Using this chart I matchup most likely player for San Francisco:
40% WR: Denzel Boston
25% OL: Monroe Freeling
14% EDGE: T. J. Parker
9% DL: Lee Hunter
8% TE: Kenyon Sadiq
3% DB: Dillon Thieneman
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
With The 27th Pick
Using this chart I matchup most likely player for San Francisco: 40% WR: Denzel Boston 25% OL: Monroe Freeling 14% EDGE: T. J. Parker 9%...
-
Nope, it's not a misprint. After trading up to the #3 pick from #12, the 49ers have put themselves in a position to select their franch... -
The San Francisco 49ers are 20-6 when the Three Amigos are on the field together. If they stay healthy you can forget about a "rebuil... -
The postseason is a year away. Win or lose the only thing they're playing for today is pride. Another opportunity to advertise your wo...
Luke Fortner is projected to command a 3-Year, $18 Million Deal and he's been a backup. Started 10 games last year at center due to injury.
ReplyDeleteWyatt Teller looks like a vet min candidate they could bring in to compete at LG.
ReplyDeleteWhy vet minimum? I'd have thought he could get better than that.
DeleteIn 2025, Teller ranked 57th out of 65 qualifying guards in ESPN's pass block win rate metric and 40th out of 62 guards in run block win rate. What are you thinking, $6M?
DeleteYeah, I think a team looking for immediate upgrade at LG would give him something in the $6M-$8M range. Despite the down year, he's got reputation on his side.
DeleteI see a lot of people are on the WR bandwagon which I don't understand. It's noted that the WR is a need but not at 27. My reasoning is that the Niners are not going to beat the Hawks or Rams with a WR at 27, in my opinion the Niners can beat the Hawks or Rams with a stout defense. One that can stop the run and create 3rd and long situations. A defense that can get off the field and create reasonable opportunities for the offense. Now after they can stop the run it's time to think about pass rushers, if they can accomplish that then it will be up to the defensive backs. It's a very simple formula but hard to construe. Can't have a dominate defense till you stop the run.
ReplyDeleteThe Niners first pick will be a defensive pick. A pass rusher or a run stuffer would be my pick. Right now, to beat the Hawks and Rams is too beat their offense.
That's what I would do as well. Lee Hunter is my main target at 27, and if not him, then an Edge.
DeleteMain argument against an edge is that when everyone is healthy the edge wouldn't start ahead of Bosa and Williams in base. They'll be a rotational and passing downs player. But I would argue the right player would allow Morris to be more multiple in his fronts.
Good to see you Under!
DeleteHunter is a guy that would be a d1s right out of the shute.
DeleteAgreed AES. And help form a strong interior rotation with Collins and West. The other DT can then be more specialised as a pass rushing 3T.
DeleteYes sir. I'd be happy with Concepcion or Sadiq, but I believe that Hunter would provide a bigger impact for the 49ers.
DeleteWould that specialized 3t be someone like Gracen Halton?
DeleteHunter + Halton added to Collins and West would be great! But I suspect it will be more the FA route for the 4th guy.
DeleteNo more Hargraves.
DeleteNo, I think they'll bring in a cheapish DT in FA for the rotation.
DeleteKhyiris Tonga? Projected $3.1M APY
DeleteWhen it comes to Chris Brazzell, someone convince me he isn't the next MVS, Equanimeous St Brown, or Miles Boykin. Because those are the strong vibes I get with him.
ReplyDeleteWon't come from me. I'm out on Brazzell and Concepcion at 27. I don't like body catchers (Concepcion) or poor contested catch rate (Brazzell).
DeleteBrazzell plays small.
DeleteI have a different perspective. I love the speed and control that Brazzell shows and obviously love the physical traits including Yards per catch.
DeleteHis profile is what we need, at least on paper against the Physical Seattle/Rams secondary.
I also like the fact that he was productive in the SEC and while playing with a not great QB. Definitely not a home run 1st round pick, but I would go for him in the 2nd.
Tate, Tyson, Boston, even Lemon will all be gone in Rd 1 before we pick and I don't like Concepcion, so I think Brazzell is the atypical pick in Rd 2 who has most upside IMO.
How does he differ in profile from the 3 guys I outlined?
DeleteWell, for one he played in a better conference in the SEC...against better competition/coaches obviously.
DeleteAlso, out of the 3 players you mentioned two ended up on the 49ers roster. So he must at least "look the part" of what kind of WR this regime prefers.
Hmmm, that doesn't exactly sound like a convincing argument to take him. He's like two guys they had on the back end of the roster/ PS, and all they need to do is spend a 2nd round pick to get him.
DeleteHe got got open a lot against top competition, considering they only seemed to run a go route or comeback at Tenn because he can throttle down and and stacks defenders on go balls.
