QB, OT, EDGE, and CB have always been labeled as the premium positions. The Super Bowl has continued to show that disruptive defensive tackle should be in that category too. Draft them early or pay them a lot of money if there’s a worthy one on the open market.
I admire the optimism and as a fan we don't really have much choice. Yet, I fear we are headed for a tenure under KS that resembles that of Mike Tomlin (except Tomlin won a SB early on).
Not hard to be optimistic about the 49er's future. They've got the HC, GM and QB to put it all together and that's the majority of the battle.
I've been told Tomlin > Shanahan for the past 6 years. Which one's front office and coaching staff gets pilfered across the league year after year, and which one doesn't?
Seahawks built their defense (team) to counter the Rams and 49ers. Yet McVay has shown the way to rack up big yardage (over 1000 yards in the last 2 games) and be competitive against Seattle. If the 9ers don't follow suit, it'll be the Russel Wilson/Richard Sherman era of beatdowns by Seattle all over again.
Just for shits, grins and the pessimistic among us:
44-year-old grandfather Philip Rivers had the Colts leading 16-15 over the Seahawks with 47 seconds remaining in Seattle under a week after unretiring.
I think it's great to be optimistic about the team, but I really hope Shanahan and Lynch aren't sitting there thinking everything will be ok and they'll be SB winners just as long as Warner and Bosa are healthy.
If you're not optimistic about the future of this team after the adversity and accomplishment of this season, I doubt there's anything they could do this offseason to change your mind.
Agreed. And I am optimistic. But also realistic enough to know the team overachieved this year and there's still areas that need improvement both for now and the future to really be strong contenders rather than a punchers chance.
Yes, overachieved. Absolutely. And despite the bad injury luck, they had good in-game luck most of the year. It's a large part of why everyone kept calling it a magical run - the ways they found to improbably win.
That team had overwhelming talent and needed to be shown how not to shoot themselves in the foot.
I'm talking about pulling out improbable wins, such as forcing fumbles on the 1 yard line, opponents missing easy FGs, etc. They had a lot of luck this year in games, which won't always be the case.
When a defense is sitting in two-high shells against the run, they are short a gap inside. Their best options to combat that gap are to stunt the DL into adjacent gaps or cross-dog the LB's to cancel gaps. Running gap schemes and pulling offensive linemen can create new ones on the edge with a puller, which FORCES the corners into the run fits. Stop running inside zone right into the blitz and win on 1st downs!!
In seven of the 49ers' last eight playoff appearances--dating back to Harbaugh's first season--they have either been eliminated in the Super Bowl or by the team that eventually won the Super Bowl.
Any analysis of the 49ers 2024 and 2025 seasons, and what it means for 2026, should look at the following metrics - RZ efficiency (offense and defense), FG % (own and opposition), PR/ KR averages (own and opposition), record in games decided by 7 points or less.
Each of the above metrics can be highly variable year to year, but go a long way to deciding close games.
49ers had a significant improvement between 2024 and 2025 in each, going from near bottom to near top in many.
However, very hard to sustain those metrics year to year. There is s very real possibility the team could improve considerably defensively without seeing a similar reduction in points against. And a small drop in offensive and FG efficiency metrics could see the PPG drop.
It would help (so long as he pans out). Though he'd likely be replacing JJ's production in that regard, which was also good this year. And sustaining isn't improving.
20 TD's the past 2 years from Boston and the majority of them were Red Zone. Sustaining at a level that's "isn't much higher than they can go" while losing "JJ's production" seems productve to me. It's the old adage of adding more to your best asset. You definitely do that along the DL because the entire defense is predicated on it. I think you also do it offensively when you don't have an X WR, you're losing WR4, and question marks at WR3 and can WR2 stay healthy.
More is always better to me. Finding a way to remain healthy enough to be effective throughout 20 weeks is the single most productive thing this team needs to reach the SB, which in and of itself is extremely difficult to do:
Odds of reaching a Super Bowl: With 32 teams, ~6% per year per team, but factoring in parity, injuries, etc., it's ~1 in 16-20 seasons historically for most franchises.
Appreciating and being grateful for defying the odds is a hill I don't mind dying on. I'm very proud of this team but at the same time I too have Great Expectations!
Update from the 49ers: DL Keion White is out of surgery after being shot in the ankle early this morning in San Francisco. The surgery was considered successful. No word yet on his recovery time.
Denzel Boston is a lot closer to Tate, Tyson and Lemon than most people believe. I could see him drafted as WR2 depending on his 40. Ball skills, physicality, YAC - all top notch.
The only P4 cornerback prospects since 2018 with a man coverage grade > 87.0 in at least one college season and a career pressure rate when blitzed > 1/3..
