy or if you don't have one of those true starting quarterbacks. We've gotten that with Jimmy. He's played at a very high level when he's played. It's been tough, the two years he's missed. It's been hard to compete the same way, so we knew we had to look into that this year, I think, as everyone expected. You learn a lot about this stuff, you take into the salary cap, all the things that go on. We were hoping to get a younger guy in here eventually, and to look at this year to where we feel we had a chance to do it, we were excited about it. You're making those decisions and trying to plan it out. Also, at the same time, free agency's going on. So, you don't know exactly what type of team you're going to have through at all. I guess when the dust settles and we signed a bunch of our guys back and you feel you've got a team, does that change how you feel about going to get a rookie quarterback? It might a little bit, as far as that Week One or that season coming up, but as far as your whole organization, I think that's something we felt pretty strongly at early on that if we could find the right guys for that guy to be, we'd like to get in that position to do that."

JL: "Yeah, I would echo what Kyle says. I think he said it well, but yeah, the impetus for these conversations with some of the other teams we talked to about moving up, it really started out of a want at first. The NFL has set up that free agency comes first, then the draft. Well, it'd be nice to know for free agency, what are we dealing with it? Nobody was ready to pull the trigger then. So, those first conversations happened early in March, but as free agency went, as we started going through and we're happy with the results. We retained a lot of our key people. We added to it. Yeah, we felt like we have a team that can compete. At the same time, I think [president of 49ers enterprises & executive vice president of football operations] Paraag [Marathe], [vice president, football administration] Brian Hampton, that crew has done a tremendous job of leaving us some flexibility. We went to ownership said, 'Hey, things are looking good. We'd like to make this move, but we also don't want to say goodbye to Jimmy. We think Jimmy, we've shown we can get to a Super Bowl with him. We can play at a high level and we don't think those two things have to be mutually exclusive.' So, the opportunity to trade up and possibly get a guy that can be a big part of our future and keep Jimmy who we're very high on and I think some positive things are happening in this offseason for, that's kind of the plan we arrived at. We're very excited. It was a stated goal that we needed to come out with the quarterback position being stronger this year and I think we've put ourselves in an opportunity to make that happen with this move."

Could you maybe describe how strong a sense you have on what the top two picks are going to do? I don't know if you want to like get into, just depicting what your top three options would be, or if you pinpointed one exactly?

JL: "Well, I think anytime you're projecting, it's just like you. We don't have intel on what's going on other than what's been out there. I think those two teams have been pretty forthright. [Jacksonville Jaguars head coach] Urban Meyer has been on record. They were obviously there watching [former Clemson QB] Trevor [Lawrence] at Clemson and who knows what happens with the Jets. I think ultimately the decision we made was, we were very comfortable with this group of players at the top of this draft. And, we felt like putting our self in position to get up to three, where we kind of controlled things, was something very attractive to us. We talked to a few teams and I think there was traction with Miami early. We just had really good dealings with them. Very appreciative to [Miami Dolphins general manager] Chris Grier, [Miami Dolphins head coach] Brian Flores, [Miami Dolphins owner] Stephen Ross, their owner. I think they were first-class this entire way and we were able to bring it to a close on Friday while we were up at BYU."

Just reading between the lines, it seems like you really do want to keep Jimmy Garoppolo, but if someone blew you away with a trade offer, you would have to consider that. I guess for starters, is that accurate?

KS: "Yeah, that's accurate with every player on our team. I mean, probably including myself. If someone blows us away with a trade for me, I bet you John would trade me. I mean, definitely. We’re in a situation where when you bring in a rookie quarterback, to me, it's always better, especially on the team that you have, if you've got a veteran starter there already who you like and you're comfortable winning with. That's usually the direction you want to go and not throw someone else out into the fire until they're fully ready. That's the situation we're at. When you look at free agency, if it goes the other way around and you do things differently, maybe. But right now, Jimmy, it's going to be hard to find a quarterback that gives us a better chance to win than Jimmy right now, especially even a rookie in the draft. So, that's what you look into. Now, if someone wanted something for that and it can make your team better in a lot of other ways, you listen to that, but also depends on how good you feel about that rookie. We're not there yet right now and odds are, we probably won't be. That's why we're happy that we don't have to be that way. We've got a guy in here who we know we can win with, a guy that our players love, that we love and we're excited to have him this year and we're excited to have a hell of a quarterback right behind him learning for when the time is his."

JL: "Agreed."

Not to get too dramatic, but decisions like this, franchises can reach great heights or fall to great depths. No one takes a quarterback at number three and thinks he's going to fail. Everyone loves the quarterback they take at number three, but history shows that doesn't work out. I guess, do you have an appreciation or an excitement about taking a risk like this? Maybe you don't view it as a risk right now, and what it could mean for the future of the franchise?

KS: "I'll say just, it's a risk every single year you go into an NFL season without one of those top five guys. It's very tough to win in this league and there's only a few quarterbacks that you're going to win because of just the quarterback. Very few, and even those guys still need a good team around them. So yeah, you've got to take risks. This is a risk we were willing to take. We looked at how our four years have gone. We looked at how we want the next four years to go and we'll look to where we're at in the draft and the options that are there. That's why I sit in there, looking at this stuff since January and going all the way through the process. We felt pretty strongly we were going to get left at the altar sitting there at 12, the way that we think this draft is going to go and the way all these candidates are, and the way a lot of teams are in a position trying to take a risk to fill that need that I just said about. Almost every team's in that position except, I don't know, 10 of them. So yeah, it's a risk, but that's every season in this league is a risk."

