Trevor Lawrence led all QBs in first-read throw rate in 2022 (75.0%), 2023 (77.3%), and 2024 (76.1%), and is now at a new career-high of 79.6% this year. His league-low 57.2 passer rating when targeting his first read indicates defenses are well aware of his proclivity.
Trevor Lawrence:
+ dead-last in hero throw rate (0.0%) + bottom-5 in turnover-worthy throw rate (12.5%) + bottom-10 in catchable throw rate on balls thrown 10+ yards in the air (62.5%)
To add insult to injury he's faced pressure on only 18.3% of his dropbacks.
Jaguars Defense vs:
Run/Pass/Pts.Allowed/Overall 4th-17th-5th-10th
I like the 49ers 24-13 over the Jaguars!
#49ers inactives CB Renardo Green (neck) DL CJ West (hand) WR Jordan Watkins (calf) WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling RB Jordan James LB Nick Martin
This is a home game against the Jaguars the 9ers should win! My concern is, the 9ers may be looking ahead to the Rams on Thurs. and come out flat, giving Jax the lead?
ReplyDeleteToo many vets and ingrained culture for that to happen imho.
DeleteI hope you're right!
DeleteI'm more concerned about Purdy's toe injury. Any awkward step could re-agrevate this type of injury. Fingers crossed.
ReplyDeleteI'm excited to see Jefferson get some snaps. He's strong and quick. Can control double teams and peak in the backfield.
ReplyDeleteHave a bad feeling about this game. With Green out, our Secondary and Luter(?) will be targeted.
ReplyDeleteKey will be CMC against their best linebacker, who is above average. Expecting Purdy to be rusty, first game back.