Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
-
Nope, it's not a misprint. After trading up to the #3 pick from #12, the 49ers have put themselves in a position to select their franch... -
The San Francisco 49ers are 20-6 when the Three Amigos are on the field together. If they stay healthy you can forget about a "rebuil... -
The postseason is a year away. Win or lose the only thing they're playing for today is pride. Another opportunity to advertise your wo...
Niners should have an estimated $57M of salary cap room with which to shape the roster. Between the draft (7) and F/A (?) you could have as many as 10-12 new players on the 53, with players like Guerendo and Cowing either moved or cut.
ReplyDeleteIt will likely be more. I don't think Lombardi has factored in cap credits from player insurance, which will likelybe a good amount. And that's before any restructures as well.
DeleteHow much are we talking with insurance money?
DeleteRestructure candidates:
Trent Williams
Nick Bosa
I can only assume Aiyuk, Bosa and Warner contracts are all insured by the 49ers. Lots of games missed last year by them, with pretty sizeable $. Not sure how much that will translate to cap credits, but even 25% would be a decent amount.
DeleteRazor
DeleteDoes the $57 Mil include restructuring contracts for TW, Kittle and Bosa?
Lombardi's estimate of $57M doesn't include any restructures. The only move he's included in that is releasing Aiyuk with a post June 1 designation. However, looking at his math, he's only got him down as counting $3.7M, which is his prorated signing bonus amount. He's missing an additional $4.5M in prorated option bonus from his 2025 option bonus, so Lombardi is either assuming the 49ers will get all of that back as a cap credit (doubt they get all of it though) or he missed it. Not sure.
DeleteI can ask him or Mike.
DeleteUpdated top-100 broken down by position:
ReplyDelete17 - WR
16 - Edge
13 - CB
9 - DT, LB, OT
7 - OG, SAF
5 - TE
3 - QB, RB
2 - C
Cameron Robertson (6’4 260) SMU DE
ReplyDelete+ One of the best stop rates in college football in 2025 at 13.6%
+ Best season in 2025 as a pass rusher with 44 pressures and 5 sacks
+ Active hands
+ Awareness as a run defender
+ Alignment versatility
+ 25% win rate on true pass sets
+ 3.8% missed tackle rate in 2025
- Missed a month of the season with an undisclosed injury in 2025
- Not overly explosive off the snap
- 6 penalties in both 2024 and 2025
- 21.2% missed tackle rate in 2024
Draft projection: Day 3
Oklahoma ED R Mason Thomas (6-2, 249) elite speed & bend will Run the Hoop best at the NFL Combine
ReplyDelete♦️1st & 2nd Team All-SEC
♦️15.5 sacks the last two seasons
♦️Dad played ED for Florida
♦️Great change of direction & motor
If the 49ers go WR at 27, the more I look at the WR prospects that could be available there the more I think Omar Cooper Jr is the guy Shanahan would like the most.
ReplyDeleteGood size and strength, easy speed, can maintain a step on a DB while remaining completely under control, good hands, happy going over the middle, great ability to create after the catch. Route tree wasn't extensive, but shows nice ability to separate.
Wouldn't surprise me at all to see the 49ers take him at 27.
Me either. I think he'd take him over Sarratt.
DeleteThese are good WRs, but I view them as 2 tier. The fact that they are projected as late 1st rd picks makes me wonder if the 49ers can't find the same type of talent in the 2nd rd. Chris Bell, Germie Bernard, Malachi Fields, Ted Hurst, Chris Brazzell can be drafted in the 2nd - 3rd rd. Sarratt' stats were helped by the best QB in college football last year. I actually like Cooper more. But my point is that there is not a big gap between them and the above mentioned that will likely come outside of the 1st rd.
ReplyDeleteInteresting. Because for mine, there isn't much difference between Cooper and the likes of Boston or Concepcion.
DeleteFWIW, Dane Brugler doesn't think so either. Actually has Cooper as ranked 27th in his latest big board.
Brugler also has Thieneman at #23 now. Not surprised to see him moving up boards.
I initially thought Cooper might get slept on and you could get him at the bottom of Round 2, but people are waking up to him.
DeletePerhaps this draft gives attention to Juice's eventual heir-apparent. I throw in my hat for TE, Jaren Kanak who can easily convert to H-Back with some coaching as a lead blocker. Shanahan can take advantage of Kanak' 4.4 40 as a occasional receiver out of the backfield like Juice. I would take a day 3 flier on him.
ReplyDeleteThis is why razor posted about Riley Nowakowski. He's largely considered the best blocking TE/FB on the move in the draft.
DeleteYes, I saw Razor's post on Nowakowski. I like him too. My hope is that the 49ers give Juice's position some attention in this year as an eventual replacement.
