The 49ers rank #11 in overall pass EPA, but success rate (% of plays with positive EPA):
1. Seahawks
2. 49ers
3. Lions
4. Colts
5. Patriots
Bucs RT Charlie Heck has given up 22 pressures over 173 pass-blocking snaps, the second-most in the NFL. Huff needs to exploit him and force Baker into pressure decisions that could lead to their first interception. Heat and humidity mean the less the defense is on the field the better. TOP could be the tipping point in a close game at the end of the 4th quarter. Should be another nailbiter. Niners win 24-21!
49er Inactives today vs the Buccaneers:
would like to see Lenoir follow Egbuka to allow more blitzing w Bucs thin at WR.......
ReplyDeleteThat's the matchup I'm most looking forward to. What are your thoughts on Brown replacing Pinnock? I didn't see that coming!
DeleteI like it Rocket- last week I was hoping to see more Dime to get more speed out there against the spread formations as the front 7 has been successful against the run.
DeleteI believe today they said the tape showed the coaching staff that Pinnock was vulnerable against the pass- not surprising. Additionally, sure am happy to see Brown contributing. ...... question becomes, does Brown stay on w Mustapha? Good problem to have ...... If the secondary can hold up, hopefully they will look to blitz more, as able.
Brown is the better cover safety, while Pinnock is the better tackler. I suspect Otton might why Saleh prefers Brown.
DeleteRazor
DeleteFrom what I understand; As the 9ers reintegrate safety Malik Mustapha, the 9ers coaches believe Brown's skill set better complements Mustapha's. That Brown has better awareness in coverage and ability to avoid mental mistakes......
As you point out, Brown is the better cover safety, Pinnock is the better tackler.
I hear Woody Johnson, owner of the Jets is set to open a flea market.
ReplyDeleteDo you think Quinnen Williams might be available?
DeletePossible but likely cost prohibitive.
DeleteAfter last weeks horrible terrible prediction I probably should just keep my mouth shut but.....I have a very bad feeling about todays game. Our injury situation is going to catch up with us eventually and I think today just might be that day. Heat, humidity and a thin roster may catch up with us today.
ReplyDeleteIm in the same boat.
ReplyDeleteI was completely wrong last week as well but still don't like our odds and Im doubtful it will be particularly close.
That said I do think this team could have a massive uptick if they can get healthy.
Its goanna be another upset victory for the Niners. McCaffrey has big day.
ReplyDeleterunning?
DeleteJJ's active and he's a monster in the run game when healthy.
DeleteYes, running.
DeleteTB is banged up as well- contain Baker and shut down Egbuka...... problem for 49ers today may be getting the offense going today w the run game being an issue already and now going against TB's defense- dink-n-dunk and win TOP
ReplyDeleteThe keys to a 9er win VS TB:
ReplyDelete1) With TB receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out with injuries, the rookie WR Emeka Egbuka is the threat the 9ers' secondary must shut down to control the Bucks and QB Baker Mayfield's passing game.
2) The 9ers D ranks among the league's best in opponent third-down conversion percentage. Continuing to force 3rd and long situations is critical to a 9er win.
3) The TB O-line has struggled with injuries. Pressure by the 9er defense could force mistakes. A turnover would provide a momentum swing and be the difference in a win.
4) The special teams battle will be important. TB's ST have been prone to mistakes, having had a number of missed kicks and blocked punts this season.
MAC THROWS AN INT ON 1ST SERIES....NOT THE WAY I WANTED THE GAME TO START.....TB 7 49ERS 0
ReplyDeleteWarner being carted off the field....looks like his ankle....Will the injuries never end?
ReplyDeleteLooked bad. No Bosa. No Warner. Saleh has his work cut out now.
DeleteTough to watch that soft zone at the end of the half. And if we're looking to pressure, how about a 5-man line with man-to-man coverage, so the defense doesn't have to go through complicated adjustments with Warner out. Tampa's running free for check down chunks.
ReplyDelete9ers 16 VS TB 20 at halftime.....Not good, but all things considered,
ReplyDeleteit could be A LOT WORSE!
It’s hard to win a game when you can’t run the ball and you can’t stop the run.
ReplyDeleteI had a feeling about this loss. But the worse thing to happen is the loss Fred Warner. This one is going to hurt as much as Bosa's loss.
ReplyDeleteI'm sure nobody really wants to hear this right now, but there's a chance that losing Bosa and Warner this year to injury will pay long term dividends through opportunities to develop their young guys.
ReplyDelete+100
DeleteThe young defensive players will need to develop much faster. With Bosa and now Warner out these guys will want to prove that they can handle any adversity. This loss will only propel this team forward. And, the big offensive weapons will soon be on the field.
Mac Jones played well -- having to overcome some drive-killing penalties like the ones by Jennings. Can't wait to see Piersall, Kittle, Watkins and Aiyuk. Just limp into the playoffs if we have to. Maybe we'll see a new defense. So much of the pass defense had relied upon Warner. Green and Lenoir are reputed to be good in press man, so maybe press man with increased blitzing. Anyway, I'm still optimistic.
ReplyDeleteNo Bosa, No Warner and no O line. Things could get ugly from here on out
ReplyDeleteThe continued poor OL play (particularly run game) is the most concerning to me. Without Bosa and Warner they'll need the offense to pick up the slack.
Delete9ers coach KS announced after the game that Warner dislocated and fractured his ankle. The injury will require season-ending surgery.
ReplyDeleteDang, that sucks. Not surprising as it looked bad, but was hoping for a miracle.
DeleteUpside/ silver lining - Nick Martin will likely get an opportunity, which should help his development.
What other team can be 4-2 with all the major injuries they've suffered. I still expect the 49ers to play in the post season.
ReplyDelete"I ain't heard no stinking bell" Rocky
I am with Scooter, let the kids play and let the chips land where they land. AES, I too expect to see the Niners in the post season.
ReplyDeletePost season should definitely remain the goal. Let's get some of the offensive pieces back and see what they can do.
DeleteYes sir, UC.
ReplyDeleteIf Kyle Shanahan had even an ounce of common sense in his brain, he'd be unstoppable! It's just so strange to me how a guy who's so smart in terms of X's & O's doesn't understand that it's advantageous to use more than 1 (ONE) RB in an entire game (check the box score if you don't believe me), when that RB has wear and tear issues. I am telling you all right now, Kyle is going to run CMC until the wheel's fall off this season, which make no sense because he has at least 2 other talented RB's (Robinson, James) RB's who both have different traits that can be used advantageously.
ReplyDeleteObviously the 49ers are, for the most part, unlucky when it comes to injuries, BUT Kyle is obviously part of the problem, because he doesn't have a clue how to protect his players, and frankly, it's an issue that will continue to stand in the way of this team, and a 6th Lombardi Trophy!