π Devon Witherspoon, Illinois π Mansoor Delane, LSU π Trent McDuffie, Washington π DJ Turner II, Michigan
I don't know whether the 49ers would go this route, but as a somewhat surprise pick at #27 I'd be on board with Safety Dillon Thieneman. He's a rare combo - good size, speed, aggression and high IQ. He gets comped to Harrison Smith and I can see it.
One of the guys I think the 49ers could get at #27 that would be a true difference maker and blue chip player, albeit at a non-premium position.
Range of outcomes depending on testing for Oregon IOL Emmanuel Pregnon. With 88th+ percentile testing, Pregnon would project as a 'Tier 1' bluechip level prospect...
100th percentile.. π Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
95th+ percentile.. π Peter Skoronski, Northwestern
88th+ percentile.. π Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa
70th+ percentile.. π Joe Dahl, Washington State π Austin Corbett, Nevada
Steve Young on what the 49ers need to do in order to overtake the Seahawks and Rams:
“We’re in that transition period where we need 5 to 10 rookie contracted stars. People who are above average in the league. We have the makings from last year’s draft class. We need more. We already have the pillars of people who are not too old, can still thrive and lead us there as long as they stay healthy. That’s what the Seahawks and Rams have done. We need All-Pro’s to show up out of these drafts. Kinda unexpectedly. We have the Superstars, leadership, coaching, innovation, and ownership. We are built for it to be in the mix and we will be in the mix, but to take it away from everybody, we’re gonna need those rookie contracted guys to come in and be great.”
Young is correct. They drafted well last year and now these young players need to be on the fast-track of development. This year, they must draft with the mentality that at least a few players can either start or receive significant playing time. I like Steve Young's concerns about his former team. His pro career reminds me a little of Sam Darnold's redemption story.
Purdy has been a godsend for the 49ers. But if the Oline does not improve, his play going forward will take a literal big hit. My focus on the Oline is not based on their play during the season. My mindset has suddenly become, what do the 49ers need to do to beat the Seahawks. Seattle is the bullseye on the 49ers dartboard.
The focus on the OL likely won't come until Rounds 3/4. More importantly, Purdy needs a receiver to get open as soon as his back foot hits his marker, which is how the offense is structured.
Good point. Which makes me wonder if the short passing game is the staple of the 49ers passing offense. Can the Oline hold off the D long enough for Purdy to throw deep? While TW is a HOF in waiting, the other Oline players are slightly above average with a good game here and there. Puni lost some steam after his rookie year. Again, this Oline has to become better than Seattle's defense, and we know that they are not close to that at the moment.
QB, OT, EDGE, and CB have always been labeled as the premium positions. The Super Bowl has continued to show that disruptive defensive tackle should be in that category too. Draft them early or pay them a lot of money if there’s a worthy one on the open market.
ReplyDeleteOr, don't let them get away in the first place, i.e. Buckner and DJ Jones.
ReplyDeleteThe 49ers future is so bright I need shades.
DeleteI admire the optimism and as a fan we don't really have much choice. Yet, I fear we are headed for a tenure under KS that resembles that of Mike Tomlin (except Tomlin won a SB early on).
DeleteNot hard to be optimistic about the 49er's future. They've got the HC, GM and QB to put it all together and that's the majority of the battle.
DeleteI've been told Tomlin > Shanahan for the past 6 years. Which one's front office and coaching staff gets pilfered across the league year after year, and which one doesn't?
Seahawks built their defense (team) to counter the Rams and 49ers. Yet McVay has shown the way to rack up big yardage (over 1000 yards in the last 2 games) and be competitive against Seattle. If the 9ers don't follow suit, it'll be the Russel Wilson/Richard Sherman era of beatdowns by Seattle all over again.
DeleteBeating the Seahawks with a relatively healthy team week 1 and beating the Rams with a backup has me salivating for next season.
DeleteJust for shits, grins and the pessimistic among us:
ReplyDelete44-year-old grandfather Philip Rivers had the Colts leading 16-15 over the Seahawks with 47 seconds remaining in Seattle under a week after unretiring.
FBS edge rushers with the most pressures in 2025, per TruMedia:
ReplyDeleteπ€ Rueben Bain Jr., Miami (FL) - 83
π€ David Bailey, Texas Tech - 81
π€ Keyshawn James-Newby, New Mex - 74
π€ Akheem Mesidor, Miami (FL) - 67
π€ Clev Lubin, Louisville - 64
π€ Romello Height, Texas Tech - 62
π€ J'Mond Tapp, Southern Miss - 62
π€ Nadame Tucker, W. Michigan - 61
π€ Mikail Kamara, Indiana - 59
π€ Colin Simmons, Texas - 59
I think it's great to be optimistic about the team, but I really hope Shanahan and Lynch aren't sitting there thinking everything will be ok and they'll be SB winners just as long as Warner and Bosa are healthy.