DeleteTexas A&M OG Chase Bisontis is a top-5 OL prospect for me in the 2026 class.
ReplyDeleteDane Brugler has him as his No. 2 guard — and there’s a lot to like in the tape, traits, and overall profile.
I've seen him in a couple of mocks as a possible 3rd to 4th rd pick. Does this sound about right, Razor?
ReplyDeleteNowakowski isn't for every system, but he fits ours like a glove. For that reason, I have him as a mid to late 4th rounder.
DeleteThanks, Razor. I was actually referring to Bisontis. I should have mentioned him by name.
DeleteBisontis isn't getting past Mid-Round 2.
DeleteI got Kyle Lewis as my #2 Safety in Morris' scheme. He played the hybrid Star LB spot for Pittsburg at 5'11 224lbs.
ReplyDeleteDrake Thomas at 5'11 228lbs just played 900 snaps at WLB for Seattle.
Yeah, he's an interesting option as a guy that blurs the line between LB and Safety. Basically, anyone that wants to copy the Seahawks and what they have with Emmanwori may look at Louis in that light. Which makes me think he goes earlier than people are currently projecting - wouldn't be surprised to see him go round 2.
DeleteIsaiah Smith (6’4 248) SMU
ReplyDelete✅ Has improved his number of pressures and sacks each season, culminating with 48 pressures and 8.5 sacks in 2025
✅ Non-stop motor and pursuit
✅ 79.7 run defense grade in 2025
✅ Reliable tackler with just a 7.1% career missed tackle rate
✅ 23 career sacks at SMU
Florida DT Caleb Banks is one of the most physically imposing players in the 2026 NFL Draft. 🐊
ReplyDeleteThe 6'6", 325-pounder is coming off a dominant showing at the Senior Bowl, and his 100th-percentile tools were on full display. He has the potential to be used as an alignment-versatile game wrecker. 😤
Reminds me of Kinlaw. Gets too upright, lack of technique, disappears in games. Slow processor.
Mike Evans is projected to cost $13M. I'd go after him hard.
ReplyDeleteSame ^
DeleteHow do you see him fitting in this offense though? His greatest strengths (go balls, fades and routes that work off those such as comebacks and curls) aren't exactly major staples of a Shanahan playbook.
DeleteI'm sure they'd work it out and he's such a good player he'd be good here I'm sure, but just makes me think he'd be better utilised elsewhere.
Kinlaw came in having to fill some huge shoes after De Buckner's departure. He never came close to that. If Caleb Banks is in the same mode as Kinlaw, I would very queasy in drafting him.
ReplyDeleteI've seen a few reports suggesting the 49ers might try and sign Edge Arnold Ebiketie in FA. Makes sense from the perspective of familiarity with Morris.
ReplyDeleteIf they did that, wouldn't be surprised if it came with a corresponding release of Bryce Huff.
I am keen to see how many players Morris recruits from Atlanta- they have 6-7 potential players to bring in... not including Pitts. Would be nice to plug holes w players familiar w his intentions- and the 49ers have some multiple spots throughout the D where depth can be improved upon.
DeleteFBS tight ends with the most receptions over expected in 2025, per TruMedia:
ReplyDelete🧤 Tanner Koziol, Houston - 10.8
🧤 Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon - 7.4
🧤 Riley Nowakowski, Indiana - 6.9
🧤 Jeremiah Hasley, Duke - 6.8
🧤 Jack Velling, Michigan St. - 6.5
🧤 Eli Stowers, Vanderbilt - 6.5
🧤 Joe Royer, Cincinnati - 6.5
🧤 Toby Payne, Marshall - 6.4
🧤 Jaren Kanak, Oklahoma - 6.2
🧤 DJ Rogers, TCU - 6.1
Career receptions on passes thrown 20+ yards downfield (PFF):
ReplyDeleteCJ Daniels (38)
Ted Hurst (27)
Makai Lemon (25)
Elijah Sarratt (25)
Skyler Bell (25)
Chris Brazzell (24)
Malachi Fields (23)
Antonio Williams (23)
Jordyn Tyson (19)
Germie Bernard (19)
Carnell Tate (18)
Reggie Virgil (18)
KC Concepcion (17)
Brenen Thompson (17)
Omar Cooper (16)
Denzel Boston (13)
Chris Bell (13)
Ja'Kobi Lane (12)
Zachariah Branch (10)
Deion Burks (7)
Hopefully, they can find another Puka Nacua deep in the weeds of unnamed talent.
DeleteZierlein compares Boston to Nacua
Delete16 EDGE prospects made Bruglar's top-100 and they're all going to go.
ReplyDeleteNiners could do much worse than Billy Schrauth, LG, Notre Dame on day 3.
