BREAKING: 49ers and QB Brock Purdy agree to terms on a five-year, $265M contract extension, including $181M in total guarantees. (via , , )
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On The Edge
If Nick Bosa can get a modicum of consistent pressure from the opposite side he could end up having another Defensive Player of the Year aw...
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The stench of the last game is still in my nostrils. Will the 49ers clear the air? Not if they don't start making tackles. Not if they...
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The postseason is a year away. Win or lose the only thing they're playing for today is pride. Another opportunity to advertise your wo... -
The San Francisco 49ers are 20-6 when the Three Amigos are on the field together. If they stay healthy you can forget about a "rebuil...
So much for those speculating on a short 3 year deal to hedge against Shanahan's tenure.
ReplyDeleteFrom what I have heard/read so far about 80% to 90% of the guaranteed money comes in the 1st three years.
DeleteThe deal is tacked onto his remaining year which gives them control for 6. The Niners always have a 3 year "out" in almost every big contract they do.
DeleteGreat news.
ReplyDeleteThe 49ers' deal with Brock Purdy is through the 2030 season and should be official next week, source said. That would mean the 5-year deal extends off of Purdy's 2025 contract. He'll get a huge signing bonus to augment his $5.3M salary, but it won't get torn up -- and the 49ers have his rights for six more years, not just five.
DeleteThe 49ers have signed kicker Greg Joseph to a one-year deal, per
ReplyDeleteTesslerSports.
Joseph kicked for three teams last year, including for Brant Boyer's Jets special teams. He hit all 11 extra point attempts and was 16 of 20 on field goals.
DeleteIn reference to Scooter's post, Brock Purdy's $53M AAV is 18.98% of the 2025 salary cap and 17.67% of the projected $300M 2026 cap.
ReplyDeleteI suspect it will actually be way less than that though due to pro rating bonuses, as I outlined in my previous post on this.
DeleteI'm hearing a deal with Fred Warner is the next hurdle before camp.
ReplyDeleteThis is quite a bit less than I expected tbh. With his current remaining year, this will work out to be a 6-year deal worth around $270M. That's an average of $45M a year. Good deal for the 49ers imho.
ReplyDeleteWith $165M guaranteed over the first 3 years, which would make the average of the first 3 years much higher than the average over the full 6, my guess is Brock will be getting a very big signing bonus - probably $60M+. Nice reward for how underpaid he's been.
ReplyDeleteAh, re-reading it, it is $165M in the first 3 "new" years. So it's actually $165M guaranteed over 4 years. That makes a lot more sense, as otherwise he would only average $35M over the last 3 years.
Delete165 FGTD was the exact number I figured in the first 3 years.😜
DeleteI'm still not convinced that's what it is. Having the last 3 years average only $35M per year seems a very unlikely structure.
DeleteCommon sense deal by both negotiators. I suspect Fred Warner is next followed by a Shanahan extension in the not so distant future.
ReplyDeleteGood contract for the team and Purdy. That's how it should be.
DeleteSalary cap hit is 8.5 million in 2025?
ReplyDeleteYeppers. I figured around $10M. Very good contract all round. This insures Purdy to Pearsall is on track for full development together.
DeleteWhere are you guys seeing that? Or are you guessing at it?
DeleteI've not seen any reports on what the cap hit for 2025 will be yet, and until we see the signing bonus we won't know.
To achieve a $10M cap hit, his signing bonus needs to be under $45M (as he still needs a vet minimum salary of $1M).
Maybe that's how they decide to play it. Would help keep the yearly cash paid pretty even across years.
According to David Lombardi, "Purdy played ball to keep the 2025 cap hit at that $8.5m, but the Year 1-3 money ($165.05m) still surpasses Jared Goff's".
DeleteHe appears to be the only one reporting that. I'd love to know where he's getting his numbers from.
DeleteTo achieve an $8.5M cap hit his signing bonus can't exceed $37.5M. That would leave ~$127.5M needing to be paid across year 2 and 3 to hit the $165M in years 1-3 he's also reporting.
Though as I mentioned earlier, I believe people are misquoting the first 3 year thing - the original report said it was $165M over the first 3 "new" years, so would be over 4 years, which makes way more sense.
Maybe Lombardi is right about the cap hit in 2025, and they've gone for the lower end of cash spend in year 1 to spread the cash payments out more evenly. But until I see more people with reputable sources quoting that info I wouldn't take it for gospel.
Lombardi is stating that the signing bonus will be shy of 40 million. Sounds like he is restating the 8.5 million salary cap its not from his interpretation of the contract.