JL: "I would just add to that, that of course, this was made with a lot of deliberation, a lot of study, a lot of opinions from multiple people and we ultimately arrived that we thought it was worth it. We also, I think, paid somewhat of a premium for doing it early and why was that important to us? Because, well, one thing I always remember [former San Francisco 49ers head coach] Bill Walsh, one thing he used to talk about a lot when I was at Stanford was you've got to beat your opponent to the punch. We felt like it was a matter of time before the first domino fell and we wanted to be a part of that. Once we decided this was something we wanted to do and might we pay a little bit of a premium for that? Yeah, but we felt like this was a priority. This was a priority for our football organization going forward. So, absolutely you understand, you study historically how things work, but we've got great confidence in this group of players that are up there. Now we hone in and continue to examine each and every guy that we have interest in at that spot and ultimately do our best to find the guy who's going to be a great part of this organization's future."

This is for Kyle, just given with former North Dakota State QB Trey Lance, he played in a pro-style system, but given he only had one game in 2020 and overall the sample is relatively small, how does that change the evaluation process from your standpoint? And a second question, is Chris Simms privy to your decision at number three?

KS: "Yeah. I tell him everything. No, I mean, it's always hard when a guy didn't play this year. Definitely. He played one game, so I don't think people are going to go a ton off of one game. You've got to go off his body of work and you've got to play the whole season before, so of course we'd all wish he could have had one. We wish [former BYU QB Zach] Wilson could have a full season, too. There's a lot of things that happened this year and we also wish we could go personally work out everybody. I wish I could go out to dinner with everybody. There's a lot of things that make it harder for everyone this year, but the draft's hard every year. So, I mean, if you look at it over history, 50-50 is pretty good. So, you throw in a lot more variables and it makes it harder, but is it going to make it worse than 50-50? I don't know, but one thing that I kind of liked with what we did, when you sit at 12 and everyone's talking about there's possibly five guys that could go around there and man, you can't work these guys out. You can't go out to dinner with them, but you've got to find out a lot more about these guys. How do you do that without tipping your hand off to everyone? And that was also one of the frustrating things to be sitting there like, man, we don't want to go try to see someone or do all this stuff or be Zooming all the time and now everyone knows how hard we're trying to do something. You get to three, you don't have to mess with that stuff and I think that gives us a better chance now to do our due diligence because we don't have to really play any games in that way."

I don't expect you to list out your preferences here, but is former Alabama QB Mac Jones in your mind worthy of that top echelon and is he somebody that you've liked for a while?

KS: "Yeah. I mean, I just saw him in January for the first time, along with all these other guys. So, they've all been in that boat. I was joking, I didn't finish that answer to that last one on Chris, but trust me, Chris talks about everything. Therefore, I haven't been able to talk to him in a couple of years. Anyone who you're friends with who speaks in the media and people think you're friends with them, that means you're not allowed to tell them anything. That's why he doesn't even ask me stuff because if he does ask me something and I tell him, then he can't say it, but Chris does a good job with that stuff and I respect listening to him. That's why I always do listen to his opinions because he's not a guy who just calls people to get his opinions. Chris works at it. That's why he wanted to be a coach for a little bit, spending a year in New England and stuff. He didn't like the hours, I understand. But, he loves watching quarterbacks and doing that stuff. So, I always love to hear his evaluation. What was your question after that, because I cleared that last one. Oh yeah, about Mac. You know I can't answer exactly of the stuff, but the way we looked at it is, to move up to three, we had to feel good that there's three guys we'd be comfortable with leading our team for a long time. We couldn't make that decision before there was three guys, so we had to feel that way with three. Now, I think there's a chance to get there with four and five. There's a chance. There are five guys that are kind of at this party a little bit and people are talking about them going everywhere. They're all over in the first round. Our feeling is these guys are going to go a lot higher than people realize and when you have two guys sitting at one and two, could even possibly be three and four. Then you hear a lot of teams all the way through the draft who are in a situation where they really want a quarterback and they don't have someone close to what we have with Jimmy. It means those five guys are going to disappear pretty fast. So, we had to feel confident at three to make this move and that's what we did. I'm excited about, now we know there's five players. Who do you want to put your future in? Well, glad we've got a month to really work on it."

Both of you had spoken about how important resigning your free agents were. When you look at the timelines, resigning T Trent Williams and FB Kyle Juszczyk, how much did that influence going up and moving for that trade for the number three spot and kind of the timeline of how that all progressed?

JL: "Yeah, so good question and so much has transpired. I'm trying to put it all together, but first of all you know, I told you the timing. The initial calls on this trade kind of went out early in March, probably that first week of March. A lot of teams weren't ready because this is such a different year, so the process really hadn't happened. You know, imagine this time, typically, we would have been to a combine, started 30 visits and all those things. That hasn't transpired. So, for a lot of teams, they just got kind of like, 'We're not ready do that yet because we want to go through the process a little bit more.' Then free agency starts and yes, it's important for some dominoes to fall on. I believe the first one was Juice and we were very excited. He was someone who's a very important part of this football team in every way, with the way Kyle and his staff utilizes him in a multitude of different ways, to being a great example for everybody here in terms of the work ethic and what you put into your body to be successful in this game. Then Trent. Trent was obviously a major priority. He's one of the better players in football in my mind. We made that trade. We worked hard late in the season to get something done. Trent was enamored, as he should be, with the opportunity to reach free agency and I think had us nervous, but ultimately, we were able to get something done and we were thrilled. So, everything plays into it, but probably more so the idea of going ahead and doing that, but also having plans of rolling with Jimmy as well. That probably was influenced by our success in free agency in our mind. We all know that this will be judged over time. To kind of keep the whole thing together was influenced by the success that we were able to have in free agency."

