Saturday, October 8, 2022

Week 5 Game Preview: 49ers @ Panthers


By Scooter_McG

Coming off the back of a dominant win at home against the division rival Rams, the now 2-2 49ers begin a two game road trip against east coast teams this week. 

First up the 49ers face the 1-3 Panthers who "boast" an NFL worst offense in terms of yards per game, largely due to the struggles of new QB Baker Mayfield who is only completing around 55% of his passes and has only surpassed 200 yards passing once this season (in week 1, and then only just). The 49ers meanwhile boast the top ranked defense in the NFL in terms of both yards and points allowed, including an average of a tick over 160 passing yards allowed per game.

The 49ers offense has had its own struggles and while it should be expected that the 49ers defense can contain the Panthers attack, the 49ers will still want to see their offense control the game and take advantage of their opportunities, to build on some of the solid foundation they laid against the Rams. 

Here are some of the key areas I see deciding this one:   

  • Stop CMC. Given the Panthers struggles passing the ball this should be a great opportunity for the 49ers defense to maintain their strong defensive start to the season. However, to do so they will need to make sure they corral the the Panthers do-everything offensive weapon Christian McCaffrey, who not only leads the Panthers rushing attack but is also their leading receiver (in terms of catches). Injuries to DTs Arik Armstead and Javon Kinlaw will test the depth of the 49ers defensive interior and the ability of their replacement to fill the gap could be the biggest key to the 49ers success this week. 
  • Bake-Off! Baker Mayfield has struggled with his decision making as well as a lot of batted passes, which should provide plenty of opportunities for the 49ers DL to pressure him and for the 49ers back seven to get their hands on the football. Mayfield's play has seen the Panthers boo-boys come out early this season with Sam Darnold waiting in the wings once he is fit enough to return to action. The 49ers need to make sure the pressure to replace Mayfield only intensifies after this weekend. 
  • Ground and Pound. On offense, the 49ers appear to have a favourable matchup against the Panthers run defense which is ranked 25th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed. The 49ers running game has been in a bit of a funk since Trey Lance got injured and this could be an opportune game to get everyone in sync and spark the run game. 
  • No Jimmy Gimme's. The Panthers defense has done a good job turning turnovers into points this year, with two defensive TDs in four games. With the 49ers offense yet to hit its stride they can ill afford to make things harder on themselves by being loose with the ball when in possession and giving the Panthers unnecessary opportunities to cause the upset. I expect the 49ers to employ a similar game plan to last week, with JG focusing on short passes to the playmakers supplementing the run game. 

Aside from the keys to victory, some things I will be keeping an eye on/ interested in are:   

  • Last week Spencer Burford and Daniel Brunskill rotated at RG, as Brunskill saw his first action coming back from injury. We also saw LT Colton McKivitz go down with an injury, with Jaylon Moore coming in. I will be interested in seeing what the starting line-up along the OL is this week and whether there is any rotation again. The injuries and shuffling along the OL is also a good reason why I expect the 49ers to keep things pretty conservative in the passing game again this week.
  • Jimmie Ward and Jason Verrett's practice windows were opened this week as they return from IR. It is unclear at this stage whether either player will officially be activated for the game this week. It will be interesting to see if either player is and, if so, what role they play. To be honest though I expect both players will not be activated for a couple of weeks yet.   

9 comments:

  1. Foerster has stated that Brunny deserves playing time. Sounds like OT is out of the question right now. I don't know how much Moore I can take.


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  2. At this early stage in the season the Niners seem to be playing to the level of their opponents. I hope that ends tomorrow and they blow at the lowly Panthers. If they contain CMC, the Panthers will be hard struck to put points on the board.

    Not sure if I am on board with rotating Burford and Brunskill. Would prefer Burford playing to gain experience but his mistakes might get JG killed; missing the Darnold block early in the Rams game. Left tackle is questionable at best. Not sure why Brunskill isn't manning that position.

    The D-line is missing two starters, but the talent is deep enough they probably won't be missed.

    Ground and pound - absolutely!

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  3. Scooter
    I agree with your analysis, this should be a win for the 9ers. I'm concerned however, with a short week, traveling cross country and the 9ers coming off a big win over the Rams. If they'll come out emotionally flat, get behind early by letting CMC score and Baker Mayfield get in a rhythm, this could be a 9er loss.
    We've seen in previous games when they get behind, they get foolish penalties that prevent them from scoring and a JG INT costs them the game.

    So I agree, the key areas to deciding this one is the D stops CMC from scoring, pressures & sacks Mayfield and the O Line does it's job by protecting JG and opens running lanes for the RB's
    My prediction: 9ers 23 Panthers 6




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    Replies
    1. Their track record on the road suggests they have the culture and leaders to avoid such traps.

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  4. Replies
    1. Wow. A little bit surprised. Now... how does this change up the secondary?

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    2. I'm a little more surprised that Barrows is reporting that Coleman will be the backup to Wilson.

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    3. Makes you wonder just how bad Sermon must have been if the guy they kept over him can't get game time ahead of street FAs.

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Breaking

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