ReplyDeleteThe team is furthermore away than that.
If you're not optimistic about the future of this team after the adversity and accomplishment of this season, I doubt there's anything they could do this offseason to change your mind.
DeleteAgreed. And I am optimistic. But also realistic enough to know the team overachieved this year and there's still areas that need improvement both for now and the future to really be strong contenders rather than a punchers chance.
Delete"Overachieved" without Bosa, Warner, Aiyuk, for stretches, Purdy and Kittle. Health, development and a little luck is all they need.
DeleteYes, overachieved. Absolutely. And despite the bad injury luck, they had good in-game luck most of the year. It's a large part of why everyone kept calling it a magical run - the ways they found to improbably win.
Delete"Finding ways to win" is how you win in the NFL. The 49ers had all the talent in the world before Harbaugh came in and showed them HOW to win.
DeleteThat team had overwhelming talent and needed to be shown how not to shoot themselves in the foot.
DeleteI'm talking about pulling out improbable wins, such as forcing fumbles on the 1 yard line, opponents missing easy FGs, etc. They had a lot of luck this year in games, which won't always be the case.
"Luck" my friend is something every team needs to win it all. Be it a little or a lot.
DeleteShooting feet reminds me of Seb!π That's part and parcel of knowing HOW to win.
When a defense is sitting in two-high shells against the run, they are short a gap inside. Their best options to combat that gap are to stunt the DL into adjacent gaps or cross-dog the LB's to cancel gaps. Running gap schemes and pulling offensive linemen can create new ones on the edge with a puller, which FORCES the corners into the run fits. Stop running inside zone right into the blitz and win on 1st downs!!
ReplyDeleteIn seven of the 49ers' last eight playoff appearances--dating back to Harbaugh's first season--they have either been eliminated in the Super Bowl or by the team that eventually won the Super Bowl.
ReplyDeleteAny analysis of the 49ers 2024 and 2025 seasons, and what it means for 2026, should look at the following metrics - RZ efficiency (offense and defense), FG % (own and opposition), PR/ KR averages (own and opposition), record in games decided by 7 points or less.
ReplyDeleteEach of the above metrics can be highly variable year to year, but go a long way to deciding close games.
49ers had a significant improvement between 2024 and 2025 in each, going from near bottom to near top in many.
However, very hard to sustain those metrics year to year. There is s very real possibility the team could improve considerably defensively without seeing a similar reduction in points against. And a small drop in offensive and FG efficiency metrics could see the PPG drop.
They could improve their offensive Red Zone success with the addition of Boston.
Delete49ers were 4th in the NFL this year in RZ %. There isn't much higher than they can go.
DeleteAdding Boston would certainly go a long way to sustain that 4th place rating don't you agree?
DeleteIt would help (so long as he pans out). Though he'd likely be replacing JJ's production in that regard, which was also good this year. And sustaining isn't improving.
Delete20 TD's the past 2 years from Boston and the majority of them were Red Zone. Sustaining at a level that's "isn't much higher than they can go" while losing "JJ's production" seems productve to me. It's the old adage of adding more to your best asset. You definitely do that along the DL because the entire defense is predicated on it. I think you also do it offensively when you don't have an X WR, you're losing WR4, and question marks at WR3 and can WR2 stay healthy.
DeleteSoooo... you're agreeing they need more than just a return of Bosa and Warner then π
DeleteMore is always better to me. Finding a way to remain healthy enough to be effective throughout 20 weeks is the single most productive thing this team needs to reach the SB, which in and of itself is extremely difficult to do:
DeleteOdds of reaching a Super Bowl: With 32 teams, ~6% per year per team, but factoring in parity, injuries, etc., it's ~1 in 16-20 seasons historically for most franchises.
Appreciating and being grateful for defying the odds is a hill I don't mind dying on. I'm very proud of this team but at the same time I too have Great Expectations!
Billy Schrauth, iOL, Notre Dame is a player I've got one eye on for the 49ers. I've got him as an early day 3 diamond in the rough.
ReplyDeleteChad Rueter has us taking Kendrick Faulk at 27 with Boston coming off the board at 20. Not a fan of Faulk.
ReplyDeleteHe makes up for it by giving us one of the best route running separators in the draft, Deion Burks at pick 58.
In Round 3 he's got us taking the CB from Stanford, Collin Wright.
1st Team Big 12 Arizona DB Treydan Stukes (6-2, 200) sells versatility of 12 starts outside & 26 slot. He's a secondary smorgasbord.