This one's for John. When you talk about some of those dominoes, how big of a domino was the DL Dee Ford restructure for you to be able to fit both Jimmy and this number three pick in your 2021 cap situation and how is Dee Ford doing right now?

JL: "Well, Dee's doing well. With that type of injury, you don't want to get too high or too low and I think he's really in a good place. He's working. He's been here every day. He's working extremely hard. It's encouraging to look out my window and see things progress, but I think we'll leave it at that, but we're very appreciative to Dee and his representative Adisa [Bakari] for working with us to come up with something that would allow for us to gain some more room. He worked with us and we're extremely appreciative. I think, both sides won there. I think on that note, just would really like to thank Paraag, Brian Hampton, [contract administrator] Richard Buffum and [manager, salary cap] Jeff Diamond. Those guys do tremendous work. It's funny, we refer to them as ‘the Fed’ because they kind of set prices for the entire league and agents look forward to their pricing of players in free agency. This year in particular, because we didn't have a combine where a lot of that stuff goes on. I think a lot of people were relying on them and those guys did a tremendous job working through and the relationships with agents and I thought were really excellent in what they were able to contribute, as well as our pro staff led by [director of pro personnel] Ran Carthon and [pro personnel scout] R.J. Gillen, [pro personnel analyst] Salli Clavelle and [pro personnel analyst] Fred Gammage. They were all a part of this. Kyle and I believe in listening to everyone and creating a good team where everyone feels empowered and feels like their opinion matters. I think what we've been able to accomplish thus far is very representative of a lot of efforts from a lot of different people."

Kyle, there's a perception that your ideal archetype quarterback is Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins, and that that's somehow rigid. You said your process has sort of evolved over the years. How accurate is that perception and how has your decision-making on quarterbacks evolved?

KS: "I probably change my number every time. I sometimes say there's five, I sometimes say there's 10, but they're all different, but there's 10 of them, whatever that number is. You want an elite player and of course if you can get a guy who is elite with his arm and can play in that pocket and do everything and still run around and make off-schedule plays. I mean, that's what you've seen with [Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick] Mahomes. Everybody wants something like that, but there is a risk to everything and you've got to see that in the draft, you've got to see it in college. It's not that these guys are just coming. I mean, no one's probably been talented like that. Some have. [Former Denver Broncos QB John] Elway's pretty talented and there's people, but there's more talented players playing these positions in college. So, I do think there's more options coming into the league, but if you can't sit in that pocket and play the position, eventually it's not going to matter. So, they both go hand in hand. To say that my prototypical guy is someone like Kirk Cousins, I mean, that's just, everyone knows my history with Kirk. We drafted him in the fourth round at Washington. I got to coach him for three games. We were fired. I left. Thought we'd have a chance to get him here in free agency and I would have loved to have him in free agency until Jimmy came along the year before, because I thought we could have won with him, just like Minnesota has. I think Kirk does a good job for whatever team he plays for every year. There's a number of quarterbacks like that, but that's the only one I've been associated with because people thought I was trying to bring him here, which I was at the time. It's not because that's how you draw it up. If you're going to draw it up, you're going to draw the biggest, fastest, strongest and best quarterback in the pocket. So, I think that's pretty ridiculous to say that, but I also tell you, I love Kirk. I know I'm not allowed to talk about other players, but Kirk's a hell of a player and a lot of people would be lucky to have a quarterback like that."

Kyle, does the decision-making you guys are making at number three, is it any different knowing that you have Jimmy there in terms of whether you're looking at a guy who maybe needs to sit for a little bit to develop, you have that luxury maybe because you have Jimmy? Does it alter anything at all?

KS: "I think you weigh all that stuff in, especially when you have a month to really do it. You look at our team and everything, and you want to have an idea of what this guy can do right away, how he fits in your team right away and what that means for the future, but I don't think you want to make a decision to move up to three and do what we did just based off of what's the best for one year. So, you want to take that into account, especially when there's a number of candidates there. It's not like there is just one guy. So, when there's three to five guys who could be there, you're going to take all that into account, but we've got to make sure we get the right guy for the future, not just this year."

I think I'm connecting the dots. I don't think it's that complicated based on what you said, but I just wanted to flush it out a little bit more. Say you guys had kind of stunk it up in free agency and it didn't go well, are you kind of saying you would look at the team and say, 'Hey, maybe this is not a Super Bowl contender and you would have been more apt to maybe deal Jimmy and roll with a rookie quarterback?’ I just want to make sure I'm following what you said.

KS: "You're trying to connect a lot of dots and so have we since January. That's the problem. You're trying to decide on stuff in January. What direction do you want to go? You hear people like [Los Angeles Rams QB Matt] Stafford available. You hear [Houston Texans QB] Deshaun [Watson]. You go to the draft, you go to free agency. You think about your own. You think about your own team. It's a lot of stuff to go back and forth on. So, there's no, 'Hey, this is exactly what we want to do.' It's, 'Hey, what if A, B and C happen? Well, then we've got to do this. What if D and F happen. Then, we've got to do this.' We weren't totally in the position just to dictate anything. So, you kind of do the best with what you've got in each situation but when it was all said and done and the way it's finished, we feel great about it, but that's also why we tried to get up to the spot, to number three, so we could control our own decisions a little bit and not just sit there and try to play everything off each other. So, there was no set plan, but we also knew, 'Hey, in free agency, the way this salary cap just went, there's a chance we won't be able to sign back many of our own guys.' That's what our players and us were worried about all season. That was tough to go through that and fortunately for the 49ers, we were able to, but you never knew that until free agency. We didn't know anything until the draft. At least after we made this trade, we got a much better understanding of what we're going to do in the draft."