DeleteHe has a much higher contested catch rate (50 percent) than those others mentioned because he will actually highpoint the ball while the others dont go get the ball and seem to wait for it.
40.8% contested catch rate throughout his college career though, so no, not much higher than the guys I mentioned. If he gets a free release he is definitely dangerous, but he doesn't play with a lot of physicality.
DeleteContrast Brazzel's with 4th Ranked Denzel Boston, UW (76.9% career contested catch rate). No comparison. I don't even thin TMcMillan was higher than 60%.
DeleteFor me, I'm drafting DT Lee Hunter Rd #1 and WR Omar Cooper Rd #2.
DeleteBarring a move up, the most likely still on the board would be Parker or Hunter and I'm going with Hunter.
DeleteThe reason I have Parker over Young is due to his recent DUI arrest. I don't think they'd invest a 1st round pick into a player that's not squeaky clean in that regard.
He has a very low drop % too...compared to someone like MVS who was known for drops at critical times, throughout his career.
DeleteBrazzell has also been productive everywhere he has been.
I think playing with a limited QB and Offense showcased only one facet of his game and he will reach his ceiling after one year in the league.
Highest career passer ratings in NFL history (minimum 1,000 attempts):
ReplyDelete1. Brock Purdy - 104.0
2. Aaron Rodgers - 102.2
3. Lamar Jackson - 102.2
4. Joe Burrow - 101.1
5. Patrick Mahomes - 100.8
If the 49ers can become a defensive stalwart and keep the offense healthy, they don't have to worry about a QB, because Purdy is going to produce.
ReplyDeleteWhen looking at the teams in front of SF with a high percentage of need at DL, only the Bears, Chargers and Panthers look like they could go in that direction. This leads me to believe the chances of a really good iDL will be available at 27.
ReplyDeleteAnother thought at edge. How many big DE's do the 49ers want in their stable? If they feel like adding a speed rusher is the better compliment, then there's no reason to take one early as there should be several to choose from in Rounds 3-4.
ReplyDeleteThis is true. But man, the track record they've got on edge guys after round 1 is abysmal.
DeleteRazor
DeleteDo you see the 9ers keeping Yetur Gross-Matos? I don't. And they wold save ~$3.3 Mil if they cut him.
How about Bryce Huff? If they cut him they'd save ~$5.4 Mil
YGM is likely gone. Huff I'm not sure. Might be a cut and resign. Got to take into consideration he had to play a role he's not made to play. He's a DPR and not a 3-down player.
DeleteSounds like you're describing Cashius Howell to a tee. Not big, but productive. Also, he likely doesn't make it out of the first rd. But that's the price you pay to draft quality production.
DeleteYep, Howell is a DPR and I'm not sure they'd invest that high of a pick there. R Mason Thomas plays the run and can set an edge. He's probably the most Dee Ford like player in this draft. He's got to clear medicals to be considered at 27.
DeleteDean Connors isn’t getting talked about enough.
ReplyDelete✅ 3.52 career YCO/A — elite contact balance
✅ 10.84s 100m — verified speed
✅ 34.2% career breakaway rate — explosive
✅ 145 career receptions — true 3-down skillset
JUCO ➝ Rice ➝ Big 12.
Future riser already on film. 🎥👇
Jalen Huskey, S, Maryland
ReplyDelete🔻 BIG hitter
🔻 reliable tackler
🔻 ball skills/production (11 INTs, 6 PBUs)
🔻 positional versatility
🔻 backend range
2026 CB prospects' passer rating allowed in their final season (avg of 1st round picks since 2015 is 56.6)
ReplyDeleteChris Johnson - 16.1
Mansoor Delane - 27.5
Treydan Stukes - 35.9
Keith Abney - 46.1
D'Angelo Ponds - 53.5
Jermod McCoy - 53.6
Colton Hood - 69.5
Keionte Scott - 69.9
Devin Moore - 70
Brandon Cisse - 78.9
Julian Neal - 82.5
Avieon Terrell - 95
I don't delve into the draft until after the FA signing. If they sign 2 B/B+ level FAs it will completely change the draft. I doubt they will double up in the draft at the same positions they sign in free agency (at least in the first 3 rounds) I am looking forward to this years FA signing period more than I have in at least 2 seasons.
ReplyDeleteChris Johnson (6’0 190) San Diego State
ReplyDelete+ Special teams impact
+ 92.4 coverage grade in 2025
+ Just a 41.9% completion rate allowed against in 2025
+ Reliable tackler with just a 5.6% missed tackle rate
+ Instinctive against the run
+ 4 interceptions in 2025
+ Doesn’t turn 22 years old until November 2026
- Hasn’t faced a ton of top wide receivers while at San Diego State
- Had just 2 career interceptions prior to 2025
- Likely to run in the 4.5 range
Draft projection: Top 50
Rondale Moore dead at 25.