DeleteYeah, like I said, until I start seeing some other people that also have reputable sources saying it, I'm going to wait.
DeletePurdy/49ers contract analysis:
ReplyDelete•~$8.5m 2025 salary-cap hit (!)
•$165.5m cash flow over first 3 yr (beats Goff)
•Rolling structure makes $181m an effective guarantee
Just catching up. Great news!
ReplyDeleteBrock deserves it....I'm so glad this was locked up before OTAs.
I think we can win 11-12 games this season. Let's see how it unfolds.
After getting the contract extension for BP done, the 9ers look to be in good shape for the 2025 season. The schedule is also another reason for 9er fans to be optimistic.
ReplyDeleteThe question for 9er fans then is this....How many games will the 9ers win? And do they have a chance to make the playoffs? IMHO, the answer is yes.
GAMES THAT IMO, WILL DETERMINE THE 9ERS 2025 SUCCESS:
* Week 1, Sept 7 at Seattle: Facing Seattle in Week 1 at Lumen Field, is always a tough environment for the 9ers to play in.While I have the 9ers winning by 3 pts., it should be an indicator of how well Saleh has integrated his new D rookies.
A 9er win by more than a TD will be a big boost in team confidence.
* Week 3 & Week 11 : The 9ers VS Arizona. Arizona had a excellent draft. Rd #1, Walter Nolen, DT, Ole Miss. Rd #2, Will Johnson, CB, Michigan, Rd #3, Jordan Burch, DT, Oregon. Rd #4, Cody Simon, LB, Ohio St.
* I expect the 9ers to beat Arizona week 3 (at Levi), but lose at Arizona. Should the 9ers sweep Arizona and split with the Rams, the 9ers, IMO will win the division.
* Week 5 & 10: I expect the 9ers to lose both games to the Rams.
* Should the 9ers win the game at Levi and split with the rams, IMO, they'll win the division.
Week 6: Oct. 12 at Tampa Bay: The 9ers are currently listed as slight underdogs in the game against the Buccaneers, with the spread favoring the Buccaneers by 1.5 points.
I have the 9ers pulling an upset, beating TB by 6 points.
Week 8, Oct. 26 at Houston: A reunion with DeMeco Ryans comes on the road at Houston. It’s a 10:00 a.m. Pacific start, which is generally unfavorable for West Coast teams, and the Texans are expected to be one of the better teams in the league this year.
* They replaced Stefon Diggs with Christian Kirk via trade and Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel via the draft. Much of their defense is similar to last year’s unit. I expect the 9ers to lose.
Week 13, Nov. 30 at Cleveland Browns: I expect the 9ers will lose
due to bad weather. Until BP shows he can win in bad weather, I
see the 9ers losing.
Week15: Dec 14, Titans: The 9ers are favored to beat the Titans. This prediction is based on the 49ers' strong record against the Titans, including a 9-3 record in their previous 12 regular season matchups. Additionally, the 49ers are expected to be well-rested after their bye week, potentially giving them an advantage.
I have the game a push....
Good looking out, GEEP.
ReplyDeleteIf the rookies along the Dline can out-play last years group, this is definitely a 10-11 win season. But, the Rams are still the team which owns the division. Also, it wouldn't surprise me if Arizona makes a strong push to overtake the Rams. Arizona drafted three rookie Defensive players that I felt were top 30 players in Nolen, Johnson, and Burch. The Rams have set the pattern over the last couple of years in prioritizing the Dline which has carried them to the top of the division.
The 49ers will need to quickly catch up.
Imo the division is pretty open. The last time we played LA, our defense held them to 12 but we scored only 6. Hopefully they’ve solved the WR problem (Aiyuk and Sanders). If they have and the defense improves to the extent I think it will, will should be able to push through it.
DeleteNiners lost two games to the Rams by a total score of 9 points, they lost to the Cardinals by one point in the first game and were blown out in the last game of the season. Niners split with the Hawks, losing by three points in the game they lost. Lost to the Lions by six points and Vikings by six points.
ReplyDeleteThere are six games that the Niners lost by a total of 25 points.
That was with a defense that could not stop the run and a team that was beset with injuries.
I like our chances in 2025, however that thinking stems from the thought that this year's draft is going to perform like the 1981 draft. (Probably the best Niner draft of all time).
Colby starts at LG, and there is a chance that five rookies start on the defense.