JL: "Yeah and I would just add to that. I think we've been fairly consistent and resolute about Jimmy being a part of us this entire offseason. I think probably the equation, the combination of both moving up and keeping Jimmy, that probably crystallized as free agency, in our minds, went well, that that could be a possibility, because I think at one point, well, if we're going to do this, then does it make sense? Then ultimately, that's where we arrived at. So, I think you try to keep a lot of balls in the air, try to see what your options are, but one thing consistent, we've been pleased with Jimmy. We know we can win with Jimmy and then ultimately, we arrived at this deal after free agency that, okay, if we're going to move up, let's do both. I think that became something that was more viable in our minds once free agency went, as we feel in our hearts, in a positive direction for us."

KS: "I think a hard decision for us, too, is when you committed what we did to Jimmy, and you've got a guy who's really only played one year and in one year of football, when you look at the numbers he had, how efficient he was and how close we got to winning the Super Bowl, he's got a lot of untapped potential also. So that's a hard thing for us, too. It's not like, we're not giving up on Jimmy because he can't play or anything. Jimmy can play. He's only gotten to do it one year. We also like the person, too. We also know we can't go through a year of what's happened two out of the last three years. So, that's something we had to protect the organization with, and there's lots of ways to go into that, but it wasn't just a slam dunk decision on this guy can play, this guy can't play. You've got a lot of options and you're in a lot of different spots to acquire those and how does it all balance out? Trust me, I mean, my wife, when she listens to my phone calls with John when we're trying to be on vacation, she thinks we're having the same conversation eight times a day and we kind of are because we're just circling through all this stuff. The first time I woke up with a little bit more clarity is when we made this trade, because it's still not done like exactly where we're going and stuff, but it was like, 'All right, now it's much more clear.' There's not as many dots to connect."

As far as untapping Jimmy's potential, what's your guys' sense on the offseason, the spring offseason, OTAs, mini camps, whether you're going to have that? Does that sort of influence your quarterback decision in that maybe a rookie without a spring wouldn't be able to get up to speed to be able to run the offense efficiently by Week 1?

JL: "Yeah, I think that's a question that every team is very eager to find out, as are the players. What's this offseason going to look like? I think Kyle's been a part of the steering committee in terms of coaches on what they need out of an offseason. So, the league's working hard. It's in the CBA that there will be an offseason. Obviously, with COVID, things can be affected and adjusted. I know they're working hard, the league and the union, coming up with the right formula, but that, as far as we know, still hasn't been decided as of yet. There's a lot of ideas what might happen and as Kyle said earlier, I think all those things go into the equation. A lot of players suffered last year, a lot of young players, not just rookies. It's hard to improve in this league when you don't have an offseason. That's an integral part of improvement is opportunity, is reps. For some of the older players, maybe not as important, but for young players, offseasons are critical. So, we hope we have that opportunity with our players. We understand the league's working hard to come up with the best situation, along with the union and looking forward to some clarity here soon on what that's going to look like."

I think in December, you kind of mentioned just running through the different possibilities at quarterback of the Patrick Mahomes, former Washington Football Team QB Alex Smith set up in Kansas City. How much is that something that you looked at when you were kind of evaluating these different options and did you even go so far as to maybe make some calls to see how that all worked when the Chiefs did that?

KS: "No, but I mean, that's a good example. I think that's the most obvious example of having a really good quarterback and drafting a young guy and still having success that year with your veteran and moving on the next year. That's the nearest one we have to go off of, but I don't really look at stuff like that because I think each situation is its own situation. When you go back to other years, they traded this for this so is this worth it? Each situation has its own situation. I look at ours, I learn from everything through my own experience and just reading about football and watching it over the years. That's why we all develop our opinions, but just like the perfect play call or the perfect throw, you don't know until the end of it. Stuff is adjusting at all times and you've got to always be ready to adjust and do the best with opportunities you have."

Kyle, two things. One, we talked about Jimmy Garoppolo, whether he'd be receptive to this. Are you fully expecting him to take part in the offseason program? Like, is there any pushback from Jimmy on that? And then the other one was, in terms of the ownership, was this the biggest ask you've had of them in these four years of pulling off this kind of trade? Did you have to really explain it hard for them and whatever they said?

KS: "I'm sure Jimmy was a little pissed off from it, just like I would be, too, but me knowing Jimmy, he'll be fired up and come in and he'll work his butt off. Knowing Jimmy, the more mad Jimmy gets, usually the better he gets. So, if Jimmy just gets madder and he stays healthy, I mean, this is going to be a good thing for Jimmy, too, which could be a great problem for the 49ers. So, I hope Jimmy's all right with it and I expect him to be, and I'm excited to have him come in here and see what he's been doing when he's away and hopefully we'll have a team here that we can work and practice with, which, as John just said, I think will eventually happen."

JL: "Yeah, I think from the beginning, since Kyle and I have been here, part of the reason we came here, ownership's been tremendously supportive. [CEO] Jed's [York] around here a lot and I guess particularly with a pandemic, people aren't traveling as much, he's here a lot, but he allows us to do our work. Kyle and I spend a lot of time together talking about various scenarios and he's always kept abreast of what's going on. So, it kind of was happening real time and there was ongoing communication with our ownership, but yes, of course, when you're going to make a move like we did, there is that, okay, now we really have to talk, because we're about to do this. What do you think? Are you supportive of that? Are you on board? And what about this wrinkle? From day one, he has been supportive and it's not without explanation. We explain why we're thinking certain things and I talked to Jed, talked to [co-chairman] Dr. [John] York, occasionally we get to talk to [co-chairman] Denise [DeBartolo York]. That's always fun. The family has been nothing but supportive since we've been here and they were on this."

