Friday, December 8, 2023

WEEK 14 9ERS VS SEATTLE AT LEVI STADUM


 by Geep


The 9ers enter the game coming off a blowout win over the Eagles while the Seahags enter the game in desperation mode.

* Seahawks Defense vs 49ers Offense:
Purdy is playing at a high level and leads the MVP odds. The engine of the 9er offense is CMC, who is also playing at an MVP level.
If Seattle loads the tackle box to shut down McCaffrey, Purdy will burn them down the field. WR Aiyuk is having a career year, in part due to Purdy’s aggressiveness and accuracy throwing the ball down the field. Aiyuk is on pace to have 77 receptions and 1,432 yards. That's 18.5 yards per catch and he’s the guy Purdy will look to on key third downs.
WR Deebo Samuel isn't having his greatest season, but last week we saw his 3 TD's transformed the game, as the Eagles D was incapable of stopping him! Then there's TE Kittle, who's having a career year and on pace to have his first 1,000-yard year since 2019. This is another product of BP at QB, who looks to Kittle more than JG did.
The 9ers 3Rd WR, Jennings can catche teams sleeping and sneak underneath the attention that Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle, and McCaffrey garner.

* So how does Seattle match up?
Seattle has a good cornerback duo in 2nd year Tariq Woolen and rookie Devon Witherspoon, but neither of them could tackle the 9ers’ YAC weapons on Thanksgiving night.
The key to victory for Seattle will be to get to BP and pressure him WITHOUT blitzing. Purdy is one of the game’s best quarterbacks when blitzed because he knows where the open man is at all times. Philadelphia learned this the hard way after Purdy went 10-10 for 213 yards and 3 TD's against them when blitzed.
HOWEVER, the 9ers have the 28th-ranked pass-blocking O-Line, so it may be possible for Seattle D to get to Purdy without sending more than 5 rushers and hope their defense can coax a rare mistake out of
Purdy. (good luck with that).
While Seattle D does have a good cornerback duo, their coverage at linebacker and safety doesn’t exist. If they give Purdy enough time, Kittle and CMC will burn them in the intermediate and short passing game. So Seatle’s ONLY path to stopping the 9ers is try to pressure PB without blitzing. And I said before, good luck with that!
For the 9ers? Run the ball and pass deeper occasionally to keep the Seahag's defense honest.

* Seattle offense VS 9ers defense:
The 9ers defense just got done shutting down the Eagles, one of the better offenses in the league......BUT.....
Geno Smith is coming off his best game of his season. if he carries that over in this game, Seattle has a chance at upsetting the 9ers at home. Another big factor is the return of Seattle RB Kenneth Walker III, who was absent from the Thanksgiving match-up. If he's healthy, Walker will provide another dimension to the Seahawks’ offense. Walker is a dynamic running back and it will force the 9ers D to play both the run and pass.
The key match-up in the game will be the battle between Seattle WR D.K. Metcalf and 9ers CB Charvarius Ward. Ward held Metcalf to just three catches and 32 yards on nine targets with two pass break-ups. IWard actually leads the entire NFL in pass breakups and is a huge match-up that will determin who wins the game. Metcalf comes off a game where he completely torched Daron Bland, who was considered part of the Defensive Player of the Year race.
Another match-up that will be key in this game is the chess match between 9ers DC Steve Wilks and Seahawks OC Shane Waldron. Wilks just got done shutting down Hurts and the Eagles’ high-powered rush attack, while Waldron just got done lighting up one of the league’s premier defenses. The Seahawks and the Eagles don’t run similar offenses, but shutting down the Seahags run games will go a long way in taking advantage of the match-up.
Seattle was blown out by the 9ers on Thanksgiving because they were one dimensional on offense. They tried to drop back and pass, with no play-action and didn’t try to establish a run game. That didn’t go too well, to the tune of 6 49ers sacks. This time around, expect Waldron’s offense to center around a heavy rush attack combined with a lot of hard play action and bootlegs. Getting Smith on the move should help alleviate some pressure off his shoulders.

So how do the 9ers stop Smith and the Seahawks’ offense?
Easy, do what they did against the Eagles. Shut down the run, collapse the pocket, and sack Smith.
For the Seahawks? open holes for RB Kenneth Walker, Run play action and get Smith on the move to either side.
Final score: 9ers 38 VS Seattle 24

18 comments:

  1. Replies
    1. eMJay
      "Man what a season".
      Yep! A 14W - 3L regular season, a SB win and a 6th Lombardi trophy in the Levi stadium museum works for me!

