Thursday, April 22, 2021

Examining the fit: Wayne Gallman and Arden Key

By Scooter_McG

The 49ers on Wednesday announced the signings of RB Wayne Gallman and DE Arden Key to one year deals, adding depth to the roster ahead of next weekend’s draft.

Wayne Gallman

Gallman was a fourth round pick of the Giants in 2017, after being Clemson’s workhorse RB during two consecutive college football playoff title runs (with one championship) playing alongside Deshaun Watson. During his time at Clemson he made a name for himself for his powerful, no nonsense running style, with some ability as a pass catcher. However, he is more a high effort, tough minded player than dynamic athlete.

Gallman was a steady and reliable player for the Giants playing mostly in a reserve role. He had his best season in the NFL last year replacing Saquon Barkley after Barkley tore his ACL early in the year. Gallman rushed for 682 yards at 4.6 yards per carry, with 6 TDs, while also adding 21 receptions for 114 yards. Gallman also contributed well as a rookie, providing 476 yards rushing at 4.3 yards per carry plus 34 receptions for 193 yards and a TD, but found his opportunities limited in 2018 and 2019 as Barkley dominated the snap share.  

Gallman was noted coming out of college for his leadership, locker room presence and work ethic, all of which no doubt appeal to the culture Lynch and Shanahan have created with the 49ers. Gallman will likely compete for the role vacated by Tevin Coleman, though likely that role will go to Jeff Wilson and Gallman will be in a fight for a roster spot against the likes of Hasty, Walter and likely a rookie as the third or fourth RB. One plus that Gallman brings is as a red zone runner which may help him secure a role on the team.

Arden Key

Key was a third round pick of the Raiders in 2018, following a high profile career at LSU both on and off the field. Key’s talent as a long, bendy and explosive pass rusher off the edge was obvious in college, and he put on a show as a sophomore in 2016 with 12 sacks and 14.5 tackles for loss. After his sophomore year, Key was widely considered a potential future top 10 draft pick. However, he was unable to replicate the feat in 2017 and had a lacklustre junior year, where his off-field character issues were the bigger talking point than his on field play. His dedication to football was questioned, while rumours persisted of recreational drug use which led to questions about his decision-making and lifestyle.

So far in the NFL, Key has managed to stay out of the spotlight for any of the wrong reasons. However, he has also stayed out of the spotlight for any good reasons as well, having recorded just 3 sacks over three seasons and not starting a game since his rookie year. Despite the lack of production, Key is still only 24 (25 soon), appears to have improved his commitment to football, and provides some potential upside. Perhaps Kris Kocurek is just the coach to unlock his potential.

I see Key potentially playing a role similar to Dion Jordan. A guy the team may look to keep on the practice squad and feels comfortable bringing up as a rotational guy if there is an injury. And if he takes to Kocurek’s coaching and shows some of his LSU potential, all the better.

Other Odds and Ends

The signing of Key may be a sign that Ronald Blair’s medical check on his knee did not go well. If that’s the case it is a real shame for a player that was just starting to come into his own as very solid rotational player. Fingers crossed he bounces back, and a reunion with the 49ers can still happen.

The 49ers have also recently brought FA safety Tony Jefferson in for a visit. Jefferson hasn’t played since he tore his ACL in week 5 of the 2019 season, but is a well respected leader and when healthy was a well regarded and tough player despite being a limited athlete.

I find the interest in Jefferson a bit surprising. The team already re-signed Tartt and Harris, and also signed Tavon Wilson. It makes me wonder if there may be position changes afoot – maybe Moore will get another shot at CB, where the team is currently very thin, or Harris may move to LB – or perhaps the team is thinking of switching gears a little and playing a system that employs more DBs on the field.

47 comments:

  1. Another good one, Scooter. Looks to me with all these signings that the 49ers may be planning on moving up. 9 picks with only 5 roster spots open, I expect they will target players they want and use some of those extra picks to go get them.

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    Replies
    1. I'm thinking trading out entirely may be an option too, to recoup future picks.

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    2. And by entirely, I don't mean every pick. I mean use some picks to get better future picks with no 2021 picks in return.

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  2. I think Gallman is a keeper and may end up as the #2 back behind Mostert ahead of Wilson. He will likely be the red zone guy.

    Via David Lombardi:

    Gallman ran against the 2nd-highest rate of 8+ man boxes in football in 2020 (40.1%), behind only Washington’s Barber. He still managed 4.6 yards per carry

    From NextGen Stats:
    Rush yards over expected per carry, 2020 NFL ranks..
    9. Wayne Gallman: 0.70
    10. Raheem Mostert: 0.69
    11. Jeff Wilson: 0.59

    From PFF:
    Yards after contact per rush, 2020 (PFF)...