Kyle, I just want to make sure I'm clear on this. Did you say you probably are going to get to a Justin Fields second pro day? Also, you've been with him at that QB collective camp at least once, maybe multiple times. Do you know him? Do you feel comfortable with your knowledge about where Justin Fields is in this kind of hierarchy?

KS: "Yeah, I feel comfortable. That QB thing, I've only, I've done it once and I think he was a junior in high school then, which was really cool to go do that. Hope I'm not in trouble for that. That was like seven years ago. We talked to [NFL agent] Dave Mulugheta the other day and he said that they'd be able to set up another one. That's why we chose on Alabama. So, I'm excited to see him eventually in person, but also got a lot of tape to go off, too, which I know he's going to throw it really good in person and be really fast in personal also."

This is for both of you. A number of your players that we've spoken to talked about one of the reasons they wanted to come back, aside from the competitive team, was that it felt like a family. Kyle, from where you coached and John, from where you played, how important was that to you when you came into the organization and how much more comfortable does that make an uncomfortable conversation with a player like Jimmy?

KS: "I mean, I agree with that. I think that was one of the hardest things for me personally last year, just talking to those guys throughout the whole year and a lot of those guys not knowing their future and me not being able to tell them exactly where I stood. With the salary cap changing like it did with COVID, we had a four-year, five-year plan. You're going through all that and when it got adjusted that drastically, there was a lot of guys that we felt were a part of this family that we weren't able to show them that love because we didn't know how the salary cap was going to work out. I think that was the hardest thing for us, because we wanted to keep those guys. You always want to keep your homegrown guys, that's what I say. Losing guys like [New England Patriots WR Kendrick] Bourne was tough, but happy for him. I mean, he got paid, so it was great for him, but when it all came back and we were able to keep some of our own guys, it was unfortunate, I felt bad for a lot of those guys, just because of how this all panned out this year with the salary cap hurting a lot of people. When you do get back with people you really love being around, guys you like working for, and I know free agency was tough on a lot of those guys, not just our own team, but around the whole league and being able to connect with those guys when it was all said and done and to see how hard like the week had been for them and stuff, but to also know that they were genuinely excited to be back, I can tell you the same way I feel, the same way my family feels, the same way everyone in this team feels because we do feel close like players say."

JL: "That is important to us. I think it's a part of this organization's fabric and culture long before we got here. I look at the great championship teams. Those guys are still close. They all live around here, a lot of them do and they're extremely close. I think of the best teams I played on, those teams are close and it felt like family. Yes, you take examples, you take note of things that happened during your career. I've always said that [former Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach] Tony Dungy was always very influential in terms of he talked to everybody who came in the building, he talked to everybody who left and he just was extremely honest. [Former Denver Broncos head coach] Mike Shanahan was very much that same way. I think it's one of the things Kyle and I hit it off on is our own families are very important to us, our extended families, which are our teammates and we try to be as upfront and honest, as forthright with these guys. We try to understand that yes, it's a business, but we can still get close with these guys as well and I think we've done that. I think it serves you well in a situation like this. There were a lot of great surprises to be honest with. A guy like [DL] D.J. Jones. We never thought we'd have an opportunity to bring him back. Those decisions that you make are gut wrenching in terms of prioritizing because we like them all, you know, but you have to say, 'Okay, we're going to try to get these guys done. These guys might out-price themselves for what we can do.' Unfortunately for those guys, this was a weird year where the cap came down drastically and there were a lot of players left out there and the hard thing is when players have performed and then that market's not there. What we try to do is say, 'Hey, look, if it's a one-year deal, we know you, you know us. This is a great place for you to go show your value so that next year you can go do this again and maybe at that point we can be a part of it.' We're very fortunate that a lot of those guys, [CB] K'Waun [Williams], D.J. [S Jaquiski] Tartt, even like [CB] Dontae Johnson, I mean, those guys came back to us, [CB] Jason Verrett. Jason's situation was different, but all those guys are important to us. Family's important to us and really excited that we got so many of them back."

KS: "I will say, like going through free agency, which is so tough, but like I’m really proud of that we have a place with our GM, all our coaches, our players, with our owner, that you can get an honest answer from people. It's tough to do in this business because it's very competitive. There's so much stuff going on, but I feel we've got a place where everyone shoots each other straight and that is close to a family. Sometimes it's not always good. Sometimes you might upset people for a couple of days, but you at least know who you can trust and those are usually the people you stay close with most of your life."



Monday, March 29, 2021

Examining the fit: Nate Gerry and Mohamed Sanu

By Scooter_McG

Somewhat lost amid the news the 49ers were trading up to pick #3, the 49ers added a couple more depth pieces in FA late last week in LB Nate Gerry and WR Mohamed Sanu.

Nate Gerry has played four seasons in the NFL, all with the Eagles, after being a 5th round selection in 2017. He played as a safety for Nebraska in college, and was PFF’s second highest graded college safety in 2016. At 6’2” and approximately 220lbs at the NFL combine (now up to 230lbs according to NFL.com), his athletic profile better suited the modern day coverage LB and that is where the Eagles played him. He started 22 of the 46 games he played for the Eagles over the past four years, while also being a contributor on STs.