      Delete
  2. Geno Smith groin strain missed practice today. When a player misses Fridays practice it usually means he won't play Sun.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Old Coach
    If Smith is out, we'll likely see Seattle backup QB Drew Lock play....
    I don't believe Lock played in 2022, after he was shipped to Seattle as
    a part of the Russell Wilson trade with the Denver?
    FROM LOCKS NFL SCOUTING REPORT:
    He was a 2nd Rd pick by the Broncos back in 2019 and was seen as the prospective franchise quarterback as he went 4-1 as the starter during his rookie season, before struggling in his 2nd year. Lock started in a total of 21 games during his time in Denver, winning 8 of them. In 24 career games, he has completed 59.3 percent of his passes for 4,740 yards, 25 touchdowns and 20 interceptions.

    ReplyDelete
  4. WTG Geep. If the Niners continue to play mistake free football they should win going away.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Nice write-up, Geep.
    But I expect the score to be lower, more like 28-17. Armstead will be out, but there's enough depth at that position to see thru this game. Additionally, Greenlaw is rested :)
    I like the Seahawks' rookie receiver, Njigba. Lockett is not 100%. Also K-9 can be expected to have some rust.
    Pete has never lost 4 in a row with the Seahawks. Time to maker history.

    ReplyDelete
  6. GEEP,
    Nice drop. You hit on every point. All points lead to a convincing 49ers win. But no other head coach knows the 49ers more than P. Carroll. He will have the Hawks up for the challenge and their loss 2 weeks ago will present all the motivation they need. A win against the 49ers will keep them in the hunt.
    I have the 49ers winning in a interesting game.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Here are some of the team's top-scoring and yardage teams:

    1984: 475 points scored, 6,366 yards (Playcaller: Walsh, QB: Montana)
    1993: 473 points scored, 6,435 yards (Playcaller: Mike Shanahan, QB: Young)
    1994: 505 points scored, 6,060 yards (Playcaller: Shanahan, QB: Young)
    1998: 479 points scored, 6,800 yards (Playcaller: Steve Mariucci, QB: Jeff Garcia)
    2019: 479 points scored, 6,097 yards (Playcaller: Kyle Shanahan, QB: Jimmy Garoppolo)

    ...Marc Adams

    ReplyDelete
  8. RE: Colin Cowherd's backwards hat comments he made about BP
    on the herd.
    https://www.yahoo.com/sports/49ers-qb-purdy-responds-cowherds-225914429.html
    * "Hey, you guys want to hit some golf balls?" "You got a hat on backward. "He's not a franchise quarterback."

    * IMO, BP can wear his hat on backwards if he wants, it's his choice!
    * Cow-pie however, has no choice! He is a BACKWARDS ASS HAT!
    * Cow-pie is Providing proof that jealousy is such an ugly emotion!

    ReplyDelete
  9. I have listened to G. Cohn repeat Cowherds backward hat quote any number of times, I still can't tell whether Cohn was joking or serious. Any opinions?

    ReplyDelete
  10. Eagles' Dom DiSandro barred from sideline vs. Cowboys for altercation with 49ers' Dre Greenlaw.
    https://sports.yahoo.com/eagles-dom-disandro-barred-from-sideline-vs-cowboys-for-altercation-with-49ers-dre-greenlaw-164345966.html

    * Why did the Eagles allow Dom DiSandro to be on the sidelines?
    * the NFL has rules that nobody outside of officials (refs & chains) should beyond the white line!
    * The NFL also sent two memos this year trying to stop non-player personnel from engaging with officials and players.


    ReplyDelete
  11. John Lynch: "When a guy like Zach Ertz is out there, you always take a look."
    * General Manager John Lynch said in his weekly radio interview with KNBR that the team is keeping an eye on veteran tight end Zach Ertz, who was released by the Cardinals last week and cleared waivers.
    * "When you have the opportunity, [when] a guy like Ertz is out there, you always take a look," Lynch said, via David Bonilla of 49erswebzone.com. "We haven't done anything yet. We'll see where that goes. We'll continue to monitor him as we do many other people that are out there."
    * Ertz, 33, caught 27 passes for 187 yards with a touchdown in seven games for the Cardinals this season. The Eagles are also thought to have interest in the tight end, which would bring him back to the franchise that drafted him.
    * SO WHO THINKS JL SHOULD SIGN HIM, AND IF NOT, WHY NOT?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Ertz' experience could be a plus. But his blocking has never been top rated which is essential in the 49ers offense. Also, I'm not overly convinced that he can make a splash given the fact that he was let go by a team that needs all the talent it can get.
    But that being said, I would be fine if the 49ers were to sign him. Because, Shanahan could find a way to get good mileage from Ertz.

    ReplyDelete
  13. AES,
    I don't have an opinion of Ertz either way but most of the players that Ariz released this year had less to do with talent and more to do with setting up their cap for a total rebuild.

    ReplyDelete
  14. I'd be very surprised if they signed Ertz. I'd rather see what Willis has. Verrett was a smokescreen too.

    ReplyDelete

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