ReplyDeleteThe sleeper Edge no one is referencing out of Michigan, Jaishawn Barham, 6'3 243lbs. Early Day 3
ReplyDeleteRazor
DeleteI have Jaishawn Barham, as a 9er draft pick at #171...imo, he
Fits Morris' PENNY front.
Linderbaum has been rumored to reset the Center market with a $22M APY contract.
ReplyDeleteThat doesn't surprise me. Worth it, imo.
DeleteI'd rather develop one behind Brendel, but we'll see what Shanahan thinks.
DeleteI would rather that too, but I would say the same for any position. The preference should always be to find and develop talented players through the draft to maximise value.
DeleteBut the chances of finding someone as good as Linderbaum to develop without spending high draft capital is slim. And they have enough areas in need of an injection of young talent that spending those high draft picks on a center isn't worth it, imo.
I just don't see Shanahan allocating $22M to a center when he has one he loves for $4M.
DeleteBecause one you can have anchor your offense for at least the next 5 years, while the other probably only has 1 or 2 years of starting calibre football left in him.
DeletePlenty of time to develop one.
DeleteCool. Will they be better than Linderbaum?
DeleteI'm pretty sure we'll find out. I just don't see Shanahan ever investing that kind of money into the position ever again.
DeleteOooh, big call. I don't see why not. His feelings about the importance of the position don't appear to have changed.
DeleteAlso, to reiterate something I have said multiple times, I don't think they'll sign Linderbaum.
DeleteIf I was in charge, I would go all out to get him if he does hit FA. To me, that should be a no brainer decision to lock down an important position with a genuine blue chip player entering their prime years. But no, I don't think it will happen.
He's already shown he can get it done with Brendel.
DeleteSo the plan should be to go cheap, middle of the road centers from here on out?
DeleteFoerster has a plan. On that you can rest assured.
DeleteDon't be fooled by coach speak.
DeleteThe only thing we should take away from what they've said and done the last couple of years is that they won't reach for a guy just to get a guy.
What "coaches speak" are you referring to?
DeleteFoerster saying he would prefer the team use high picks on skill players. I'm sure he'd love some additional high end talent to work with.
DeleteShsnahan/ Lynch saying Brendel is one of the best centers in the NFL. They used to talk up Cassius Marsh as well.
Yes, they clearly like Brendel, but they aren't stupid. They will also realise he can be improved on. It's just not always easy to do so.
I believe Foerster. The offensive line takes 2-3 years to develop. The ones coming out of college aren't worth high picks.
DeleteCassius Marsh. Haven't heard his name in a while. Man, I used to absolutely HATE his sack celebration. Luckily, he wasn't very good at sacking anybody.
And yet, it's pretty well known the 49ers wanted Rosengarten in round 2 in 2024, and Grant in round 3 last year.
DeleteYea, but who'd they try and trade up for last year at the top of the draft? TMac
DeleteI also think it's interesting that for all the talk about how Foerster doesn't need elite guys, only one OL they've drafted after Day 2 has developed into a consistent starter for them.
DeleteYou find it interesting how many players Foerster has gotten paid?
DeleteAgain, only one of them a guy that was taken after day 2. And he couldn't hold down his starting spot this year either.
DeleteWith $57 Mil Salary cap the 9ers should sign 3 free agents:
ReplyDelete* Zion Johnson: 27 Y/OG, to a 3 year $34 Mil contract ~$ 11.3 M AAV
* Alex Pierce 26 Y/O WR, to a 4 year $81 Mil contract ~$20.25 M AAV
* Tyler Linderbaum 25 Y/O C, to a 4 year $72 mil contract ~$ 18M AAV
Total = ~$ 49.55 Mil AAV from $57 Mil cap = $ 7.45 Mil. Add another
~$7 Mil for Bosa Insurance = $14.45 2026 Salary cap.
* Rework TW and Bosa contract for any additional 2026 salary cap.
9ers 2026 draft picks per the Atlantic: updated 02/11/2026
27: Omar Cooper, WR Indiana
58: Lee Hunter, DT Texas Tech
92: Zakee Whitley, S Penn St.
127: Jaishawn Barham, LB Michigan. Fits Morris "penny" front
133: Zane Durrant, DT Penn ST
138: Caden Curry, EDGE Ohio St.
171: Kaelon Black, RB, Indiana
Looks good GEEP.
DeleteI really like the idea of patching holes on offense in FA and then focusing mostly on defense again early in the draft. It's exactly what I've been thinking too.
Scooter
DeleteWe're either going to compete in the NFC West, or we're not!
We know what Seattle and LAR bring to the trable, so we
go big or we stay in 3Rd place!
I, like you, want another SB ring!
^GEEP^
DeleteGEEP,
ReplyDeleteNice draft. I like Durrant. But I would replace him with an OG that could be groomed.
I feel like the 4th Round is where Foerster is gonna take his shot.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteTKS AES. Got a name?