Following Gerry’s signing, he reportedly indicated that the reason he signed with the 49ers over other offers was due to the “opportunity for more playing time, and the potential to start”. With Warner and Greenlaw presumably locked in as starters, this would suggest the 49ers see Gerry as a potential option to play the SAM position in 4-3 base, which has been manned in recent seasons by other, smaller LB/S hybrids such as Alexander, Nzeocha and Flannigan-Fowles. He will also no doubt provide depth behind Warner and Greenlaw, while also contributing on STs which continues to be a point of focus for the players being brought in.

For Sanu, this represents his second stint with the team having been on the 49ers roster for three games last season, before being released. He also played seven games for the Lions (with four starts). Sanu is very familiar with Kyle Shanahan’s offense having also played for the Falcons in their record setting 2016 season.

In his prime Sanu was a respectable number two WR with a play style very much in the mold of Kendrick Bourne. In his nine seasons he has four times exceeded the 50 catch mark, while he has five seasons surpassing 500 yards. However, at this stage in Sanu’s career he is now more of a backup and rotational WR than a bona fide starter. For the 49ers Sanu brings veteran leadership qualities that are otherwise sorely lacking in the WR room. He has the potential to fill in as Bourne’s replacement (though he was unable to supplant Bourne last season), but I suspect he will be in something of a battle just to make the final 53-man roster. If he doesn’t make the 53, don’t be surprised if he is kept around as one of the 49ers veteran PS members.

Sunday, March 28, 2021

2021 NFL Daft

 Nope, it's not a misprint. After trading up to the #3 pick from #12, the 49ers have put themselves in a position to select their franchise qb. Most lucid scouting circles have them ranked as follows:

Lawrence

Wilson

Fields/Lance

Jones

In the wild, wild NFC west there's a new sheriff in LA. Stafford is joining the likes of, Wilson and Murray. As if that wasn't wild enough, we have a chance to add, Fields or Lance. Now, there's been talk around town that, Mac Jones shouldn't be ruled out. Say what?! This is where our little play on words comes in by substituting the word, "daft" for draft. How completely absurd is the idea that, Shanny would give up a total of 3 1st round picks and change for, Mac Jones? Off the charts absurd. Just because he loves himself some, Kirk Cousins in the 4th round does not translate to taking, Mac Jones at pick #3. So, you have to ask yourself, would anyone put together that kind of deal for, Kirk Cousins? No, not even, Kyle Shanahan. That's not to say he doesn't love him. I'm sure he does but it's not that kind of love. It's not the kind of love it takes to put your career on the line for. Especially after missing out on, Mahomes, Watson and Allen. 


Justin Fields' pro day will be tuesday. The 49ers were not represented at Alabama's pro day. Miami traded down because they want Watson. Tua will get the year, the Dolphins will draft a wr, while having the assets to acquire, Watson if , Tua falters. The Eagles traded down because they saw enough of Jones and are good with Hurts over him. Hurts will also get a year to prove he's the guy. I'm told if you wanted, Mac Jones you'd be able to get him at #10. GM John Lynch, assistant GM, Peters and director of college scouting, Waugh weren't the only ones in attendance at Zach Wilson's pro day. Rumor has it Big Shanny was there as well, allegedly in the crowd. Big Shanny doesn't show up if it's not to sign off, on Zach Wilson. Corey Davis was told they are keeping, Darnold just so he'd sign with New York. The Jets are taking, Penei Sewell and the 49ers are taking, Zach Wilson. Who's with me?

Saturday, March 27, 2021

Grading the Moves by MidWestDynasty



Now that a good amount of time has passed since the start of free agency, I think now is a great time to grade the moves the 49ers have made. Please note I intend to grade what I see as the more important moves.  So here we go.

TRENT WILLIAMS 

Bringing back Williams ensures that the 49ers will have a viable blindside protector for Jimmy Garoppolo for the foreseeable future.  And on the surface, the deal looks like a good one for both sides.
But should the 49ers have given Williams a six-year deal that makes him the richest offensive tackle in the league?  He's 33 and considerable injury history.  Williams has said he wants to play into his late thirties or early forties, but how realistic is that goal given that he has not played in a full season since 2013?  And while the 49ers make not have acquired someone of his caliber, the team could have drafted a viable replacement in what looks to be a good draft for offensive tackles and paid a lot less.
I said before free agency that the 49ers should not give Williams anything longer than a four-year deal or make him the richest NFL OT, and I maintain said stance.  The reasoning behind the contract makes sense, but this has the makings of another bad and expensive contract the 49ers have given out.

GRADE:  C+

KYLE JUSZCZKY

The FB position is a dying breed in today's NFL, so it may not seem like a good idea to dole out another big contract to Kyle Juszczky.  
But Juszczky is easily the best at his position.  He is an able blocker in the run or passing game, can pound the rock on the ground, and open up the offense as a capable pass-catcher who can make defense pay if they leave him unattended.
Granted, he will be 34 if he plays through his entire contract and Kyle Shanahan needs to utilize him more, but there is probably not a better fit for the 49ers than Juszczky.

GRADE:  A-

RESTRUCTURE OF WESTON RICHBURG CONTRACT

This was the right move for all involved.  Sadly, Richburg has not been able to live up to his contract due to one unfortunate injury after another, and word has it that he will most likely retire.  Meanwhile, the 49ers gained some much-needed cap space to be able to address other needs in free agency.