ReplyDeleteAbsolutely Horrific! He was a good player, but injuries derailed his career.
DeleteHearing that it was self-inflicted...very sad if that is the case. RIP!
If Akheem Mesidor gets drafted in round 1 = he's an outlier
ReplyDelete-He'd be the 1st DL drafted in round 1 at age 25 or older since Peria Jerry(DT) in 2009
-He'd be the 1st DE drafted in round 1 at age 25 or older since Max Bumgardner in 1948
(Used Pro Football Reference)
If he's very good in the NFL= he'd be an outlier too
-Since 1997, 19 DEs were drafted in rounds 1 or 2 at age 24 or older. They have produced 3 Pro Bowl seasons and 2 2nd team All Pro seasons
Since 1997, DE's drafted in round 1 who were 24 yrs old or older:
Will McDonald 24
Ezekiel Ansah 24 -2nd team AP(2015)
Bruce Irvin 24
Robert Ayers 24
Gaines Adams 24
Jerome McDougle 24
Charles Grant 24
Lamar King 24
A big reason why I can't get on board with him in the first. Plus, by the time he's getting to his second contract he'll be around 30.
DeleteI agree regarding Mesidor. Not only will his second contact come up in 3 years, but he may be showing signs of wear and tear. Also, I question whether he's already reached his ceiling.
DeleteSince 1997, DE drafted in round 2 who were 24 yrs old or older:
ReplyDeleteVinny Curry 24
Margus Hunt 26
Markus Golden 24
Kevin Dodd 24
Keion White 24
Quentin Groves 24
Eddie Freeman 24
Anton Palepoi 24
Aaron Schobel 24 - 2nd AP('06), PB ('06,'07)
Mike Rucker 24 - PB('03)
Dorian Boose 24
Anyone watch the HBCU all star game today?
ReplyDeleteI missed it.
DeleteThe Packers are expected to release OL Elgton Jenkins by the beginning of the new league year, per Bill Huber.
ReplyDeleteIf the 49ers could sign him to a 1 yr on the cheap prove it contract I say go for it.
Delete🚨#NFL SACK LEADERS LAST 5 YEARS
ReplyDelete1) #Browns Myles Garrett: 95
2) #Steelers TJ Watt: 80.5
3) #Bengals Trey Hendrickson: 74.5 * FREE AGENT
4) #Packers Micah Parsons: 65
5) #Giants Brian Burns: 63.5
6) #Texans Danielle Hunter: 60 7
7) #Raiders Maxx Crosby: 59.5
8) #49ers Nick Bosa: 55.5 * Missed 2 seasons
Sam Hecht is so good on the move, both pulling + climbing to the second level. Plug-and-play talent. Didn’t allow a sack the past two seasons as the Wildcats’ starting center either. Really good technique.
ReplyDeleteWisconsin EDGE Mason Reiger is a DPR that's not getting talked about a lot. Twitchy, disruptive and relentless. Not as good against the run. Could've had double digit sacks if he finished stronger.
ReplyDeleteWe need a pass rusher like Cowboy, a difference maker when the game is on the line.
ReplyDeleteR Mason Thomas is that player in the 4th quarter. Six of his nine sacks in 2024 came protecting leads.
Delete"Executives from several teams looking at quarterbacks expect the 49ers to do all within reason to keep Jones as well, and believe the price it would require to obtain him in trade will be more than most teams would be willing to part with.” La Canfora
ReplyDeleteAs it should be. He's a starting QB in the NFL and that's worth a lot.
If you're looking for a late day nose, there isn't a better one than NC State DT Brandon Cleveland. Not a pass rush threat but he's one of the best run defenders in the class.
ReplyDeleteWould you guys prefer Bryce Huff at $17M or Samson Ebukam at a fraction of that as the 3rd/ 4th edge?
ReplyDeleteEbukam
DeleteSame. If Saleh was still the DC I'd understand keeping Huff, but with Morris and Huff's salary, I think he's going to be gone.
DeleteChris Bell Jr. (6’2 227) Louisville
ReplyDelete+ Elite straight-line speed
+ Just a 5.3% drop rate in 2025
+ Career 56.1% contested catch rate
+ Adjusting to back shoulder throws
+ Breaking through arm tackles
+ 2.55 yards per route ran in 2025
+ Career 67.7% completion rate when targeted
+ Acceleration to top speed
- Torn ACL in November
- More of a run after catch player than he is a consistent target down the field on deep balls
- Limited route tree ran at Louisville
Draft projection: Day 2