ReplyDelete♦️Zero-star Walk-On
πΉDad played at Pacific & Arena π
♦️4 INTs in ‘25; strong Press hands
πΉRecovery speed; downhill trigger
Nasir Adderley has announced his unretirement. The 49ers should bring him into camp. Good coverage safety.
ReplyDeletePer Lombardi,
ReplyDeleteKeon White shot on the ankle Monday morning around 4 am. Glad it's not considered serious.
Crazy
DeleteI think not serious was referring to it not being life threatening. I hope it is also not career threatening
DeleteUpdate from the 49ers: DL Keion White is out of surgery after being shot in the ankle early this morning in San Francisco. The surgery was considered successful. No word yet on his recovery time.
DeleteI'd imagine his recovery time would be similar to what Pearsall's was. Should be fine in a couple of months.
DeleteDenzel Boston is a lot closer to Tate, Tyson and Lemon than most people believe. I could see him drafted as WR2 depending on his 40. Ball skills, physicality, YAC - all top notch.
ReplyDeleteThe only P4 cornerback prospects since 2018 with a man coverage grade > 87.0 in at least one college season and a career pressure rate when blitzed > 1/3..
ReplyDeleteπ Devon Witherspoon, Illinois
π Mansoor Delane, LSU
π Trent McDuffie, Washington
π DJ Turner II, Michigan
David Njoku not signing with the Browns. Good choice!
ReplyDeleteWe should definitely sign 1 among Isaiah Likely, Njoku or Cade Otton. Kittle might not play all 17 games next season.
I don't know whether the 49ers would go this route, but as a somewhat surprise pick at #27 I'd be on board with Safety Dillon Thieneman. He's a rare combo - good size, speed, aggression and high IQ. He gets comped to Harrison Smith and I can see it.
ReplyDeleteOne of the guys I think the 49ers could get at #27 that would be a true difference maker and blue chip player, albeit at a non-premium position.
Range of outcomes depending on testing for Oregon IOL Emmanuel Pregnon. With 88th+ percentile testing, Pregnon would project as a 'Tier 1' bluechip level prospect...
ReplyDelete100th percentile..
π Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
95th+ percentile..
π Peter Skoronski, Northwestern
88th+ percentile..
π Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa
70th+ percentile..
π Joe Dahl, Washington State
π Austin Corbett, Nevada
< 70th percentile..
π Elijah Klein, UTEP
π Darian Kinnard, Kentucky
Steve Young on what the 49ers need to do in order to overtake the Seahawks and Rams:
ReplyDelete“We’re in that transition period where we need 5 to 10 rookie contracted stars. People who are above average in the league. We have the makings from last year’s draft class. We need more. We already have the pillars of people who are not too old, can still thrive and lead us there as long as they stay healthy. That’s what the Seahawks and Rams have done. We need All-Pro’s to show up out of these drafts. Kinda unexpectedly. We have the Superstars, leadership, coaching, innovation, and ownership. We are built for it to be in the mix and we will be in the mix, but to take it away from everybody, we’re gonna need those rookie contracted guys to come in and be great.”
Young is correct. They drafted well last year and now these young players need to be on the fast-track of development. This year, they must draft with the mentality that at least a few players can either start or receive significant playing time.
DeleteI like Steve Young's concerns about his former team. His pro career reminds me a little of Sam Darnold's redemption story.
My entry^
DeleteBruglar has Boston ranked 25th overall. R Mason Thomas 35th. Lee Hunter 60th.
ReplyDeleteTed Hurst 62nd and Sarratt 65th.
DeleteOmario Cooper Jr. ranked 27th!π―
DeleteI don't think there's a better literate QB post-snap in the NFL than Brock Purdy. Post-snap>Pre-snapπͺ
ReplyDeletePurdy has been a godsend for the 49ers. But if the Oline does not improve, his play going forward will take a literal big hit. My focus on the Oline is not based on their play during the season. My mindset has suddenly become, what do the 49ers need to do to beat the Seahawks. Seattle is the bullseye on the 49ers dartboard.
ReplyDeleteThe focus on the OL likely won't come until Rounds 3/4. More importantly, Purdy needs a receiver to get open as soon as his back foot hits his marker, which is how the offense is structured.
DeleteGood point. Which makes me wonder if the short passing game is the staple of the 49ers passing offense. Can the Oline hold off the D long enough for Purdy to throw deep? While TW is a HOF in waiting, the other Oline players are slightly above average with a good game here and there. Puni lost some steam after his rookie year. Again, this Oline has to become better than Seattle's defense, and we know that they are not close to that at the moment.
ReplyDelete