GRADE:  A+

JASON VERRETT

Jason Verrett is a tough one to grade.  Sure Verret reportedly took a one-year deal when he has a more profitable multi-year deal offered to him from elsewhere, and he easily makes the 49ers secondary better when he is on the field.
And therein lies the rub.
When Verrett was on the field, his ability to play man and zone coverage was a huge boon.  However, his injury history is nothing to be as excited about because he has yet to play full slate of games in his career.  Verrett has only played in over 10 games twice, with one being last year.
Will lightning or the injury bug strike again for Verrett?  That, my fellow fans, is the $5 million dollar question.

GRADE:  B

SAMSON EBUKAM

This was an interesting signing because Ebukam is probably expected to take over for Hyder, who will most likely not be returning to the 49ers.  
So what does Ebukam bring to the table?  Good question!  I am glad you asked that.  And if you didn't, then just pretend you did.
Kyle Posey of ninersnation.com wrote an article that included a comparison between now Seahawk Kerry Hyder and Samson Ebukam.

Kerry Hyder
QB Sack Rate:  2.9%
QB Knockdown:  2.3%
QB Pressure Rate:  12.6%

Samson Ebukam
QB Sack Rate:  2.9%
QB Knockdown:  1.9%
QB Pressure Rate:  14.7%

Those numbers are surprisingly close, so imagine what Ebukam could do under 49ers defensive line coach Kris Kocurek, who has a knack for bringing more out of the players he coaches.
I will admit that I did not see the reasoning behind Ebukam's signing, but as I have gathered more information about him, I feel like he could end up being an upgrade over Hyder and potentially the best deal for the 49ers in this free agency period.

GRADE:  A-

ALEX MACK

I like this signing because Mack is a definite fit for Shanahan's offense and brings an immediate and necessary upgrade over what the 49ers had in 2020 in terms of skill set and health.
But the same questions that applied to Trent Williams in regards to his age and how much he has left in the tank apply to Mack as well and even more so given he is 35.  
But unlike Williams, Mack could easily be a one or two-year rental the 49ers can move on from if need be.  Just as long as they find or groom his replacement.

GRADE:  B+

EMMANUEL MOSELEY

One of the first things the 49ers did before free agency began was sign restricted free agent Moseley to a two-year deal.  While signing him gives the 49ers a decent starter opposite of Verrett, I think a solid argument could be made that could have done more at the position.  
Mosley has been a good but not great CB for the 49ers secondary, and some even thought he would be moved to NCB.  And while Moseley's signing does not necessarily preclude the team from drafting a starting CB in the draft, I wouldn't bank on it given how much priority the team has given to the secondary in the past aside from resigning Jimmie Ward last season and bringing in Richard Sherman for a three-year stint.  What's worse is Moseley could easily become the #1 CB if Verrett's injury history rears its ugly head during the season.  Not a comforting thought in the least bit.

GRADE:  C-

K'WANN WILLIAMS

While Williams has never started an entire season, he had started more than 13 games in a season until last year, when he only started in eight of them.  And when he has, he is considered one of the best at his position.  His market was probably weak due to him missing eight games, which is probably why Williams re-upped with the 49ers.  Their gain.

GRADE:  B+

SS JAQUISKI TARTT

Tartt could easily be considered the most underrated starter for the secondary of the 49ers for the past three years.  When he is on the field, Tartt and Ward create one of the better safety tandems in the NFC West, if not the conference.  
But that has been the issue for Tartt; he has not been able to stay on the field.  This is why the 49ers appear ready to move forward with Tavarius Moore as the starter going forward.  
Bringing Tartt back most likely doesn't change that plan, but it does provide a safety net in case Moore falters.

GRADE:  B

RESTRUCTURING CONTRACT OF DEE FORD

This was something that needed to happen.  
Since being traded to and signing with the 49ers in 2019, Ford has failed to start in half of the games due to one injury or another, with the most persistent being related to his back.  There was no way the team could justify continuing to pay Ford what they were, but it also could not afford the guaranteed money he would have been owed if he could not pass a physical and was still on the roster on April 1.  
With the contract restructure, the 49ers will avoid a Jacoby Ellsbury/New York Yankees situation and keep hold of a player who has shown to be a difference-maker when he is healthy.  The only question is whether Ford will get healthy enough to be a contributor on the defense once again.

GRADE:  A-

CONCLUSION

While there were a couple of moves I think the 49ers should and should not have done, I cannot argue against the fact that the 49ers have improved their offensive, which was an absolute must for the team.  I also like the signing of Ebukam, as his numbers indicate he could be equal to or an upgrade over Hyder.
What I am not a fan of is Trent Williams' contract.  I believe it is too long and expensive to the point that it will end up becoming an albatross for the 49ers, especially given how injury-prone Williams has been during his career.
I also wanted to see the 49ers invest a little more at the cornerback position instead of just bringing back Verrett and Moseley.
However, the 49ers appear to have done enough so they can be able to contend in the NFC West.
And what about the Super Bowl, some of you might ask?
That will depend on how healthy the team is during the season.

OVERALL GRADE:  A-











Unpacking the 49ers blockbuster trade

By Scooter_McG

On Friday the 49ers made a bold move by trading pick 12 as well as first round picks in 2022 and 2023 plus a compensatory third rounder in 2022 to the Dolphins to move up to pick #3 overall this year. The move sent shockwaves through the league and in many ways was an unexpected move given the 49ers stated stance that they believe in Jimmy G as their starter.

While this is something we have all been discussing since the news broke, I thought I would take the time to run through my thoughts on the move and what it means.

What are the 49ers thinking at 3?