    1. Nick Chubb: 4.06
    2. Derrick Henry: 3.94
    3. Ronald Jones: 3.65
    4. Wayne Gallman: 3.63
    5. Tony Pollard: 3.59
    6. Aaron Jones: 3.54

    Tough runner with leadership qualities. Definitely an upgrade over Coleman.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks. Enjoyed your cover of these two additions. while I am pretty confident that Gallman will fit in well in Turner's room and system, let's see what Kocurek can do with Key.

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    2. This one is tough to to figure out only because he should have been retained by the Giants but languished on the FA market while they brought in Devontae Booker. Looks like a good signing to me.

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  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  4. Lombardi states that they currently have 9 spots in the 90-man roster. Trader John did not pick even one player at the designated spot in the last draft. With 5 available spots, it's likely they trade around quite a bit and end up with fewer than 9 players. I can see them signing a vet CB after the draft.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mood: Just curious how much you are paying for the Athletic. I signed up for I think $0.99/month and have been charged $7.99/month for the last few months. I hardly ever used it. Is that how much you are paying, or do you have an "in" to a lower rate.

      Delete
    2. Cubus,
      I am on a $60 annual subscription plan paid in full every 12 months. I joined in August 2018 on a plan that offered free access for a month.

      Delete
  5. I expect JL/KS take a QB with pick #3, then trade down with pick #43, for either CB or EDGE (BPA), plus an late Rd #3
    draft pick. Then use the Extra Rd #3 draft pick plus use Rd #5 pick(s) to move back up in Rd 2 for the EDGE or CB they didn't draft with 1st Rd #2 draft pick.
    Rd #3 pick #102: A TE or WR (BPA)
    RD #4 Pick #117: A WR or TE, depending what they drafted at Pick #102. I can also see them using a 2nd Rd #5 Draft pick
    to move up from pick #117, for a player they want.

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  6. Nice Article Scooter.

    I'm looking forward to what Kocurek can do with Arden Key. With Gallman, I'm wary of any player whose highest production comes on a contract year.

    But agree with your point on his red zone capabilities. Should be a definite upgrade and can potentially get 5-10 touches a game.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Mugeek. With Gallman, his big year had mkre to do with opportunity than the motivation of a contract year. He didn't play any differently than previous years, just played more often due to Barkley's injury.

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  7. BetQL Daily
    @BetQLDaily
    "I had been told by a source that I trust immensely ... he told me, point-blank, John Lynch wants Trey Lance (for the 49ers)." — @MikeDetillier

    💻: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Hz7VQlQLerw

    🎧: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/betql-daily/id1530598759

    ReplyDelete
  8. "I don’t think there’s any way in hell they’re taking Mac Jones,” one executive told The MMQB's Albert Breer.

    Now that is a GM I can work with.

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  9. Red & Gold in RI
    @KMart2180
    Replying to
    @TheNinerWay

    @JackHammer_NFL
    and 9 others
    Per Adam Schefter " a NFL GM said Mac has elite processing, elite accuracy and elite leadership. He is ranked alot higher than the fans and media ave him"

    Also from a NFL qb coach (in picture) "substantially better in the interviews than ALL of the other qbs" #chalkboard

    Here's the link for the quote from the NFL qb coach.

    https://twitter.com/KMart2180/status/1385262551571779591

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    Replies
    1. None of that surprises me, obviously. There is a lot to lkke about Jones, if you can get away from thinking an elite QB has to have elite physical tools.

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    2. The uncertainty is how much of that elite accuracy and elite processing degrades under pressure in a collapsing pocket. The data appears to show that a lot of it does.

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    3. True. But part of the reason he wasn't pressured often is he won the snap before the snap.

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    4. We will soon see how much of it was Mac winning before the snap and how much of it was a combination of superior O line protection and elite receivers running their routes unhindered by DBs of similar caliber.

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    5. Indeed. That's the big problem with player evaluation - very hard to extract the player from the situation.

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  10. Tony Pauline, Mac Jones at 3 is a big reach.

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    Replies
    1. As I write this post, I'm listening to dueling banjos.

      https://www.ninersnation.com/2021/4/22/22396709/49ers-mac-jones-betting-favorite-to-be-third-overall-pick

      Delete
  11. According to Matt Miller, what he has heard is the best interviews were Jones, Lance and Ehlinger.

    Jones was "next level", and one GM labelled Jones "the smartest QB they've ever interviewed".

    All of that gels with everything else I have heard about him, and his film.

