Friday, May 28, 2021

Pressure's on: Mike McGlinchey. Anchors a-weigh

By Scooter_McG

Mike McGlinchey is no stranger to pressure. The man dubbed the "CEO" by teammates has been under pressure to perform ever since he was drafted ninth overall in the 2018 draft and the 49ers promptly traded away incumbent RT Trent Brown. Brown is good in pass protection and solid in the run game as his sheer size can overwhelm opposing DEs. But he didn't offer the mobility in the running game that Shanahan was after for his outside zone scheme, so the 49ers decided to move on and replace him with a rookie first rounder in McGlinchey, despite having a number of other holes on the roster they could have addressed at that pick. 

From a running game perspective, the decision to replace Brown with McGlinchey has been a huge success and paid immediate dividends. In 2017 the 49ers ran for 1,662 yards at an average of 4.1 yards per carry. This increased to 1,902 rushing yards in 2018 at 4.5 yards per carry, and then exploded for 2,305 yards at 4.6 yards per carry in 2019 (regular season only). In 2020 the rushing statistics regressed some to 1,889 yards and 4.3 yards per carry, though injuries played a considerable part in that. 

And Mike McGlinchey played a significant role in the increase in rushing yards and the success of the 49ers ground game. Directional rushing statistics courtesy of Sharp Football Stats outlines the following yards per carry for the 49ers rushing to the right side since 2017:

2017: 4.2 (yards per carry) behind RG, 3.1 behind RT, 3.3 outside RT

2018: 2.8 behind RG, 4.7 behind RT, 5.8 outside RT

2019: 3.2 behind RG, 6.7 behind RT, 5.8 outside RT

2020: 4.9 behind RG, 4.3 behind RT, 7.4 outside RT

The 49ers success running behind or outside the RT increased significantly following the transition from Brown to McGlinchey. While part of this also comes down to the supporting cast, there is little doubt that McGlinchey has proven himself to be an excellent run blocking RT and one of the best run blocking OTs in the NFL over the past three seasons. 

However, despite McGlinchey's success as a run blocker, he has found less success in the passing game. While different services will likely give different statistics and grades for individual OL, McGlinchey has been credited with approximately 5 sacks in each of his three seasons and around 35 to 40 pressures allowed each season. And according to PFF (which is admittedly a questionable grading system), his pass blocking grades the past three season have been 64.2 in 2018, 67.1 in 2019 and 58.3 last season. 

As a pass blocker, McGlinchey has been a downgrade from what Trent Brown provided. And with the passing game now widely considered across the league to be critical to team success, pass blocking is generally considered to be more important than run blocking (though given the way Shanahan runs his scheme it would appear the 49ers do not follow this line of thought). 

Of concern, McGlinchey has not shown consistent signs of improving as a pass blocker. In fact, after a marginal improvement in 2019, his pass blocking appeared to regress in 2020. 

Part of the reason for this regression may have been weight related. When McGlinchey arrived at camp last offseason many people noted how much weight it appeared McGlinchey had lost. The "CEO" had transformed into the "Big Slim", as Richard Sherman labelled him, and according to McGlinchey himself he was under 300lbs last season. The idea behind the weight loss was to improve his fit within the outside zone scheme, by increasing his mobility. He may have been correct about the fit within the running game - as outlined above the team's yards per carry outside the RT were the highest in the Shanahan era and McGlinchey earned his highest ever run blocking grade from PFF. 

However, it caused a number of issues in pass protection. "Big Slim" struggled to anchor against the bull rush all season, finding himself on skates numerous times and on his backside on more than one occasion. Being thrown to the ground by DEs is never a good look for an OT, and when it happens repeatedly there is a problem. The problem was exacerbated when he was unable to set his feet before the defender got into his body, as he didn't have the weight behind him to stall the rush, re-establish his balance and drop anchor. To compensate, over the course of the season McGlinchey started to set his feet too early in anticipation of the bull rush only to then be beaten around the edge by speed or counter moves. All in all, it was a torrid affair for McGlinchey in pass protection all season long as he was unable to find consistency.  

At the end of the season both John Lynch and Kyle Shanahan noted McGlinchey's weight was a concern and may have contributed to his struggles in the passing game, and that they would discuss with McGlinchey his "ideal" weight for 2021. McGlinchey appeared to resist the idea directly after the season, indicating his weight was not the issue. However, based on pictures of the players at the current camp activities it would seem McGlinchey has taken the guidance on board as he looks noticeably heavier. 

The 49ers showed faith in McGlinchey this offseason, picking up his fifth year option after the draft. To repay that faith it will be important for McGlinchey to start showing signs of improvement in pass protection while continuing to excel in the running game. And there is a possibility that if he doesn't improve in pass protection his weakness will be magnified. Last season his poor play in pass protection was somewhat hidden by the even worse play at center and RG. This offseason the 49ers have brought in Alex Mack, Aaron Banks and Jaylon Moore, which should significantly improve the interior of the OL and put more pressure on McGlinchey to hold up his end of the line. 

