Thursday, April 2, 2026

As A Rule


 Bill Parcells' 7 requirements for drafting QBs out of college include...

1. Are they coming out as a senior? 2. Did they graduate college? 3. Were they a 3-year starter in college? 4. Did they have 30+ college starts? 5. Did they win 23+ games in college? 6. Did they have a career 60+% COMP% in college? 7. Did they have a career 2:1 TD/INT ratio in college?

This year, 7 QBs prospects meet all of this criteria:⬇️ - Drew Allar - Carson Beck - Taylen Green - Cade Klubnik - Luke Altmyer - Diego Pavia - Behren Morton None of the QBs inside the top 100 on the consensus big board (Mendoza, Simpson, Nussmeier) meet all these requirements. Do you think they're outdated?


31 comments:

  1. Round 2 EDGEs historically have low hit rate:

    2025: Ezeiraku, Scourton, Oladejo, Mike Green

    2024: None drafted

    2023: Derick Hall (hit), BJ Ojulari

    2022: Ebektie, Mafe (hit), Ojabo, Sam Williams, Drake Jackson, Bonito (HR)

    2021: A Ojulari, Boogie Basham

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's the problem with a lot of positions tbh. Edge, DT, OT (especially LT), QB. If you don't get them early, it's hard to find really good ones.

      Weirdly, WR seems to be a position you can find some success both early and on day 2.

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  2. Regarding Parcells Rules.

    Per Wikipedia,
    Drafted Quarterbacks by Bill Parcells (Head Coach)
    Jeff Hostetler (3rd round, 1984 - New York Giants
    Dave Walter (11th round, 1987 - New York Giants
    Mike Perez (7th round. 1988 - New York Giants'
    Craig Kupp (5th round, 1990 - New York Giants
    Drew Bledsoe (1st round, 1993- New England Patriots)
    Jay Walker (7th round, 1994 - New England Patriots
    Chuck Clements (6th round. 1997 - New York Jets) @ Reddit +1
    Vhile with the Miami Dolphins (2008-2010) as Executive VF f Football Operations, he oversaw the drafting of Chac lenne and Pat White in 2008.

    If Parcells followed his own "Rules" he didn't fare well with his list of QB draft picks.

    As one reporter (Wyatt) wrote, "a lot depends on the team."

    I certainly agree with that.
    As a long time Cal Bears fan, I can use Aaron Rodgers as an example. Rodgers was special at Cal, but it's often ignored that Cal had great talent around Rodgers during that era.

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  3. Gabe Jacas at 261 pounds today, he ran a 4.69 40 with a 1.59 10-yard split.

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    Replies
    1. Did Jacas regularly drop into coverage. Did he rush the passer? If he did rush the passer what was his success rate?

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    2. He's a power rusher. Checking the chart I posted awhile back, Jacas' career pass rush win rate was 14.5%.

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  4. A few NFL-verified 40/10-yd times from Indiana's pro day:

    4.36/1.52 - CB D'Angelo Ponds (180 lbs)
    4.45/1.53 - RB Kaelon Black (211)
    4.53/1.64 - WR Elijah Sarratt (207)
    4.63/1.59 - SAF Louis Moore (190)
    4.76/1.63 - Aidan Fisher (230)
    4.90/1.70 - DL Mikail Kamara (250)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sarratt was timed somewhere between 4.45 and 4.55, which is a great time for him. Solid player.

      Devan Boykin was timed in the high 4.3s/ low 4.4s. He is so underrated as a S/CB hybrid option. Made a lot of plays for Indiana this year

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  5. The 49ers have shown interest in Houston kicker Ethan Sanchez, per Aaron Wilson.

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    Replies
    1. When your kicker has to make tackles, you've got to have a black book of 'em to dial up if you need one.

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    2. I think it's more likely most of their interest was pre-signing Piniero.

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  6. Greg Cosell and the TEs and OLs he likes:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHD7YomB56s

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  7. Re-watching some of the OTs that could be available around pick 27 and I'm reminded how bad this OT class is. I don't like any of Lomu, Iheanachor or Miller that high, and Proctor feels like a bad fit as a RT only type prospect in Shanahan's offense (even though he played LT in college).

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  8. This is by far one of the worst Interior Defensive Line classes I can remember when looking for blue chip traits and talent.

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  9. Cornerback Charles Demmings of SFA has a lot of official 30's for a mid-round player who was at the Senior Bowl & Combine; he's getting hot....

