By Scooter_McG
With the 2021 season now over for the 49ers, it is time to set sights towards the 2022 season and beyond. This offseason is going to be particularly interesting as it marks (or at least is widely expected to mark) a key inflection point for the Kyle Shanahan led 49ers - the transition to their QBOTF in Trey Lance.
Of course there is some possibility the team chooses to go with a veteran QB for another season, whether it be rolling with JG for another year or bringing in a veteran starter from elsewhere (e.g., if Tom Brady decides he really wants to have a farewell season with his boyhood team). But I think those possibilities are highly remote. Assuming they don't go down that path, here is how I see the 49ers offseason priorities.
1. Replenish and future proof the coaching staff. This is already underway, but is a vital component to the team's success not only in 2022, but also future years. Losing McDaniel is a big blow given his importance to devising the run game (in particular) over the past five years. He has already taken Wes Welker with him to Miami. The well respected TEs coach and Assistant HC Jon Embree has also departed, along with STs coach Richard Hightower and two assistant OL coaches. There has also been speculation that long time Shanahan RBs coach Bobby Turner is weighing his options on retirement or coming back for another year.
Last year the team lost 10 of their coaching staff, including high profile coaches in DC Robert Saleh, passing game coordinator Mike LaFleur and secondary coach Tony Oden. The team has seen a lot of turnover in the coaching staff two straight years. It likely won't get any better next year, with DC DeMeco Ryans widely tipped to be a HC in waiting.
It is imperative then that the team bring in some quality coaching staff to replenish the stocks, while also providing long term options should key staff leave next year. This process has gotten off to a good start with the 49ers bringing former Chargers HC and Bobby Turner disciple Anthony Lynn on board as Assistant HC. The 49ers are also rumoured to be in discussions with Vic Fangio for a return to the 49ers in a consulting role, which would be another home run hire that would not only help the development of Ryans as a DC, but also provide a ready made replacement for Ryans should he be offered a HC role next year.
But it would behoove the 49ers to also find some fresh blood - up and coming coaches that can bring fresh ideas and energy. Shanahan and Lynn (as well as Fangio, if he comes on board) have a strong network throughout the league so finding quality coaches to bring in shouldn't be an issue. And there are also some young faces already on the coaching staff that may be promoted, such as offensive quality control coach Leonard Hankerson (would seem an ideal candidate for taking over the WR coaching role from Wes Welker given his familiarity playing WR for Shanahan) and defensive quality control coach Klay Kubiak, whose father Gary was instrumental in the success of Mike Shanahan, and also mentored Kyle.
2. Get under the cap. The 49ers are currently sitting over the 2022 cap, so it will be imperative the 49ers find ways to reduce 2022 cap liabilities prior to the new year starting. The obvious answer here would seem to be trading Jimmy Garoppolo. However, such a trade can only be finalised until after the new football year starts, which means the 49ers need to be under the cap before they can trade JG.
Complicating matters for the 49ers is that there are not a lot of obvious candidates on the roster for being cut to free up cap space. Cutting Dee Ford would seem like a smart move at first glance given his bloated contract and difficulty seeing the field, however, cutting Ford does not free up much cap space due to his dead cap hit. There are some players like Ebukam they could release, but then Ebukam came on strong towards the back end of last season and is a player the team would likely want to keep.
So the most likely scenario is for the 49ers to restructure a few contracts to push cap hits to future years. Players like Armstead and Ward would make the most sense.
3. Find a trade partner for Jimmy G. Flat out releasing JG would actually solve offseason priority #2 above, however, it seems highly unlikely the 49ers would do that as the team should be able to find a trade market for him. Finding a trade partner should be something they aim to do prior to the new league year commencing, and should aggressively pursue, so they can get his salary off their books as soon as FA commences. This is a situation where it does the 49ers little good to prolong a deal.
However, they also shouldn't just give JG away, so if it takes some time to get a trade market going the team may need to get creative with freeing up some cap space in order to be active in the FA market while carrying JG's contract for a while.
4. Re-sign key free agents. This is an obvious offseason priority every year, so no need to belabour the point. But the team does have some high profile (and some lower profile) free agents that they would no doubt like to keep so long as the price is right. The ERFAs such as Jennings, Givens and Hasty are easy to keep, but the team will need to consider what round offer to give for RFAs such as Al-Shaair and Brunskill, who were both UDFAs (and thus the low RFA offer would require no compensation to the 49ers should another team sign them).