If McGlinchey lifts his game in pass protection there is a real possibility the 49ers offensive line could be one of the best units in the NFL this season, which would go a long way to the 49ers returning to a dominant rushing attack like we saw in 2019 and keep the 49ers QB clean to take advantage of the opportunities Shanahan can scheme up. 

The pressure's on, Mike.

Thursday, May 27, 2021

General/Open Discussion Thursday

 ESPN analyst Bill Barnwell on Monday, May 24, wrote that he expects Sherman will sign a one-year contract with San Francisco worth $4 million. 


NFL insider Josina Anderson on Monday reported San Francisco had preliminary talks with free agent WR Dede Westbrook.




Tuesday, May 25, 2021

Jeff Wilson Jr out 4-6 months

By Scooter_McG

The season hasn't started yet and already the injury news is starting to break. It has just been reported that Jeff Wilson Jr, who signed a $2.05M fully guaranteed contract this offseason, recently underwent surgery to repair a torn meniscus and will miss 4-6 months as he recovers. As a result he is expected to miss the start of the season (and may miss considerably more than that). 

Wilson is coming off his best season in the NFL. In 2020 he led the team with 600 rushing yards at an average of 4.8 yards per carry and 7 TDs. He also added 13 receptions for 133 yards and a further 3 TDs. 

It is unclear when Wilson was injured or how at this stage, and whether the team knew of the injury before re-signing him or before drafting two RBs. But it would seem unlikely the team would pay $2.05M fully guaranteed for a RB they knew would miss a large portion of the season, and the decision to sign Gallman just before the draft and then select two RBs suggests the 49ers were aware of the injury ahead of the draft. 

Wilson's injury is a blow for the 49ers as he was expected to reprise his role as one of the primary RBs on the roster in 2021. However, the additions of Gallman, Sermon and Mitchell will go a long way to filling the gap left by his absence, and may make Wilson expendable even when he is fully recovered.  

***Update: John Lynch has said Wilson injured his knee at the team facility last week... getting up from a chair. The team's freak injury luck is already in mid-season form.

Monday, May 24, 2021

San Francisco Jones?

 

Tyler Dragon
@TheTylerDragon
·
Julio Jones when asked if he's going back to the Falcons on Undisputed: "I'm out of there." He also said he doesn't want to play for the Cowboys.

Sounds as if we won't be seeing Julio down by the Atlanta field anytime soon. He wants to play for a winner. Should we make the move?



Sunday, May 23, 2021

Examining the fit: Bennie Fowler

By Scooter_McG

Farewell, Marqise Lee, we barely knew you. Less than a week after the 49ers signed him, Lee was waived by the team injured, leaving more question marks at the WR position. The 49ers made a corresponding move to replace him with FA WR Bennie Fowler, a journeyman backup WR who played for the Saints last season. 

The team clearly recognises a need for depth and competition heading into the offseason program and training camp, with considerable uncertainty regarding the WR group after Deebo and Aiyuk. And for the time being the team appears content to bargain hunt.

Fowler is a bigger bodied WR at 6'1" and 210lbs. He comes to the team having played in 68 career games over six seasons, with 97 total catches for 1,101 yards and 6 TDs. His best season was in 2017 at the Broncos when he grabbed 29 catches for 350 yards and 3 TDs. However, since then he has largely bounced between the 53 and practice squad rosters for the Giants and Saints, and last year also missed a large part of the season with a shoulder injury. Fowler's primary contribution has come on special teams coverage units. 

Fowler brings a veteran presence to the 49ers WR group that could potentially be an option as a 5th or 6th WR, or on the practice squad. However, at nearly 30 years old Fowler is not a player for the future or someone that is likely to take the next step. This signing looks very much like a minicamp/ training camp body signing that became necessary after Lee was waived. I suspect the team will be continuing to look at options to add to the WR group. 

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Top 5 Positions Of Strength

 1. Running back. With Sermon, Mostert, Wilson, Mitchell and Gallman there's never been a stronger room.

2. Defensive line. With the return of Bosa the defensive line is deep with talent even without Dee Ford, who hasn't been ruled out yet. 

3. Offensive line. I fully expect McGlinchey to excel this year when a familiar face is to his left. Banksy is a big upgrade over the undrafted Brunskill, who may be the 49ers choice to be Mack's apprentice. 

4. Linebacker. Warner/Greenlaw are about as good as it gets, and Al-Shaair is still ascending. 

5. Tight End. Kittle is the best in the game, and Dwelley catches every ball thrown his way. After that there's question marks. Maybe Ertz gets cut and they sign him for a Reed type contract like they did last year.




Friday, May 21, 2021

Lee Waived Bye Bye

 




Fowler? Fowler?

The #49ers have signed WR Bennie Fowler to a one-year deal and waived WR Marqise Lee.








Under Pressure

The 49ers generated 12 pressures against the Raiders: Osa Odighizuwa: 3 Keion White: 2 Nick Bosa: 2 DeForest Buckner: 2 James Thompson Jr: ...