To Trade Or Not To Trade

Is now the time? Who are you targeting and what are the costs? These are the questions. Let's hear your answers...

Game Day Week 8: 49ers vs. Texans

C.J. Stroud in 2 starts against Robert Saleh: 2023: 10-of-23, 91 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs 2024: 11-of-30, 191 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs

If Stroud cannot be efficient and sustain drives to protect his defense they're going to wear down coming off a Monday Night game.

49ers D-line rankings: Pass-rush win rate: 32% (#26) Run-stop win rate: 32% (#8) Improved from #29 to #8 EPA against the run. Not too shabby.

49ers O-line rankings:

Pass-block win rate: 61% (#20) Run-block win rate: 69% (#28)

Shanahan is 2-0 against the Texans. He'll be going against the top defense in the league who has shown some susceptibility against the run. SF leads the league in offensive 3rd-down conversion rate. Christian McCaffrey leads the league in yards after catch - more than 100 yards ahead of the next player. Can the 49ers continue to defy the odds and win in Houston? They can but they'll need to play a nearly perfect game offensively, and capitalize on Houston's missed tackle rate which ranks 31st this season, missing 44 tackles on the season. Niners get that YAC and Eddie hits the game winner 20-17!

49ers inactives:

QB Brock Purdy WR Ricky Pearsall C Jake Brendel DL Yetur Gross-Matos DE Bryce Buff DT CJ West RB Jordan James

Re-Kittled Running Game

San Francisco 49ers Rushing Attack Tonight:

Kittle on field: 5.4ypc

Kittle off field: 2.0ypc

Game Day Week 7: Falcons vs. 49ers

 

Michael Penix might be exactly what the San Francisco 49ers need to finally get their first interception of the year. He has the highest bad-throw percentage in the NFL despite facing pressure at the lowest rate. Threw a pick 6 against the Panthers.

The Falcons defense might be exactly what the San Francisco 49ers need to finally get their run game rolling. Ranked 20th against the run, the Falcons defensive strength is in their secondary ranking 5th against the pass. Mac Jones when blitzed last week at Tampa: 8-14, 5.6 YPA, 2 INT, 3 sacks, 33.3 rating. That's gotta change and it starts with Kittle's return to the lineup as their 6th offensive lineman. The Falcons DC, Jeff Ulbrich has blitzed more than Brian Flores and leads the league in blitz rate at a whopping 40%. Last week against the Bills he blitzed at 56%. The 49ers win this game 27-20!

49ers Inactives:

QB Brock Purdy NCB Upton Stout WR Ricky Pearsall WR Jordan Watkins DL Yetur Gross-Matos RB Jordan James G Drew Moss

Creating "Havoc"

 Top NFL defenses in "Havoc" which is the % of plays a defense gets a pressure, TFL, forced fumble, INT, or pass breakup:

1. Broncos (44.8%) 2. Buccaneers (42.9%) 3. Steelers (42.2%) 4. Falcons (40.8%) T5. Chiefs (39.9%) T5. Texans (39.9%) 7. Rams (39.4%) 8. Packers (39.2%) 9. Bills (39.1%) 10. Chargers (39%) 11. Vikings (38.9%) T12. Colts (38.4%) T12. Seahawks (38.4%) 14. Lions (38%) 15. Giants (37.8%) 16. Commanders (37.6%) 17. Patriots (37.4%) T18. Jaguars (36.7%) T18. Browns (36.7%) 20. Raiders (36.4%) 21. Cardinals (34.2%) 22. Eagles (33.3%) 23. 49ers (32.4%) 24. Cowboys (32%) 25. Saints (31.5%) 26. Bears (29.7%) 27. Dolphins (28.8%) 28. Titans (27.9%) 29. Ravens (26.6%) 30. Bengals (26.5%) 31. Jets (26%) 32. Panthers (25.1%)

Gameday Week 6: 49ers vs Buccaneers

Tampa and Kansas City are the only teams that bring 2+ additional rushers on 20% or more of their plays. Mac Jones hasn't been good against the blitz and will either need to get the ball out quickly or buy time with his feet. CMC should have some opportunities to create an explosive play. Keep taking the layups to stay ahead of the chains:

The 49ers rank #11 in overall pass EPA, but success rate (% of plays with positive EPA): 1. Seahawks 2. 49ers 3. Lions 4. Colts 5. Patriots

Bucs RT Charlie Heck has given up 22 pressures over 173 pass-blocking snaps, the second-most in the NFL. Huff needs to exploit him and force Baker into pressure decisions that could lead to their first interception. Heat and humidity mean the less the defense is on the field the better. TOP could be the tipping point in a close game at the end of the 4th quarter. Should be another nailbiter. Niners win 24-21!

49er Inactives today vs the Buccaneers:

-QB Brock Purdy (toe) -WR Ricky Pearsall (knee) -WR Jordan Watkins (calf) -DE Yetur Gross-Matos (hamstring) -LB Nick Martin -RB Jordan James

3 Keys to 4-1

 Rehiring Robert Saleh. 

Signing Mac Jones as QB2.

Switching from Moody to Eddy Pineiro. 

Aside from the draft and the starters designated to return, those three moves above have put the 49ers in a position to make one more move: Trade for an upper tier big DE to stand in for Nick Bosa. 

The candidates:

Trey Hendrickson 30 yrs old, this year only @ $16M Conditional 3rd

Jaelan Phillips 26 yrs old, this year only @ $13M 5th rounder

Bradley Chubb 29 yrs old, 2 yrs @ $31M 5th rounder