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  10. A.J. Haulcy comp is Malik Mustapha.

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  11. The top 5 head coach records in 49ers history 🏆

    1. George Seifert: 98-30 (.766)
    2. Bill Walsh: 92-59 (.609)
    3. Kyle Shanahan: 82-67 (.550)
    4. Buck Shaw: 71-39 (.645)
    5. Steve Mariucci: 57-39 (.594)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sieifert inherited a really good team, while Walsh and Shanahan inherited very weak teams which affects their win percentage. Also Seifert and Walsh were the beneficiaries of no salary cap. The NFL is much more competitive now.

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    2. From 2017 thru 2025, KS's win-loss record is 91 -72. Over on Niners Nation, I recently posted the results of an analysis on KS' win loss record since there is much criticism of how he has the worst record ever when down by >=7 points. It's a deep dive that compares KS with the league as an aggregate, McVay, Reid, Harbaugh and Tomlin.

      https://www.ninersnation.com/post/hKdUkQY396u_

      Also, I did comparisons with the different QBs that KS has had; namely, Garoppolo, Purdy and Others. This analysis also includes a comparison with the comeback QB, Patrick Mahomes.

      https://www.ninersnation.com/post/3tc4kDwazutY

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  12. A Safety for everyone:
    1. Thieneman Oregon
    2. Downs Ohio St
    3. McNeill-Warren Toledo
    4. Clark TCU
    5. Kilgore South Carolina
    6. Haulcy LSU
    7. Ramsey USC
    8. Smith Arizona
    9. Wheatley Penn St
    10. Stroman Notre Dame
    11. Payne Kansas St
    12. Singleton Nebraska
    13. Spears-Jennings Oklahoma
    14. Nwankpa Iowa
    15. Taafe Texas
    16. Moore Indian
    17. Fitzgerald USC
    18. Styles Ohio St
    19. Thomas Miami
    20. Wisniewski Texas Tech
    21. Boykin Indiana
    22. Moses SMU
    23. Huskey Maryland
    24. Nwokobia SMU
    25. Ghost Rowser Arizona St

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  13. If the 49ers want to play it safe at 27 and take a guy that's got a really high floor, I could see them drafting DT Christen Miller from Georgia. Really smart, disciplined and high character player that like his buddy Mykel will instantly help the run defense while also having some pass rush potential.

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    Replies
    1. I found out Zxavian Harris had a couple arrests, and I had him right there with Miller.

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    2. Josiah Green At Duke Pro Day:

      1.65 10-yard split, 4.43 shuttle, 7.43 3-cone (all would’ve ranked 1st among DTs at the combine)
      36 bench reps (Duke program record, would’ve ranked 2nd among all players at the combine)
      34” vert, 9’6” broad (both would’ve ranked 2nd among DTs at the combine)

      On film:

      2nd in quick pressures among draft-eligible DTs (PFF)
      Top 10 pressure rate among draft-eligible DTs (PFF)

      Elite movement skills + ACC production.

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  14. As bad as this draft is what are the chances of the 49ers drafting BPA or trading back in the 1st round?

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    Replies
    1. BPA would be a departure from past ideology, and they haven't demonstrated a propensity for trading back like Schneider.

      Delete
    2. I think they'll go BPA at a select few positions (DL, WR, OT) unless someone to good to pass at another position is available.

      They've tried to trade back before (2024), so it's possible they'll go that route if there isn't someone available they feel strongly about, but have to have a willing trade partner making an offer worth moving back for.

      Delete
  15. SF Draft Capital Allocation Under Lynch & Shanahan (2017–2025)

    DL: 31% (#1 in the NFL)
    WR: 17%
    DB: 13% (#30)
    OL: 12% (#31)
    ST: 2% (#2)

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  16. Consensus DTs: Pass-Rush Win %

    25. Peter Woods (8.0%)
    32. Kayden McDonald (4.0%)
    36. Caleb Banks (*11.2%*)
    45. Christen Miller (11.3%)
    48. Lee Hunter (10.6%)
    74. Dominique Orange (6.9%)
    82. Gracen Halton (10.4%)
    86. Darrell Jackson Jr (5.8%)
    103. Kaleb Proctor (13.7%)

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  17. The 49ers have met with Oregon OL Alex Harkey.

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Offseason Schedule

  April 20 → Program begins OTAs → May 27-29, June 1, 3-4 Minicamp → June 9-10