In terms of UFAs, I expect the key guy the 49ers will most want to keep is DJ Jones, who has been excellent the past two seasons and is entering his prime years. I suspect they will try and lock him away prior to the start of free agency. Some other notable players the team will no doubt be keeping tabs on are Laken Tomlinson, Arden Key, K'Waun Williams, Jaquiski Tartt, Jason Verrett, Jordan Willis and Raheem Mostert. But I think the 49ers will wait and see how the market looks for all of those players and won't get into bidding wars.
I think they could reduce McGlinchey's $10 million cap hit this year if they extend him. It would also behoove them to bring back Compton and give him a little raise. I think they'll want to get a deal done with Tomlinson too, but if it gets north of $9 million I'd expect them to balk. Verrett and Mostert seem like one year prove it deals. I agree Jones is a priority. Hopefully Kinlaw can show why they drafted him as part of a nice rotation next year. Good writ up, Scooter. Thanks!
ReplyDeleteYeah, McGlinchey is another one. But I don't think they would extend him. Restructure to convert salary to bonus, and add some voidable years, but still keep it a one year deal for now. Then depending on how he plays in 2022 they can look to re-sign him next offseason.
DeleteWhether they extend McG would probably depend on his rehab status and what his agent is looking for. Seems to me that they have been sufficiently satisfied with him to performance before the injury. But I would lean against the chances of a sizable extension in order to first see his pass pro consistency over a full season.
DeleteIf they decide to wait and he looks as good as advertised it'll cost that much more, but yea I could see them going that route, Scooter.
DeleteI don't see them bringing in any big name quarterback like a Brady or Rodgers. I think the plan all along was for Lance to be the day 1 starter. Any quarterback they sign will be the backup, and it wouldn't shock me to see them draft a quarterback on day 3 with similar traits to Lance. That would give them a long term backup they could groom behind him.
ReplyDeleteThe consensus appears to be that Lance needs an ex-starting QB as a backup for help with his growth. Such player would bring game preparation and other mental development insights that would otherwise be absent in the QB room. I can see ShanaLynch budgeting $7-$10M for one. Getting the right one won't be easy considering this year's QB-poor draft.
DeleteLance/Taylor/Draft pick
DeleteOne thing is for sure continuity in the coaching ranks is out the window. I imagine until the JG saga is resolved not much is going to happen.
ReplyDeleteWell, they did bring in some fresh blood last year too.
DeleteI mentioned Hankerson would make a logical in-house replacement for Welker, having played WR for Shanahan and coached WRs in college (including Andy Isabella). But the other OQC coach from last year would also make sense - Andrew Hayes-Stoker. He's got a lot of experiencing coaching WRs too (including NFL experience) and is well regarded by Lovie Smith, who he worked with for more than a decade at various stops.
Basically, I suspect some of these openings will actually be filled internally.
It is becoming quite obvious that the Niners way of doing business is well sought after by other teams. I can hardly wait till next season.
DeleteSo true. It's funny to think there are still some fans that think Shanahan isn't the answer, but the league sure as heck respects him and his ability to find/ attract coaching talent.
DeleteI got on Shanny earlier in the season as I felt his play calling sucked. That doesn't mean I want him replaced. Even if the world of Lance fails, I still want him as the HC and play caller.
DeleteShanny needs to finish. If he does that, I'd imagine he'd be here for as long as he wanted to be.
DeleteLance on Eisen's show
ReplyDeletehttps://twitter.com/RichEisenShow/status/1492316359291650049
Sounds like Fangio won't be joining the 49ers coaching staff this season.
ReplyDeleteToo bad. Maybe he joins us next season.
DeleteWhat is going on with the Rams? First McVay suggests he would contemplate retirement if they win, now Rodney Harrison is saying Aaron Donald told him he would contemplate retirement too if they win. Crazy.
ReplyDeleteFirst they should win though! Lol :)
DeleteSome people just can't handle winning.
Delete"Aaron Donald told him he would contemplate retirement too if they win. Crazy."
DeleteSounds like normal prima donna attitude to me.
McVay knows he can't win without a team of super stars.
DeleteDepressing!
ReplyDeleteGotta give it to the Rams though....their way of Team building does work. Tip of the hat.
Hopefully this lights a fire under Shanahan and Lance.
Yep. The wheels almost fell off but credit to McVay and his staff for their accomplishment.
DeleteLast year Niners beat the Rams twice and the Bengals once...
ReplyDeleteSame thing I told my daughter last night!
DeleteCan't help but feel the 49ers were one blown 10 point 4th qtr lead away from winning the SB.
DeleteYou guys going to do a special blog tomorrow to mark the one-year anniversary of the first publication of Inspired 49ers?
ReplyDeleteHa! Didn't even realize it. Sure, why not?
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