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    Replies
    1. I honestly love the fact the lack of info from the Niners has the Twitterverse in disarray and the name changing based on who had the most recent pro day. While I'm not a big fan of Jones based on the fact I don't see any special qualities in him that amount to giving up multiple first round picks for, he is obviously in play for the pick and if that is the case people are going to have to accept that they really don't know who the best candidate is and are trying to predict it with little information compared to what the 49ers have. If they take Jones it's because they have done extensive research into not just his ability on the field but his personality, leadership ability, whether he's a good teammate, learning ability etc. They didn't trade all those picks to move up and take a scrub. They traded them because they saw a QB who they believe will be the cornerstone of this franchise for the foreseeable future. No matter who that player turns out to be we are all going to have to accept that they are coming from a far superior place of knowledge than any of us are and believe that particular player is the best fit for them.

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  12. I do like the Arden Key pickup, KK will motivate this guy.

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    Replies
    1. They teach him how to finish and they'll have themselves a good one.

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  13. In this game, space is always taken away because of the pressure [by] the defense. So, he wants somebody that doesn't have to use a bunch of space in the pocket to be able to really drive the ball and do it accurately. So, that's why there are certain elements of a guy that may jump out to him, and he looks and says, 'I know where that fits in what I do.'"

    That's not Jones.

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  14. Jonah Tuls
    @JonahTulsNFL
    ·
    Apr 20
    I don’t see much of a gap between Mac Jones and Davis Mills.

    Lmao, this has been my position for quite some time.

    ReplyDelete
  15. One college scouting director, who posed a question that has been on the mind of 49ers fans for weeks.

    "Mac's 'Bama tape is really, really good. There's no denying that," the college scouting director told Pelissero. "But you watch him in Mobile -- this doesn't really feel like a big, big, big-time guy. You trade all that s--t, for him?"

    ReplyDelete
  16. Maurice Hurst Jr
    @mohurstjr
    49ers Let’s Go to Work!! This defense is about to go crazy!! Time to eat!

    #49ers || #FTTB
    6:53 PM · Apr 22, 2021


    DT Maurice Hurst added to the rotation. This draft sucks for DT's too. Good sign.

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    Replies
    1. Hurst and Key were both released by the Raiders on the same day, and have now moved to the 49ers!

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    2. Posey is speculating that he might be a Kevin Givens replacement, noting that it has been nearly a month since Givens has been charged with assault.

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    3. More from Posey:

      "He’s been productive with the Raiders, despite low sack totals. Hurst was a draft darling in 2018 before sliding to the fifth round after concerns rose from a heart condition.

      We’re not talking about a typical fifth-round talent. Hurst’s best season came in 2019 if we’re using Sports Info Solutions total points saved metric. In 477 snaps, Hurst saved 21 points for the Raiders. He had 21 hurries, and 18 QB hits with an average depth of tackle at 1.8.

      To put 21 points into context, Airk Armstead saved 18 points in 2020. Javon Kinlaw and Givens saved 15 apiece. Hurst is a penetrating, get upfield, and cause chaos type of 3-technique, which is precisely what the 49ers are looking for. They need someone who is disruptive up the middle."

      https://www.ninersnation.com/2021/4/22/22398482/former-raiders-dt-maurice-hurst-jr-tweets-that-hes-signed-with-the-49ers

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    4. Yeah, I am a much bigger fan of the Hurst signing than the Key signing. That's a nice pickup for the 49ers.

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    5. @Scooter: Sounds like a great pickup. Enthusiastic guy who should mesh well with Kocurek. But I'm wondering why the Raiders let him go.

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    6. Yeah, I'm with you there cubus. I didn't understand the decision a couple of days ago, and I've not heard anything since to understand the why of it.

      The only thing I can think of, outside of potentially some issue we aren't aware of, is they didn't like his run defense, and had concerns about his injury last season. But to me he seems a good fit as that smaller, penetrating DT the 49ers like to employ.

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  17. Yup, I have a tough time believing that the 49ers gave up so much capital for Mac Jones as well.
    But, if the 49ers draft him, I have to trust that Shanahan envisions something much bigger than what our opinions of him are.

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  18. Great article on Mac jones here:

    https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/04/22/gameplan-steve-sarkisian-mac-jones-alabama-nfl-special

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    Replies
    1. Just finished it. Thanks. By the way, another great article, Scooter.

      Delete
  19. Another nice pick up with Hurst. After the Niners first pick the ensuing picks are going to be mighty interesting. Is there a center in the draft with an attitude? Might be a good time to grab one.

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  20. I am VERY happy w the Hurst signing.... he can penetrate and plays hard- from my experience watching him (I am likely the only person on the planet who was both a 49ers and Raiders season ticket holder). With Key, oftentimes he would bull rush, but is simply way too light. I would hope he can develop some explosiveness coming off the edge this year. I like Gallman as well.
    Personally, I don't want to jinx things, but I am liking the potential... the only downside is that with all of these 1-yr deals, next year could expose a lot of holes as they won't have a lot of young guys able to make the roster.

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