ReplyDeleteWhen I see OLmen being drafted late 2nd or 3rd day. I view them as players that show athleticism and potential, but need refining. FUS, OL/OG, Broderick Kearney is a guy that seems to fit that profile. Durrant, is hard to replace, but having picked Hunter earlier and already having CJ West makes me look at someone like Kearney who could possibly fill a need in the near future.
DeleteWhat do you guys think of Kobe Baynes out of Kansas?
DeleteRazor
DeleteIMO, Kobe Baynes is a high-effort run-blocker with experience in a power-heavy offense. He'd struggle in ZBS that require fast, lateral movement to the 2nd level / edge. Limited by average agility.
His tape suggests to me that his lateral movement is better than advertised. I think his feet might be better than Banks'.
DeleteBroderick Kearney runs a 4.8 40.
DeleteAaron Banks 5.32
DeleteAt this point Banks is much better. But at what rd do the 49ers draft him if he's their guy?
DeleteHe's a Round 5/6 guy for me. Nothing flashy but solid.
DeleteAnyone else see a little Clinton Portis to Mike Washington Jr.'s game?
ReplyDeleteIf D'Angelo Ponds size limitations means he somehow lasts to pick #58, I couldn't pass on him there. He'd be CB1 if he was 5'11" or taller.
ReplyDeleteAnd they shouldn't pass on him if he's there.
DeleteIf the 49ers want to replace Jauan Jennings with a mid round pick, CJ Daniels could be that guy.
ReplyDeleteGermie Bernard is a wr I could see Shanahan falling in love with.
DeleteBernard is a weird one for me. I like the film, but the advanced metrics paint a bleak picture for his NFL future.
DeleteI expect he'll be a 2nd rounder at the latest, but I think I'd pass. Too big a risk imo.
His routes are so good though.
DeleteYeah, but they just can't afford to miss on guys in the first two rounds. Need to start adding young blue chip players. While that means they need to be willing to take some risks, I think those risks need to bound in highly productive, high end athletes.
DeleteRazor
DeleteI'm also a pass on WR Germie Bernard for 2 reasons.
* Press coverage is an issue. Needs stronger hands and better counter moves when physical corners get into his chest early.
* Contested catch production. He's 6'1" X 204, he should be winning more 50/50 balls.
For me, if his ACL checks out medically, I'd draft Chris Bell.
He uses tempo alterations to help him bypass and separate from coverage. My comp would be Robert Woods or JSN.
DeleteDenzel Boston is the "Diet Coke" version of Mike Evans 🥤according to
ReplyDeleteMatt Harmon.
2016 PPG: 30
ReplyDelete2025 PPG: 28.5
2016 Completion Percentage: 59%
2025 Completion Percentage: 63%
Offenses are using throws to the perimeter as extensions of the run game because it's becoming harder and harder to run the football.
Defense is becoming increasingly about versatility over specialization. The hybrid safety epitomizes that reality.
ReplyDeleteIs Jonah Coleman RB2 in this class?
ReplyDeleteInteresting. Dieter is saying the 49ers are having internal discussions that would see Lynch relinquish GM duties (staying as President of Football Operations) and have a new GM come in.
ReplyDeleteI think there are enough "special projects" for the 49ers to hire a President of football operations. The first 2 projects Lynch could tackle could be the power station and a shade structure over the visitors side stands
DeleteI don't believe Deiter.
DeleteI doubt he's lying. But as to whether he has any good sources I have no idea.
DeleteHe talks a big game but I doubt he has any insider information.
DeleteThe only center I really rate in this draft is Jake Slaughter. He looks like he can be an above average NFL starter.
ReplyDeleteNot that impressed with the others.
Cool name but I got Lew over him, at least in this system.
DeleteLew doesn't do much for me.
DeleteFirst-team All-SEC Freshman (2023)
DeleteSomeone had to get it. He started what, 4 games that year?
DeleteIf he tests really well I'll revisit him, but on first watch he looks like he needs to add a lot of strength to his game. Does move well though. And only young, so could develop into an NFL starter.
Yea, no center is coming in here and taking the job from Brendel. Hennessy couldn't even do it. Lew would need a year in strength and conditioning, but from what I hear he's incredibly smart.
DeleteRange of outcomes depending testing for Oregon IOL Emmanuel Pregnon. With 88th+ percentile testing, Pregnon would project as a 'Tier 1' bluechip level prospect...
ReplyDelete100th percentile..
🔘 Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
95th+ percentile..
🔘 Peter Skoronski, Northwestern
88th+ percentile..
🔘 Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa
70th+ percentile..
🔘 Joe Dahl, Washington State
🔘 Austin Corbett, Nevada
< 70th percentile..
🔘 Elijah Klein, UTEP
🔘 Darian Kinnard, Kentucky