I am optimistic as well UC, but AZ had a pretty good draft- for me, you stop the run and pressure the QB in the division and they should be pretty successful- Conners killed them and Darnold struggled w some pressure while Stafford can't evade the rush much any longer. Williams in LA w the WR's will be a good test.
DeleteUC,
ReplyDeleteA few weeks before the draft, I commented that the 49ers would need to come out of the draft with at least 4-7 starters. 7 starters was obviously wishful thinking but 4 new starters would make for a bountiful haul. If Colby can become a mid-season starter this would keep the 49ers competitive for years. UC, which draft picks do you see as D1S and eventual rookie starters?
Mykel starts for sure, Martin starts. Niners didn't have a defensive line till the draft, it wouldn't surprise me at all if Collins and West started. I think by seasons end Stout starts. Moss makes the practice squad and is up and coming to boot.
DeleteYeah, I think under has it right. I expect all 3 DL drafted to have a lot of snaps this year, and the two third rounders as well. Barring injury, of course.
DeleteI think the other draft picks will likely only see extensive playing time this year if there are injuries.
undercenter
ReplyDeleteYou're projecting Colby will start at LG, VS Bartch or Buford? Interesting! You could be right, as Iowa employes an outside ZBS similar to the 9ers, so it should make for good competition.
* The Rams drafted TE Terrance Ferguson. That gives Stafford WR's Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, and Tutu Atwell and TE's Tyler Higbee and Terrance Ferguson to throw to. They're the team to beat if the
9ers make the playoffs.
He fits exactly what is needed for the outside zone. He will beat Buford, Bartch I don't know. Put him next to Williams and he will learn. The Niners have an easy schedule good time to get all these rookies playing time.
DeleteI think this is a very high variance team this year, even if they stay healthy. So many unknowns, particularly on defense. And if they get some injuries to key players again... the depth just isn't there.
ReplyDeleteIt's why I find people saying the floor for the team is 10 wins highly optimistic. Even with the 4th place schedule, if the young players don't fire as hoped or they get some injuries I think the 49ers will be in some bother.
But, if the young guys do fire and the team stays relatively healthy, there's definitely a chance at being a strong playoff team.
High variance imo.
No question there is a lot of 'ifs'.
DeleteI'm optimistic that we can win 11-12 games because of these reasons:
ReplyDelete1. Our D and ST were atrocious and historically bad last year, almost reminiscent of the Tomsula years. With Saleh and Boyer, we should see marked improvement.
2. The right message is sent to the veterans that non-performance is not acceptable anymore with the Deebo trade and releasing Hargrave/Floyd/Collins. So we will see better play from the D-Line, and highly paid veterans like Trent Williams, Aiyuk will be watchful.
3. "Reversion to the mean" is an underrated life philosophy. We had tremendous bad luck with injuries and the Rams were remarkably healthy. Who is to say that the opposite won't happen this year?
4. We have pretty much the easiest schedule in the league and we travel less. Even if we account for a few "What the heck" losses like vs the Browns (I have Sanders starting there), I still see 11-6 or 12-5 win season.
5. We are returning 4 of 5 starters on the O-Line. The more they play together, the better they will be with some playing in their contract years. I guess this is what Shanalynch is counting on too.
Injury to Brock/CMC/Trent/Fred will of course derail the season, but I'm optimistic that we will have a reversion to the mean health-wise.
As part of Brock Purdy’s five-year, $265M extension, he received a FULL no-trade clause for the duration of the deal, per Mike Garafolo.
ReplyDeleteNo-trade clause, a first for any 49ers player—a key win for Purdy's side that wasn't originally on the table.
DeleteOnly 8 players in the NFL have a no-trade clause in their contract:
DeleteBrock Purdy
Josh Allen
Lamar Jackson
Trevor Lawrence
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Jared Goff
Kirk Cousins
All QB's go figure.
DeleteMissed 4: Herbert, Burrow, Prescott and Watson.
DeleteIt's not really a big deal. All it really does is give Purdy the right to veto a trade to a team he doesn't want to go to.
DeleteThe 49ers aren't likely to want to trade him if he's playing well and is the starter. If he isn't the starter, given the type of competitor Purdy is, he isn't likely to want to stay.
A little leverage for Purdy that likely won't mean a whole lot.
The 49ers are favored in 15 of 17 games this season.
ReplyDeleteWhat two games are they not favored?
DeleteWeek 5 in Los Angeles against the Rams and Week 6 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both the Rams and Bucs favored by 1.5 points.
DeleteHmmm - Niners beat Bucs last year in Tampa.
Delete