This one is pretty obvious – the 49ers are drafting a QB. Anything else would be an absolute shocker, and John Lynch has already pretty much confirmed the move is for a QB in an interview with Sam Wyche. The real question is which QB are they taking? General consensus is Lawrence and Wilson will be picked 1 and 2, so that leaves one of Fields, Lance or Jones as the pick, unless the Jags or Jets do the unexpected or the 49ers really want to throw a curve ball.

In my opinion strong arguments can be made for any of these players, and I am sure I will be discussing each guy in some depth over the next month leading up to the draft. But for now I am leaning slightly towards Lance being the “likely” target, though I believe Mac Jones is the guy that most resembles the type of QB Kyle has typically shown a preference for in the past and if they wanted someone to start in 2021 I believe he is the most likely to be able to run Shanahan’s offense at a high level early.

What does this mean for Jimmy G?

Publicly the 49ers are still saying Jimmy G is their QB for 2021. But make no mistake – they are trading up to #3 to draft his replacement. Jimmy G is not in their long term plans. It is now crystal clear to everyone that they don’t really believe in Jimmy G; that he is just the stopgap until they get their guy, and at best the 49ers now see him as a bridge.

This was something that seemed likely to be the case even before this move. Not just because rumours persisted that the 49ers believed Jimmy limited what they could do on offense and were interested in pretty much any QB that became available, though this was certainly a red flag. But because despite the team’s public stance that they believed in Jimmy G their actions (and even some of their comments) over the past year and a half seemed counter to a belief that he was their long term QB. This included continually avoiding restructuring his deal in order to maintain maximum flexibility to parachute out at any moment, as well as seemingly protecting Jimmy at times by dialing back the offense to give him lots of simple, short completions, and numerous moments of visible frustration from Kyle on the sideline when schemed explosive plays were missed.

The question now comes down to how quickly is Jimmy G replaced? We know Jimmy can run Shanahan’s offense effectively and on a strong roster can take the team to the SB. But is the 2021 roster as strong as the 2019 roster? And how much patience will Shanahan afford Jimmy if he continues to be inconsistent week to week knowing he has a nice new shiny toy on the bench that is expected to be the new franchise QB?

And don’t think Jimmy G isn’t aware of all of this. Will he want to play for the 49ers in 2021 knowing he isn’t in the long term plans and could be replaced at any moment?

While John Lynch has publicly said they still want Jimmy G to be the QB in 2021, when asked if they would listen to offers he said they would and that teams have been circling. Part of the 49ers stance on Jimmy G can be seen as posturing to ensure they don’t tank his trade value. Don’t be surprised if Jimmy G isn’t on the 49ers roster this season, and it wouldn’t be a shock if something happens before the draft.

What does this mean for 2021?

If the 49ers do keep JG, this move doesn’t mean a whole lot other than providing a far more talented QB behind JG than they had last year in case of injury or poor performance. The 49ers have kept all of their other 2021 picks and will fill the roster out just the same as if they didn’t trade up.

However, if they do decide to move Jimmy G this year, this could have significant ramifications for the 2021 season. Will the rookie be ready to run the offense? Will he be able to run it as effectively as Jimmy? Who will the team bring in to potentially act as a bridge if needed and help mentor their new QBOTF? And what will the team do with the cap space and trade compensation trading JG would provide?

There has been a lot of debate regarding just how good Jimmy G is, and how much of a factor he played in the team's 2019 success. I think that while the team does think they can win with Jimmy, this move proves once and for all that they believe that Jimmy G holds the team back in some way, shape or form. And rookie QBs are coming in and performing capably more and more as teams incorporate concepts that are similar to what these young QBs are used to in college. Can the team find a similar level of success with a rookie QB as with Jimmy G in 2021? It may not be as far-fetched as you may think, especially if it means the team can then add say a Stephon Gilmore through trade, add an extra high round draft pick, and sign one or two extra FAs that can be significant contributors.

What does this mean for the future?

The hope is that this means the 49ers will have their franchise QB for the foreseeable future, and all things going well for the next decade or more. History over the past two decades has highlighted the importance of having an elite QB or a young QB on their rookie deal in terms of Super Bowl success.

All things going well in 2021, the 49ers were unlikely to be in striking distance to draft their QBOTF in 2022 without giving up significantly more than they gave up this year. And there is no telling when a class of QBs will next be as strong as the 2021 crop is believed to be. This may be the 49ers best chance to find their franchise QB for the foreseeable future.

Losing their first round picks in 2022 and 2023 stings a bit (as well as a compensatory third in 2022), but the hope is those picks would be late picks in the first round anyway and the team will still have plenty of other draft picks to replenish the roster. First round picks are no guarantee of adding top end talent, and you don’t need to look any further than the 49ers 2017 draft to know this is the case. And don’t rule out the 49ers recouping some of those picks by trading Jimmy G, whether it be this year or next.

And by having a starting QB on his rookie deal the 49ers have the leeway to load the rest of the roster with higher priced talent. Having guys like Trent Williams, George Kittle and Arik Armstead on monster deals is not an issue if you are paying your QB around $25M a year less than the going rate for a veteran starter. It also frees up the space to pay the likes of Warner and Bosa as those contracts come up for renewal.

Friday, March 26, 2021

49ers Trading For #3 Pick

 


The #Dolphins and #49ers made a draft trade: SF gets No. 3, while Miami gets no. 12, this years 3 and future 1s, source confirms as said.

So what happens to, Jimmy and which qb are they targeting?

My hunch is, it's Trey Lance. Jimmy stays until next year.

Day 2 Picks

Pick 64 - Renardo Green, CB, Florida St. led the ACC with 14 pass breakups last season and allowed only one catch of more than 20 yards on t...